{ "meta": { "genere_le": "2026-10-12T08:50:12+00:00", "version": "1.0", "factice": false, "horizons": [ "2026", "2050", "2076" ], "ponderations": [ "equilibre", "securite_physique", "qualite_de_vie", "cycle_de_vie" ], "libelles_ponderation": { "equilibre": "Équilibré", "securite_physique": "Sécurité physique", "qualite_de_vie": "Qualité de vie", "cycle_de_vie": "Cycle de vie" }, "poids_publies": { "equilibre": { "2026": { "chaleur": 0.087986, "eau": 0.235257, "extremes": 0.162408, "agri_energie": 0.152917, "sante_infra": 0.164001, "eco_immo": 0.100127, "migrations": 0.022712, "gouvernance": 0.074591 }, "2050": { "chaleur": 0.087986, "eau": 0.235257, "extremes": 0.162408, "agri_energie": 0.152917, "sante_infra": 0.164001, "eco_immo": 0.100127, "migrations": 0.022712, "gouvernance": 0.074591 }, "2076": { "chaleur": 0.087986, "eau": 0.235257, "extremes": 0.162408, "agri_energie": 0.152917, "sante_infra": 0.164001, "eco_immo": 0.100127, "migrations": 0.022712, "gouvernance": 0.074591 } } }, "poids_publies_note": "Poids effectif de chacun des huit domaines publies, par pondération et par horizon. Dérivés des poids de domaine, de sous-domaine et d'indicateur de `scripts/ponderations.json` et de la part de la note vie (`meta.notes.poids_vie`) — jamais ajustés sur les scores. Le score publié (le COMBINÉ des deux notes) se recompose comme min(100 ; Σ poids · score_de_domaine + coefficient_penalite · pénalité) : la pénalité est dans la note climat, son coefficient est `meta.notes.coefficient_penalite` (1 − poids_vie) ; elle décrit le département et ne dépend ni de la pondération ni de l'horizon.", "notes": { "poids_vie": 0.15, "coefficient_penalite": 0.85, "libelles": { "climat": "Exposition au réchauffement", "vie": "Vie sur place aujourd'hui" }, "etiquettes": { "AGR_AUTONOMIE": "climat", "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": "climat", "AGR_VIABILITE": "climat", "ASS_PRIME": "climat", "BIO_ECOSYST": "climat", "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": "climat", "CHA_DJC": "climat", "CHA_ICU": "climat", "CHA_NUITS_TROP": "climat", "CHA_REFUGE": "climat", "CHA_TX35": "climat", "CHA_TX40": "climat", "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": "climat", "EAU_ETIAGE": "climat", "EAU_NAPPES": "climat", "EAU_NEIGE": "climat", "EAU_QUALITE": "climat", "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": "climat", "EAU_SECH_METEO": "climat", "EAU_SECH_SOL": "climat", "EAU_TENSION": "climat", "ECO_COUT_VIE": "vie", "ECO_EMPLOI": "vie", "ECO_RESILIENCE": "climat", "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": "vie", "EDU_FILIERES": "vie", "EDU_PETITE_ENF": "vie", "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": "vie", "EDU_SUP_ACCES": "vie", "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": "vie", "ENE_NUCL": "climat", "ENE_RESEAU": "climat", "EXT_CATNAT": "climat", "EXT_EROSION": "climat", "EXT_FEUX": "climat", "EXT_GEO": "vie", "EXT_GRELE": "climat", "EXT_INOND": "climat", "EXT_RGA": "climat", "EXT_SUBMERSION": "climat", "EXT_TEMPETE": "climat", "FOR_DEPERIS": "climat", "IMM_PRIX": "vie", "INF_AEP": "climat", "INF_BATI": "climat", "INF_MOBILITE": "vie", "MIG_AGE_2050": "vie", "MIG_DENSITE": "vie", "MIG_DEPRISE": "vie", "MIG_SOLDE": "vie", "POL_ADAPTATION": "climat", "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": "climat", "POL_FIN_LOCALE": "vie", "POL_GOUV": "vie", "POL_TENSION": "vie", "POL_URBA": "climat", "SAN_AIR": "climat", "SAN_APL_MG": "vie", "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": "vie", "SAN_PEDIATRIE": "vie", "SAN_SURMORT": "climat", "SAN_VECTEURS": "climat", "VIEIL_AUTONOMIE_LOGT": "vie", "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE": "vie" }, "part_nominale_avant_partage": { "climat": 0.7226, "vie": 0.2774 }, "indicateurs_du_jour": [ "ECO_COUT_VIE", "ECO_EMPLOI", "ECO_TELETRAVAIL", "EDU_FILIERES", "EDU_PETITE_ENF", "EDU_RISQUE_FERM", "EDU_SUP_ACCES", "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL", "EXT_GEO", "IMM_PRIX", "INF_MOBILITE", "MIG_AGE_2050", "MIG_DENSITE", "MIG_DEPRISE", "MIG_SOLDE", "POL_FIN_LOCALE", "POL_GOUV", "POL_TENSION", "SAN_APL_MG", "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035", "SAN_PEDIATRIE", "VIEIL_AUTONOMIE_LOGT", "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE" ], "note": "Deux notes, de 0 (le plus favorable) à 100. `climat` : exposition au réchauffement, pénalités climatiques comprises. `vie` : vie sur place AUJOURD'HUI — ses indicateurs gardent leur valeur 2026 aux trois horizons. Le score publié est le combiné (1 − poids_vie) × climat + poids_vie × vie ; c'est lui qui classe, colore et fonde les verdicts. Le classement ne bouge donc dans le temps que par le climat." }, "poids_publies_absents": { "securite_physique": { "residu_max_par_horizon": { "2026": 1.5726, "2050": 1.3464, "2076": 1.1185 }, "somme_des_poids_derives": 1.0, "tolerance": 0.05, "motif": "La dérivation ne reconstitue pas le score publié à 0,05 près. Les poids ne sont donc PAS émis : un poids ajusté par régression ne serait pas un poids dérivé, et le publier comme tel serait une contre-vérité (charte `coordination/PENALITE.md`, invariant I1).", "causes": [ "Les scores de domaine publiés sont ceux de la pondération « Équilibré » : dans un domaine qui mêle les deux notes, le dosage climat/vie dépend des parts de note de la pondération (lot S0), et celle-ci ne s'en recompose pas." ] }, "qualite_de_vie": { "residu_max_par_horizon": { "2026": 2.4064, "2050": 1.912, "2076": 1.8495 }, "somme_des_poids_derives": 1.0, "tolerance": 0.05, "motif": "La dérivation ne reconstitue pas le score publié à 0,05 près. Les poids ne sont donc PAS émis : un poids ajusté par régression ne serait pas un poids dérivé, et le publier comme tel serait une contre-vérité (charte `coordination/PENALITE.md`, invariant I1).", "causes": [ "Les scores de domaine publiés sont ceux de la pondération « Équilibré » : dans un domaine qui mêle les deux notes, le dosage climat/vie dépend des parts de note de la pondération (lot S0), et celle-ci ne s'en recompose pas." ] }, "cycle_de_vie": { "residu_max_par_horizon": { "2026": 1.8077, "2050": 1.5231, "2076": 3.029 }, "somme_des_poids_derives": 0.9797, "tolerance": 0.05, "motif": "La dérivation ne reconstitue pas le score publié à 0,05 près. Les poids ne sont donc PAS émis : un poids ajusté par régression ne serait pas un poids dérivé, et le publier comme tel serait une contre-vérité (charte `coordination/PENALITE.md`, invariant I1).", "causes": [ "La somme des huit poids dérivés ne vaut que 0,9797 : des sous-domaines à poids non nul de cette pondération ne sont repris par AUCUN des huit domaines publiés.", "Les scores de domaine publiés sont ceux de la pondération « Équilibré » : dans un domaine qui mêle les deux notes, le dosage climat/vie dépend des parts de note de la pondération (lot S0), et celle-ci ne s'en recompose pas.", "`poids_horizon: true` : les poids d'indicateur et de sous-domaine de cette pondération sont DATÉS, alors que les scores de domaine publiés sont calculés une seule fois, avec ceux de la pondération « Équilibré »." ] } }, "domaines": [ { "id": "chaleur", "code": "chaleur", "court": "Chaleur", "long": "Chaleur" }, { "id": "eau", "code": "eau", "court": "Eau", "long": "Sécheresse et manque d'eau" }, { "id": "extremes", "code": "extremes", "court": "Catastrophes naturelles", "long": "Inondation, submersion, argiles, feux, tempêtes" }, { "id": "agri_energie", "code": "agri_energie", "court": "Agriculture et forêts", "long": "Agriculture, forêts et énergie" }, { "id": "sante_infra", "code": "sante_infra", "court": "Santé et services", "long": "Médecins, air, écoles" }, { "id": "eco_immo", "code": "eco_immo", "court": "Emploi et logement", "long": "Emploi, logement et assurance" }, { "id": "migrations", "code": "migrations", "court": "Population", "long": "Arrivées, départs, vieillissement" }, { "id": "gouvernance", "code": "gouvernance", "court": "Préparation locale", "long": "Plans d'adaptation, urbanisme, finances locales" } ], "echelle": { "min": 0, "max": 100, "sens": "risque croissant", "lecture": "0 = le plus favorable ; rang 1 = le meilleur" }, "verdicts": { "ordre": [ "nettement_moins", "plutot_moins", "indetermine", "plutot_plus", "nettement_plus" ], "ponderation": "equilibre", "regles": [ { "verdict": "nettement_moins", "borne": "p95", "comparaison": "<=", "seuil": 32 }, { "verdict": "plutot_moins", "borne": "p95", "comparaison": "<=", "seuil": 48 }, { "verdict": "nettement_plus", "borne": "p05", "comparaison": ">=", "seuil": 65 }, { "verdict": "plutot_plus", "borne": "p05", "comparaison": ">=", "seuil": 49 } ], "par_defaut": "indetermine", "libelles": { "nettement_moins": { "m": "nettement mieux placé", "f": "nettement mieux placée", "mp": "nettement mieux placés", "fp": "nettement mieux placées" }, "plutot_moins": { "m": "plutôt mieux placé", "f": "plutôt mieux placée", "mp": "plutôt mieux placés", "fp": "plutôt mieux placées" }, "indetermine": { "m": "l'étude ne peut pas trancher", "f": "l'étude ne peut pas trancher", "mp": "l'étude ne peut pas trancher", "fp": "l'étude ne peut pas trancher" }, "plutot_plus": { "m": "plutôt moins bien placé", "f": "plutôt moins bien placée", "mp": "plutôt moins bien placés", "fp": "plutôt moins bien placées" }, "nettement_plus": { "m": "nettement moins bien placé", "f": "nettement moins bien placée", "mp": "nettement moins bien placés", "fp": "nettement moins bien placées" } }, "libelles_climat": { "nettement_moins": { "m": "nettement moins exposé", "f": "nettement moins exposée", "mp": "nettement moins exposés", "fp": "nettement moins exposées" }, "plutot_moins": { "m": "plutôt moins exposé", "f": "plutôt moins exposée", "mp": "plutôt moins exposés", "fp": "plutôt moins exposées" }, "indetermine": { "m": "l'étude ne peut pas trancher", "f": "l'étude ne peut pas trancher", "mp": "l'étude ne peut pas trancher", "fp": "l'étude ne peut pas trancher" }, "plutot_plus": { "m": "plutôt plus exposé", "f": "plutôt plus exposée", "mp": "plutôt plus exposés", "fp": "plutôt plus exposées" }, "nettement_plus": { "m": "nettement plus exposé", "f": "nettement plus exposée", "mp": "nettement plus exposés", "fp": "nettement plus exposées" } }, "vie": { "regles": [ { "position": "favorable", "rang_max": 32 }, { "position": "moyenne", "rang_max": 64 }, { "position": "defavorable", "rang_max": 96 } ], "libelles": { "favorable": "plus favorable qu’ailleurs", "moyenne": "dans la moyenne", "defavorable": "moins favorable qu’ailleurs" }, "note": "Tiers du rang de la note vie (pondération « équilibre », rang 1 = le plus favorable). La note vie n'a PAS de fourchette (sensibilité climat seule) : ce n'est pas un verdict D1 ; seuils = ceux du « nettement » de D1. Identique aux trois horizons (N4)." }, "note": "Verdict lu sur la fourchette ENTIÈRE du rang — p05 et p95 des 5 000 tirages, à pondération « équilibre » et horizon fixés (`fourchette_rang`). Règles essayées dans l'ordre, la première qui tient l'emporte ; bornes comparées sans arrondi. Seuils proposés (décision D1), pas mesurés. Absent si sensibilite.json manque." }, "position_couleur": { "ponderation": "equilibre", "effectif": 288, "note": "Position du score « équilibre » parmi les 288 scores réunis (96 départements × 3 dates), de 0 (le plus bas, le mieux placé) à 1 (le plus haut, le moins bien placé). Rang milieu : (strictement inférieurs + égaux autres / 2) / (n − 1). Une même échelle pour les trois dates : la normalisation est commune aux trois horizons." }, "evolution": { "depuis": "2026", "ponderation": "equilibre", "seuil_points": 9, "note": "Écart de score « équilibre » depuis 2026, en points, arrondi au centième. `au_dela_du_seuil` : écart strictement supérieur au seuil d'indiscernabilité (9 points, donnees/CLASSEMENT.md §7.3)." }, "alertes": [ { "code": "PEN_EAU", "libelle": "manque d'eau chronique" }, { "code": "PEN_SUBMERSION", "libelle": "submersion marine" }, { "code": "PEN_AEP", "libelle": "réseau d'eau potable fragile" } ], "n_indicateurs_presents": 72, "avertissement": "Aucune élimination en phase 1 (arbitrage A2). Les qualifications signalent les scores à lire avec précaution." }, "eliminatoires": [ { "code": "PEN_AEP", "id": "PEN_AEP", "statut": "non_applique_phase_1", "libelle": "Réseau d'eau potable en rupture structurelle", "horizon": "2050", "plafond_points": 6.0 }, { "code": "PEN_EAU", "id": "PEN_EAU", "statut": "non_applique_phase_1", "libelle": "Rupture structurelle de la ressource en eau", "horizon": "2076", "plafond_points": 8.0 }, { "code": "PEN_SUBMERSION", "id": "PEN_SUBMERSION", "statut": "non_applique_phase_1", "libelle": "Submersion marine : part de la population exposée", "horizon": "2076", "plafond_points": 5.0 } ], "eliminatoires_note": "Conçus mais NON APPLIQUÉS en phase 1 : la submersion et l'érosion sont des risques communaux, éliminer un département entier serait une faute. Ils s'appliqueront en phase 2, à la maille commune. En phase 1, ils prennent la forme de pénalités convexes plafonnées.", "departements": { "01": { "code": "01", "nom": "Ain", "region": "Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes", "accord": "m", "vie": { "rang": 48, "position": "moyenne" }, "prefecture": "Bourg-en-Bresse", "population": 679344, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": false, "note_infra": "", "qualifications": [], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.655, "penalite": 6.0, "penalites_detail": [ { "regle": "PEN_AEP", "code": "PEN_AEP", "points": 6.0, "motif": "INF_AEP=10 > seuil 8 (2050)" } ], "alertes": [ "PEN_AEP" ], "forces": [ { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 23.2 }, { "domaine": "gouvernance", "libelle": "Préparation locale", "score": 29.5 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "agri_energie", "libelle": "Agriculture et forêts", "score": 59.6 }, { "domaine": "sante_infra", "libelle": "Santé et services", "score": 54.5 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 34.13, "rang": 66, "rang_min": 40.0, "rang_max": 79.0, "note_climat": 31.85, "note_vie": 47.06, "rang_climat": 65, "rang_vie": 48 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 33.27, "rang": 60, "rang_min": 40.0, "rang_max": 79.0, "note_climat": 30.71, "note_vie": 47.76, "rang_climat": 60, "rang_vie": 48 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 34.94, "rang": 70, "rang_min": 40.0, "rang_max": 79.0, "note_climat": 32.42, "note_vie": 49.21, "rang_climat": 69, "rang_vie": 51 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 34.37, "rang": 67, "rang_min": 40.0, "rang_max": 79.0, "note_climat": 31.93, "note_vie": 48.19, "rang_climat": 62, "rang_vie": 53 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 17.7, "eau": 15.3, "extremes": 25.0, "agri_energie": 43.7, "sante_infra": 49.3, "eco_immo": 21.4, "migrations": 33.1, "gouvernance": 28.7 }, "position_couleur": 0.2683, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 46.19, "rang": 64, "rang_min": 40.0, "rang_max": 79.0, "note_climat": 46.04, "note_vie": 47.06, "rang_climat": 67, "rang_vie": 48 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 45.52, "rang": 63, "rang_min": 40.0, "rang_max": 79.0, "note_climat": 45.12, "note_vie": 47.76, "rang_climat": 64, "rang_vie": 48 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 46.69, "rang": 68, "rang_min": 40.0, "rang_max": 79.0, "note_climat": 46.25, "note_vie": 49.21, "rang_climat": 68, "rang_vie": 51 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 46.42, "rang": 66, "rang_min": 40.0, "rang_max": 79.0, "note_climat": 45.78, "note_vie": 50.01, "rang_climat": 66, "rang_vie": 62 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 23.2, "eau": 39.2, "extremes": 32.5, "agri_energie": 59.6, "sante_infra": 54.5, "eco_immo": 35.3, "migrations": 33.1, "gouvernance": 29.5 }, "position_couleur": 0.6411, "evolution": { "points": 12.06, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 53.77, "rang": 65, "rang_min": 40.0, "rang_max": 79.0, "note_climat": 54.96, "note_vie": 47.06, "rang_climat": 64, "rang_vie": 48 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 53.16, "rang": 62, "rang_min": 40.0, "rang_max": 79.0, "note_climat": 54.11, "note_vie": 47.76, "rang_climat": 61, "rang_vie": 48 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 53.89, "rang": 67, "rang_min": 40.0, "rang_max": 79.0, "note_climat": 54.72, "note_vie": 49.21, "rang_climat": 66, "rang_vie": 51 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 53.79, "rang": 63, "rang_min": 40.0, "rang_max": 79.0, "note_climat": 54.1, "note_vie": 52.0, "rang_climat": 63, "rang_vie": 66 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 28.5, "eau": 47.5, "extremes": 38.7, "agri_energie": 78.1, "sante_infra": 58.7, "eco_immo": 41.4, "migrations": 33.1, "gouvernance": 29.9 }, "position_couleur": 0.8084, "evolution": { "points": 19.64, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 2.57, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.47, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 0.58, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 5.54, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.21, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 273.24, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.24, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 3.75, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 70.0, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 48.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 2.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 20.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 3.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 25.08, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 35.96, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 3.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 6.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 2.25, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.39, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 8.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 0.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 4.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 7.77, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 5.12, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 7.56, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 2.83, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 5.08, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 0.81, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 8.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 70.1, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 3.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 3.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 6.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 6.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 4.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 7.98, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 1.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 4.36, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 2578.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 1.54, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 3.87, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 6.85, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 9.46, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 3.06, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 6.01, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 4.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.23, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 6.38, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 5.34, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2050": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 5.6, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 1.28, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 1.77, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 6.77, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.03, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 442.85, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.24, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 3.75, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 120.0, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 79.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 94.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 68.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 3.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 25.3, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 3.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 27.09, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 39.56, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 4.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 6.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 2.25, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.94, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 8.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 0.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 4.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 7.77, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 5.17, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 7.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 3.54, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 5.08, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 0.81, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 5.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 60.4, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 5.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 6.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 7.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 6.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 3.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 7.98, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 2.09, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 4.36, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 2578.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 3.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 3.87, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 6.85, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 3.06, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 6.01, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 5.46, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.23, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 6.38, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 2.42, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 6.74, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2076": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 8.04, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 1.95, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 3.83, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 7.4, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.69, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 651.67, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.24, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 3.75, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 120.0, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 71.2, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 90.9, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.8, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 72.2, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 28.1, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 3.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 28.84, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 42.44, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 6.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 7.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 2.25, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 2.43, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 8.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 0.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 4.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 7.77, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 5.23, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 7.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 4.03, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 5.08, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 0.81, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 3.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 53.4, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 8.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 9.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 8.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 5.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 2.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 7.98, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 2.54, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 4.36, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 2578.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 4.27, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 3.87, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 6.85, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 3.06, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 6.01, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 6.25, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.23, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 6.38, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 2.98, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 7.44, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "02": { "code": "02", "nom": "Aisne", "region": "Hauts-de-France", "accord": "f", "vie": { "rang": 60, "position": "moyenne" }, "prefecture": "Laon", "population": 523342, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": false, "note_infra": "Chlorothalonil R471811 : plus de 80 % de la population desservie au-dessus de 0,1 µg/L (seuil de statut intermédiaire — voir CONTROLE_QUALITE §4.5)", "qualifications": [ { "code": "EAU_CHLOROTHALONIL", "libelle": "Chlorothalonil R471811 : plus de 80 % de la population desservie au-dessus de 0,1 µg/L (seuil de statut intermédiaire — voir CONTROLE_QUALITE §4.5)" } ], "confiance": "moyenne", "robustesse": 0.756, "penalite": 0.0, "penalites_detail": [], "alertes": [], "forces": [ { "domaine": "agri_energie", "libelle": "Agriculture et forêts", "score": 22.5 }, { "domaine": "eau", "libelle": "Eau", "score": 29.3 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "gouvernance", "libelle": "Préparation locale", "score": 50.7 }, { "domaine": "migrations", "libelle": "Population", "score": 43.3 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 26.28, "rang": 22, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 46.0, "note_climat": 21.97, "note_vie": 50.74, "rang_climat": 16, "rang_vie": 60 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 26.31, "rang": 25, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 46.0, "note_climat": 22.36, "note_vie": 48.69, "rang_climat": 22, "rang_vie": 54 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 25.39, "rang": 19, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 46.0, "note_climat": 20.9, "note_vie": 50.84, "rang_climat": 8, "rang_vie": 57 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 26.24, "rang": 22, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 46.0, "note_climat": 22.13, "note_vie": 49.56, "rang_climat": 16, "rang_vie": 55 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 26.9, "eau": 18.4, "extremes": 27.5, "agri_energie": 17.3, "sante_infra": 34.5, "eco_immo": 17.3, "migrations": 43.3, "gouvernance": 55.1 }, "position_couleur": 0.0732, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "plutot_moins" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 33.21, "rang": 9, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 46.0, "note_climat": 30.11, "note_vie": 50.74, "rang_climat": 5, "rang_vie": 60 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 33.13, "rang": 11, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 46.0, "note_climat": 30.38, "note_vie": 48.69, "rang_climat": 6, "rang_vie": 54 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 33.04, "rang": 9, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 46.0, "note_climat": 29.9, "note_vie": 50.84, "rang_climat": 6, "rang_vie": 57 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 33.4, "rang": 11, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 46.0, "note_climat": 29.99, "note_vie": 52.71, "rang_climat": 5, "rang_vie": 68 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 31.8, "eau": 29.3, "extremes": 35.3, "agri_energie": 22.5, "sante_infra": 40.1, "eco_immo": 30.1, "migrations": 43.3, "gouvernance": 50.7 }, "position_couleur": 0.2265, "evolution": { "points": 6.93, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "plutot_moins", "verdict_climat": "plutot_moins" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 38.77, "rang": 6, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 46.0, "note_climat": 36.65, "note_vie": 50.74, "rang_climat": 4, "rang_vie": 60 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 38.55, "rang": 7, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 46.0, "note_climat": 36.76, "note_vie": 48.69, "rang_climat": 5, "rang_vie": 54 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 38.78, "rang": 6, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 46.0, "note_climat": 36.66, "note_vie": 50.84, "rang_climat": 4, "rang_vie": 57 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 39.22, "rang": 7, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 46.0, "note_climat": 36.34, "note_vie": 55.53, "rang_climat": 4, "rang_vie": 73 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 36.5, "eau": 34.7, "extremes": 41.7, "agri_energie": 31.3, "sante_infra": 44.6, "eco_immo": 35.4, "migrations": 43.3, "gouvernance": 53.7 }, "position_couleur": 0.4077, "evolution": { "points": 12.49, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "plutot_moins", "verdict_climat": "nettement_moins" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 1.69, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.31, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 0.7, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 4.98, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.17, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 158.27, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.43, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 2.59, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 22.5, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 42.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 28.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 6.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 35.24, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 39.71, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 3.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 0.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.13, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": { "valeur": 5.73, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_FILIERES": { "valeur": 8.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_SUP_ACCES": { "valeur": 4.81, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": { "valeur": 4.89, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE": { "valeur": 6.47, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "VIEIL_AUTONOMIE_LOGT": { "valeur": 6.38, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_NO3_MAX": { "valeur": 66.5, "unite": "mg/L", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P50": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P40": { "valeur": 22.3, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P25": { "valeur": 42.3, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_EPIS50": { "valeur": 13.6, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_R471811": { "valeur": 88.5, "unite": "%", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAUQ_PESTOT": { "valeur": 59.2, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_PFAS_MAX": { "valeur": 0.035, "unite": "µg/L", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": -3.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 6.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 2.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 3.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 2.24, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 8.34, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 2.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 1.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 2.84, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 8.34, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 9.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 90.3, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 1.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 1.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 8.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 2.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 2.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 0.41, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 3.58, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 1253.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 1.59, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 1.12, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 4.71, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 4.55, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 4.34, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 5.03, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 2.39, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.56, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 5.08, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 2.84, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 2.63, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 0.04, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2050": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 3.78, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.87, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 2.02, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 6.13, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.97, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 246.63, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.43, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 2.59, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 36.0, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 96.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 102.5, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 62.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 29.2, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 6.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 38.06, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 43.68, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 4.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 4.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 0.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.58, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": { "valeur": 5.73, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_FILIERES": { "valeur": 8.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_SUP_ACCES": { "valeur": 4.81, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": { "valeur": 4.89, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE": { "valeur": 6.47, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "VIEIL_AUTONOMIE_LOGT": { "valeur": 6.38, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_NO3_MAX": { "valeur": null, "unite": "mg/L", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P50": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P40": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P25": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_EPIS50": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_R471811": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAUQ_PESTOT": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_PFAS_MAX": { "valeur": null, "unite": "µg/L", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": -3.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 6.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 2.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 3.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 2.24, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 8.44, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 3.31, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 2.05, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 2.84, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 8.34, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 8.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 86.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 3.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 2.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 8.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 2.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 0.86, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 3.58, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 1253.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 3.63, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 1.12, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 4.71, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 4.71, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 4.34, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 5.03, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 3.24, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.56, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 5.08, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 2.84, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 2.85, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 3.03, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2076": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 5.4, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 1.31, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 4.23, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 6.71, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.61, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 351.69, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.43, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 2.59, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 40.5, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 91.3, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 103.8, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.8, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 66.2, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 30.7, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 6.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 40.53, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 46.86, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 6.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 5.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 0.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.98, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": { "valeur": 5.73, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_FILIERES": { "valeur": 8.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_SUP_ACCES": { "valeur": 4.81, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": { "valeur": 4.89, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE": { "valeur": 6.47, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "VIEIL_AUTONOMIE_LOGT": { "valeur": 6.38, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_NO3_MAX": { "valeur": null, "unite": "mg/L", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P50": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P40": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P25": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_EPIS50": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_R471811": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAUQ_PESTOT": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_PFAS_MAX": { "valeur": null, "unite": "µg/L", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": -3.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 6.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 2.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 3.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 2.24, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 8.52, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 2.98, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 2.27, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 2.84, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 8.34, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 7.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 80.9, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 5.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 8.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 1.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 2.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 1.13, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 3.58, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 1253.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 4.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, 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88, "position": "defavorable" }, "prefecture": "Digne-les-Bains", "population": 168054, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": true, "note_infra": "Moyenne départementale trompeuse (forte hétérogénéité interne)", "qualifications": [ { "code": "MOYENNE_TROMPEUSE", "libelle": "Moyenne départementale trompeuse (forte hétérogénéité interne)" } ], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.651, "penalite": 0.0, "penalites_detail": [], "alertes": [], "forces": [ { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 23.7 }, { "domaine": "agri_energie", "libelle": "Agriculture et forêts", "score": 31.2 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "eco_immo", "libelle": "Emploi et logement", "score": 73.5 }, { "domaine": "eau", "libelle": "Eau", "score": 70.1 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 40.52, "rang": 82, "rang_min": 65.0, "rang_max": 87.0, "note_climat": 36.83, "note_vie": 61.41, "rang_climat": 80, "rang_vie": 88 }, "securite_physique": { 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55.98, "rang": 82, "rang_min": 65.0, "rang_max": 87.0, "note_climat": 54.59, "note_vie": 63.86, "rang_climat": 80, "rang_vie": 89 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 58.66, "rang": 85, "rang_min": 65.0, "rang_max": 87.0, "note_climat": 58.1, "note_vie": 61.82, "rang_climat": 84, "rang_vie": 87 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 55.75, "rang": 82, "rang_min": 65.0, "rang_max": 87.0, "note_climat": 55.25, "note_vie": 58.61, "rang_climat": 81, "rang_vie": 83 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 23.7, "eau": 70.1, "extremes": 66.3, "agri_energie": 31.2, "sante_infra": 61.7, "eco_immo": 73.5, "migrations": 43.0, "gouvernance": 51.0 }, "position_couleur": 0.8328, "evolution": { "points": 15.85, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "nettement_plus", "verdict_climat": "plutot_plus" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 65.23, "rang": 81, "rang_min": 65.0, "rang_max": 87.0, "note_climat": 65.9, "note_vie": 61.41, "rang_climat": 81, "rang_vie": 88 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 64.91, 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4.31, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 9.14, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "05": { "code": "05", "nom": "Hautes-Alpes", "region": "Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur", "accord": "fp", "vie": { "rang": 76, "position": "defavorable" }, "prefecture": "Gap", "population": 143467, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": true, "note_infra": "Moyenne départementale trompeuse (forte hétérogénéité interne)", "qualifications": [ { "code": "MOYENNE_TROMPEUSE", "libelle": "Moyenne départementale trompeuse (forte hétérogénéité interne)" } ], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.651, "penalite": 0.0, "penalites_detail": [], "alertes": [], "forces": [ { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 5.9 }, { "domaine": "gouvernance", "libelle": "Préparation locale", "score": 27.6 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "eco_immo", "libelle": "Emploi et logement", "score": 63.4 }, { "domaine": "sante_infra", "libelle": "Santé et services", "score": 56.5 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 29.67, "rang": 45, "rang_min": 12.0, "rang_max": 74.0, "note_climat": 25.22, "note_vie": 54.9, "rang_climat": 34, "rang_vie": 76 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 27.42, "rang": 30, "rang_min": 12.0, "rang_max": 74.0, "note_climat": 22.25, "note_vie": 56.72, "rang_climat": 20, "rang_vie": 82 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 33.42, "rang": 62, "rang_min": 12.0, "rang_max": 74.0, "note_climat": 29.62, "note_vie": 54.94, "rang_climat": 56, "rang_vie": 71 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 29.48, "rang": 44, "rang_min": 12.0, "rang_max": 74.0, "note_climat": 24.99, "note_vie": 54.95, "rang_climat": 34, "rang_vie": 70 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 4.3, "eau": 8.1, "extremes": 41.7, "agri_energie": 22.9, "sante_infra": 50.8, "eco_immo": 45.1, "migrations": 45.7, "gouvernance": 43.2 }, "position_couleur": 0.1603, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 40.37, "rang": 45, "rang_min": 12.0, "rang_max": 74.0, "note_climat": 37.8, "note_vie": 54.9, "rang_climat": 38, "rang_vie": 76 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 38.59, "rang": 38, "rang_min": 12.0, "rang_max": 74.0, "note_climat": 35.39, "note_vie": 56.72, "rang_climat": 26, "rang_vie": 82 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 44.27, "rang": 62, "rang_min": 12.0, "rang_max": 74.0, "note_climat": 42.39, "note_vie": 54.94, "rang_climat": 56, "rang_vie": 71 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 38.77, "rang": 38, "rang_min": 12.0, "rang_max": 74.0, "note_climat": 37.6, "note_vie": 45.39, "rang_climat": 38, "rang_vie": 47 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 5.9, "eau": 36.3, "extremes": 47.5, "agri_energie": 31.8, "sante_infra": 56.5, "eco_immo": 63.4, "migrations": 45.7, "gouvernance": 27.6 }, "position_couleur": 0.4669, "evolution": { "points": 10.7, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 47.75, "rang": 45, "rang_min": 12.0, "rang_max": 74.0, "note_climat": 46.49, "note_vie": 54.9, "rang_climat": 36, "rang_vie": 76 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 46.19, "rang": 40, "rang_min": 12.0, "rang_max": 74.0, "note_climat": 44.34, "note_vie": 56.72, "rang_climat": 26, "rang_vie": 82 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 50.95, "rang": 58, "rang_min": 12.0, "rang_max": 74.0, "note_climat": 50.25, "note_vie": 54.94, "rang_climat": 51, "rang_vie": 71 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 44.68, "rang": 28, "rang_min": 12.0, "rang_max": 74.0, "note_climat": 45.25, "note_vie": 41.44, "rang_climat": 32, "rang_vie": 36 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 7.9, "eau": 49.5, "extremes": 52.5, "agri_energie": 46.6, "sante_infra": 57.9, "eco_immo": 70.4, "migrations": 45.7, "gouvernance": 29.4 }, "position_couleur": 0.6986, "evolution": { "points": 18.08, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", 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}, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 9.02, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 7.81, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 9.16, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2076": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 16.33, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 3.96, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 38.16, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 8.7, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.73, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 1955.75, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 7.4, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 2.66, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 48.2, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 71.2, "unite": "% vs actuel", 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"INF_AEP": { "valeur": 3.72, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 9.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 5.28, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 7.66, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 3.58, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 6.03, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 9.02, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 8.57, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 9.34, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "07": { "code": "07", "nom": "Ardèche", "region": "Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes", "accord": "f", "vie": { "rang": 82, "position": "defavorable" }, "prefecture": "Privas", "population": 334231, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": true, "note_infra": "Moyenne départementale trompeuse (forte hétérogénéité interne)", "qualifications": [ { "code": "MOYENNE_TROMPEUSE", "libelle": "Moyenne départementale trompeuse (forte hétérogénéité interne)" } ], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.651, "penalite": 0.0, "penalites_detail": [], "alertes": [], "forces": [ { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 18.4 }, { "domaine": "eau", "libelle": "Eau", "score": 43.7 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "gouvernance", "libelle": "Préparation locale", "score": 53.2 }, { "domaine": "sante_infra", "libelle": "Santé et services", "score": 52.9 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 32.15, "rang": 55, "rang_min": 34.0, "rang_max": 77.0, "note_climat": 27.84, "note_vie": 56.61, "rang_climat": 44, "rang_vie": 82 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 30.71, "rang": 49, "rang_min": 34.0, "rang_max": 77.0, "note_climat": 25.8, "note_vie": 58.56, "rang_climat": 38, "rang_vie": 85 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 33.6, "rang": 65, "rang_min": 34.0, "rang_max": 77.0, "note_climat": 29.5, "note_vie": 56.86, "rang_climat": 54, "rang_vie": 77 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 32.44, "rang": 55, "rang_min": 34.0, "rang_max": 77.0, "note_climat": 28.1, "note_vie": 57.05, "rang_climat": 47, "rang_vie": 81 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 12.2, "eau": 10.8, "extremes": 42.0, "agri_energie": 33.2, "sante_infra": 47.3, "eco_immo": 33.4, "migrations": 43.8, "gouvernance": 60.9 }, "position_couleur": 0.2021, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 46.66, "rang": 67, "rang_min": 34.0, "rang_max": 77.0, "note_climat": 44.9, "note_vie": 56.61, "rang_climat": 63, "rang_vie": 82 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 45.76, "rang": 65, "rang_min": 34.0, "rang_max": 77.0, "note_climat": 43.5, "note_vie": 58.56, "rang_climat": 57, "rang_vie": 85 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 47.67, "rang": 70, "rang_min": 34.0, "rang_max": 77.0, "note_climat": 46.05, "note_vie": 56.86, "rang_climat": 67, "rang_vie": 77 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 46.58, "rang": 67, "rang_min": 34.0, "rang_max": 77.0, "note_climat": 44.68, "note_vie": 57.39, "rang_climat": 63, "rang_vie": 79 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 18.4, "eau": 43.7, "extremes": 50.3, "agri_energie": 50.1, "sante_infra": 52.9, "eco_immo": 52.8, "migrations": 43.8, "gouvernance": 53.2 }, "position_couleur": 0.6638, "evolution": { "points": 14.51, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 56.66, "rang": 70, "rang_min": 34.0, "rang_max": 77.0, "note_climat": 56.66, "note_vie": 56.61, "rang_climat": 66, "rang_vie": 82 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 55.98, "rang": 67, "rang_min": 34.0, "rang_max": 77.0, "note_climat": 55.53, "note_vie": 58.56, "rang_climat": 65, "rang_vie": 85 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 57.02, "rang": 72, "rang_min": 34.0, "rang_max": 77.0, 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"rang_vie": 55 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 42.43, "rang": 21, "rang_min": 7.0, "rang_max": 49.0, "note_climat": 40.77, "note_vie": 51.83, "rang_climat": 14, "rang_vie": 61 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 41.69, "rang": 14, "rang_min": 7.0, "rang_max": 49.0, "note_climat": 40.4, "note_vie": 49.01, "rang_climat": 14, "rang_vie": 56 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 31.9, "eau": 37.0, "extremes": 34.1, "agri_energie": 56.2, "sante_infra": 46.8, "eco_immo": 42.1, "migrations": 42.8, "gouvernance": 51.3 }, "position_couleur": 0.5436, "evolution": { "points": 15.31, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "plutot_moins", "verdict_climat": "plutot_moins" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 1.54, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.28, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 0.37, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 4.86, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.18, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 140.37, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.3, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 2.85, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 28.7, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 40.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 20.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 6.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 31.1862, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 29.75, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 0.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.04, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": -3.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 7.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 2.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 2.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 3.77, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": 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"ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 1.35, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 1.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 1180.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 1.45, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 0.63, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 4.88, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 4.69, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 4.48, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 5.91, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 2.91, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.95, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 4.93, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 1.53, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 2.74, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2050": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 3.53, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.81, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 1.18, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 6.02, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.99, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 222.12, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.3, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 2.85, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 45.9, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 91.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 101.5, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 60.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 22.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 6.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 33.681, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 32.73, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 3.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 4.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 0.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.46, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": -3.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 7.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 2.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 2.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 3.77, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 6.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 3.92, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 0.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 3.12, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 8.43, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 7.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 85.4, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 2.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 4.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 5.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 8.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 3.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 1.87, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 2.16, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 1.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 1180.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 3.25, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 0.63, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 4.88, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 5.04, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 4.48, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 5.91, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 3.96, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.95, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 4.93, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 1.53, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 2.88, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 3.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2076": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 5.09, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 1.24, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 2.67, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 6.61, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.63, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 320.65, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.3, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 2.85, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 51.7, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 85.8, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 102.3, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.8, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 64.2, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 23.3, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 6.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 35.8594, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 35.11, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 5.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 5.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 0.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.82, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": -3.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 7.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 2.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 2.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 3.77, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 6.75, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 3.71, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 0.93, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 3.12, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 8.43, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 5.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 75.8, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 6.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 7.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 6.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 8.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 2.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 1.87, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 2.61, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { 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4.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "09": { "code": "09", "nom": "Ariège", "region": "Occitanie", "accord": "f", "vie": { "rang": 89, "position": "defavorable" }, "prefecture": "Foix", "population": 155722, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": true, "note_infra": "Moyenne départementale trompeuse (forte hétérogénéité interne)", "qualifications": [ { "code": "MOYENNE_TROMPEUSE", "libelle": "Moyenne départementale trompeuse (forte hétérogénéité interne)" } ], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.655, "penalite": 0.0, "penalites_detail": [], "alertes": [], "forces": [ { "domaine": "agri_energie", "libelle": "Agriculture et forêts", "score": 23.6 }, { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 44.2 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "gouvernance", "libelle": "Préparation locale", "score": 70.7 }, { "domaine": "eau", "libelle": "Eau", "score": 66.4 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 40.01, "rang": 81, "rang_min": 61.0, "rang_max": 86.0, "note_climat": 35.69, "note_vie": 64.48, "rang_climat": 77, "rang_vie": 89 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 39.13, "rang": 80, "rang_min": 61.0, "rang_max": 86.0, "note_climat": 34.36, "note_vie": 66.19, "rang_climat": 75, "rang_vie": 92 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 41.65, "rang": 83, "rang_min": 61.0, "rang_max": 86.0, "note_climat": 37.54, "note_vie": 64.94, "rang_climat": 81, "rang_vie": 89 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 40.25, "rang": 81, "rang_min": 61.0, "rang_max": 86.0, "note_climat": 35.77, "note_vie": 65.63, "rang_climat": 77, "rang_vie": 91 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 30.5, "eau": 27.6, "extremes": 53.5, "agri_energie": 13.7, "sante_infra": 57.0, "eco_immo": 35.8, "migrations": 45.4, "gouvernance": 81.6 }, "position_couleur": 0.4634, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "plutot_plus", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 55.21, "rang": 80, 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"libelle": "Agriculture et forêts", "score": 40.9 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 27.27, "rang": 30, "rang_min": 8.0, "rang_max": 49.0, "note_climat": 22.53, "note_vie": 54.11, "rang_climat": 19, "rang_vie": 69 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 27.66, "rang": 32, "rang_min": 8.0, "rang_max": 49.0, "note_climat": 23.11, "note_vie": 53.45, "rang_climat": 23, "rang_vie": 72 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 26.67, "rang": 30, "rang_min": 8.0, "rang_max": 49.0, "note_climat": 21.56, "note_vie": 55.66, "rang_climat": 10, "rang_vie": 73 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 27.54, "rang": 30, "rang_min": 8.0, "rang_max": 49.0, "note_climat": 22.62, "note_vie": 55.42, "rang_climat": 18, "rang_vie": 74 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 30.8, "eau": 19.1, "extremes": 21.2, "agri_energie": 30.2, "sante_infra": 42.1, "eco_immo": 22.5, "migrations": 35.4, "gouvernance": 27.6 }, "position_couleur": 0.101, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, 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}, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 6.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 9.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 1.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 3.02, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 2.22, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 3.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 1541.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 4.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 1.79, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 3.34, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 5.02, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 4.56, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 5.72, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 4.26, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.77, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 8.38, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 1.72, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 3.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 5.54, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "11": { "code": "11", "nom": "Aude", "region": "Occitanie", "accord": "f", "vie": { "rang": 96, "position": "defavorable" }, "prefecture": "Carcassonne", "population": 379648, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": true, "note_infra": "Moyenne départementale trompeuse (forte hétérogénéité interne)", "qualifications": [ { "code": "MOYENNE_TROMPEUSE", "libelle": "Moyenne départementale trompeuse (forte hétérogénéité interne)" } ], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.649, "penalite": 16.65, "penalites_detail": [ { "regle": "PEN_EAU", "code": "PEN_EAU", "points": 8.0, "motif": "3 conditions (2076) : A_ressource_superficielle, B_nappes, C_restrictions_observees" }, { "regle": "PEN_SUBMERSION", "code": "PEN_SUBMERSION", "points": 2.65, "motif": "EXT_SUBMERSION=9.81 > seuil 5 (2076)" }, { "regle": "PEN_AEP", "code": "PEN_AEP", "points": 6.0, "motif": "INF_AEP=10 > seuil 8 (2050)" } ], "alertes": [ "PEN_EAU", "PEN_SUBMERSION", "PEN_AEP" ], "forces": [ { "domaine": "agri_energie", "libelle": "Agriculture et forêts", "score": 41.9 }, { "domaine": "migrations", "libelle": "Population", "score": 47.3 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 92.2 }, { "domaine": "eco_immo", "libelle": "Emploi et logement", "score": 86.2 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 68.88, "rang": 96, "rang_min": 94.0, "rang_max": 96.0, "note_climat": 68.54, "note_vie": 70.82, "rang_climat": 96, "rang_vie": 96 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 68.11, "rang": 96, "rang_min": 94.0, "rang_max": 96.0, "note_climat": 67.86, "note_vie": 69.54, "rang_climat": 96, "rang_vie": 95 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 71.22, "rang": 96, "rang_min": 94.0, "rang_max": 96.0, "note_climat": 70.94, "note_vie": 72.86, "rang_climat": 96, "rang_vie": 96 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 68.62, "rang": 96, "rang_min": 94.0, "rang_max": 96.0, "note_climat": 68.03, "note_vie": 71.91, "rang_climat": 96, "rang_vie": 96 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 74.9, "eau": 33.9, "extremes": 71.6, "agri_energie": 25.4, "sante_infra": 71.7, "eco_immo": 55.6, "migrations": 47.3, "gouvernance": 83.7 }, "position_couleur": 0.9338, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "nettement_plus", "verdict_climat": "nettement_plus" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 87.63, "rang": 96, "rang_min": 94.0, "rang_max": 96.0, "note_climat": 90.6, "note_vie": 70.82, "rang_climat": 96, "rang_vie": 96 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 87.62, "rang": 96, "rang_min": 94.0, "rang_max": 96.0, "note_climat": 90.81, "note_vie": 69.54, "rang_climat": 96, "rang_vie": 95 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 89.57, "rang": 96, "rang_min": 94.0, "rang_max": 96.0, "note_climat": 92.52, "note_vie": 72.86, "rang_climat": 96, "rang_vie": 96 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 87.29, "rang": 96, "rang_min": 94.0, "rang_max": 96.0, "note_climat": 90.73, "note_vie": 67.78, "rang_climat": 96, "rang_vie": 96 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 92.2, "eau": 75.8, "extremes": 82.3, "agri_energie": 41.9, "sante_infra": 76.0, "eco_immo": 86.2, "migrations": 47.3, "gouvernance": 75.2 }, "position_couleur": 0.9861, "evolution": { "points": 18.75, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "nettement_plus", "verdict_climat": "nettement_plus" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 94.02, "rang": 96, "rang_min": 94.0, "rang_max": 96.0, "note_climat": 98.12, "note_vie": 70.82, "rang_climat": 96, "rang_vie": 96 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 94.59, "rang": 96, "rang_min": 94.0, "rang_max": 96.0, "note_climat": 99.02, "note_vie": 69.54, "rang_climat": 96, "rang_vie": 95 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 94.71, "rang": 96, "rang_min": 94.0, "rang_max": 96.0, "note_climat": 98.56, "note_vie": 72.86, "rang_climat": 96, "rang_vie": 96 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 93.89, "rang": 96, "rang_min": 94.0, "rang_max": 96.0, "note_climat": 98.63, "note_vie": 67.02, "rang_climat": 96, "rang_vie": 95 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 93.2, "eau": 88.8, "extremes": 86.9, "agri_energie": 55.5, "sante_infra": 77.1, "eco_immo": 86.2, "migrations": 47.3, "gouvernance": 78.1 }, "position_couleur": 1.0, "evolution": { "points": 25.14, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "nettement_plus", "verdict_climat": "nettement_plus" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 12.39, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 2.29, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 23.6, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 8.18, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.31, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 2110.03, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 6.31, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 0.89, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 56.0, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 90.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 2.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 45.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 4.7, "unite": 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"ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 0.84, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 3.64, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 3.36, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 1880.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 3.19, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 7.65, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 0.74, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 9.84, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 2.39, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 6.65, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 2.85, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.96, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 9.56, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 1.41, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 6.77, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 9.99, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2050": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 22.14, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 5.07, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 37.35, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 9.28, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.19, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 3426.02, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 6.31, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 0.89, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 98.0, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 79.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", 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"SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 0.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 5.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 9.01, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "13": { "code": "13", "nom": "Bouches-du-Rhône", "region": "Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur", "accord": "mp", "vie": { "rang": 68, "position": "defavorable" }, "prefecture": "Marseille", "population": 2087658, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": false, "note_infra": "", "qualifications": [], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.656, "penalite": 8.0, "penalites_detail": [ { "regle": "PEN_EAU", "code": "PEN_EAU", "points": 8.0, "motif": "2 conditions (2076) : B_nappes, C_restrictions_observees" } ], "alertes": [ "PEN_EAU" ], "forces": [ { "domaine": "migrations", "libelle": "Population", "score": 37.6 }, { "domaine": "gouvernance", "libelle": "Préparation locale", "score": 58.2 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "chaleur", 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0.8676, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "nettement_plus", "verdict_climat": "nettement_plus" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 76.58, "rang": 91, "rang_min": 90.0, "rang_max": 93.0, "note_climat": 80.74, "note_vie": 53.04, "rang_climat": 91, "rang_vie": 68 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 77.25, "rang": 91, "rang_min": 90.0, "rang_max": 93.0, "note_climat": 81.08, "note_vie": 55.54, "rang_climat": 92, "rang_vie": 78 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 77.48, "rang": 91, "rang_min": 90.0, "rang_max": 93.0, "note_climat": 81.97, "note_vie": 52.04, "rang_climat": 91, "rang_vie": 63 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 76.13, "rang": 91, "rang_min": 90.0, "rang_max": 93.0, "note_climat": 80.84, "note_vie": 49.44, "rang_climat": 91, "rang_vie": 61 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 96.9, "eau": 66.6, "extremes": 74.4, "agri_energie": 65.7, "sante_infra": 68.8, "eco_immo": 69.5, "migrations": 37.6, "gouvernance": 58.2 }, "position_couleur": 0.9617, "evolution": { "points": 17.3, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "nettement_plus", "verdict_climat": "nettement_plus" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 83.41, "rang": 91, "rang_min": 90.0, "rang_max": 93.0, "note_climat": 88.77, "note_vie": 53.04, "rang_climat": 91, "rang_vie": 68 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 84.58, "rang": 91, "rang_min": 90.0, "rang_max": 93.0, "note_climat": 89.7, "note_vie": 55.54, "rang_climat": 92, "rang_vie": 78 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 83.31, "rang": 91, "rang_min": 90.0, "rang_max": 93.0, "note_climat": 88.83, "note_vie": 52.04, "rang_climat": 91, "rang_vie": 63 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 82.6, "rang": 91, "rang_min": 90.0, "rang_max": 93.0, "note_climat": 88.71, "note_vie": 47.94, "rang_climat": 91, "rang_vie": 52 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 99.9, "eau": 80.6, "extremes": 78.9, "agri_energie": 78.0, "sante_infra": 70.8, "eco_immo": 71.5, "migrations": 37.6, "gouvernance": 60.3 }, "position_couleur": 0.9791, "evolution": { "points": 24.13, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "nettement_plus", "verdict_climat": "nettement_plus" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 9.21, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 1.7, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 23.17, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 7.64, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.26, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 1436.1, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 8.19, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 1.31, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 38.0, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 90.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 45.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 4.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 22.1277, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 2.24, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 8.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 7.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 4.58, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 7.76, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 3.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 1.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 6.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 1.25, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 7.15, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 4.17, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 8.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 9.05, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 8.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 8.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 18.3, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 3.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 1.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 4.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 4.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 6.13, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 1.22, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 7.69, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 3514.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 3.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 9.46, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 1.11, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 2.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 8.36, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 5.36, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 4.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 3.89, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 5.22, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 6.56, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 9.43, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2050": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 16.42, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 3.76, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 36.05, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 8.71, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.12, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 2195.89, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 8.19, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 1.31, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 66.5, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 81.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 90.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 2.5, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 120.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 55.6, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 5.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 27.6612, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 3.36, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 9.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 7.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 4.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 4.58, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 10.87, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 3.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 1.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 6.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 1.25, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 7.38, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 3.73, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 8.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 9.05, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 8.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 5.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 15.4, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 7.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 2.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 5.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 4.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 6.13, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 1.98, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 7.69, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 3514.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 8.24, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 9.46, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 1.11, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 2.43, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 8.36, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 5.36, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 6.17, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 3.89, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 5.22, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 7.45, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 9.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2076": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 21.9, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 5.32, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 47.92, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 9.26, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.8, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 3084.27, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 8.19, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 1.31, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 77.9, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 73.7, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 84.8, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 3.3, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 131.4, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 61.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 6.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 32.0855, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 4.93, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 7.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 5.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 4.58, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 13.59, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 3.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 1.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 6.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 1.25, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 7.56, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 3.32, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 8.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 9.05, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 8.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 2.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 12.7, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 3.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 5.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 3.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 6.13, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 2.41, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 7.69, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 3514.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 9.46, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 1.11, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 2.52, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 8.36, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 5.36, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 6.96, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 3.89, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 5.22, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 7.44, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 9.69, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "14": { "code": "14", "nom": "Calvados", "region": "Normandie", "accord": "m", "vie": { "rang": 7, "position": "favorable" }, "prefecture": "Caen", "population": 709441, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": false, "note_infra": "Chlorothalonil R471811 : plus de 80 % de la population desservie au-dessus de 0,1 µg/L (seuil de statut intermédiaire — voir CONTROLE_QUALITE §4.5)", "qualifications": [ { "code": "EAU_CHLOROTHALONIL", "libelle": "Chlorothalonil R471811 : plus de 80 % de la population desservie au-dessus de 0,1 µg/L (seuil de statut intermédiaire — voir CONTROLE_QUALITE §4.5)" } ], "confiance": "moyenne", "robustesse": 0.754, "penalite": 4.44, "penalites_detail": [ { "regle": "PEN_SUBMERSION", "code": "PEN_SUBMERSION", "points": 4.44, "motif": "EXT_SUBMERSION=13.07 > seuil 5 (2076)" } ], "alertes": [ "PEN_SUBMERSION" ], "forces": [ { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 15.9 }, { "domaine": "sante_infra", "libelle": "Santé et services", "score": 22.7 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "migrations", "libelle": "Population", "score": 41.2 }, { "domaine": "gouvernance", "libelle": "Préparation locale", "score": 37.3 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 27.26, "rang": 29, "rang_min": 4.0, "rang_max": 48.0, "note_climat": 26.6, "note_vie": 31.03, "rang_climat": 39, "rang_vie": 7 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 26.67, "rang": 28, "rang_min": 4.0, "rang_max": 48.0, "note_climat": 26.15, "note_vie": 29.58, "rang_climat": 41, "rang_vie": 4 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 26.11, "rang": 24, "rang_min": 4.0, "rang_max": 48.0, "note_climat": 25.36, "note_vie": 30.35, "rang_climat": 37, "rang_vie": 6 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 27.06, "rang": 28, "rang_min": 4.0, "rang_max": 48.0, "note_climat": 26.66, "note_vie": 29.3, "rang_climat": 39, "rang_vie": 3 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 12.8, "eau": 20.2, "extremes": 21.3, "agri_energie": 30.0, "sante_infra": 17.8, "eco_immo": 20.4, "migrations": 41.2, "gouvernance": 49.3 }, "position_couleur": 0.0976, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 34.11, "rang": 12, "rang_min": 4.0, "rang_max": 48.0, "note_climat": 34.66, "note_vie": 31.03, "rang_climat": 18, "rang_vie": 7 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 33.91, "rang": 12, "rang_min": 4.0, "rang_max": 48.0, "note_climat": 34.67, "note_vie": 29.58, "rang_climat": 21, "rang_vie": 4 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 33.29, "rang": 12, "rang_min": 4.0, "rang_max": 48.0, "note_climat": 33.81, "note_vie": 30.35, "rang_climat": 19, "rang_vie": 6 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 33.76, "rang": 12, "rang_min": 4.0, "rang_max": 48.0, "note_climat": 34.6, "note_vie": 28.97, "rang_climat": 19, "rang_vie": 1 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 15.9, "eau": 34.4, "extremes": 30.2, "agri_energie": 34.2, "sante_infra": 22.7, "eco_immo": 32.8, "migrations": 41.2, "gouvernance": 37.3 }, "position_couleur": 0.2648, "evolution": { "points": 6.85, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "plutot_moins", "verdict_climat": "plutot_moins" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 40.82, "rang": 13, "rang_min": 4.0, "rang_max": 48.0, "note_climat": 42.55, "note_vie": 31.03, "rang_climat": 17, "rang_vie": 7 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 40.24, "rang": 12, "rang_min": 4.0, "rang_max": 48.0, "note_climat": 42.13, "note_vie": 29.58, "rang_climat": 16, "rang_vie": 4 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 40.61, "rang": 13, "rang_min": 4.0, "rang_max": 48.0, "note_climat": 42.43, "note_vie": 30.35, "rang_climat": 18, "rang_vie": 6 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 40.27, "rang": 12, "rang_min": 4.0, "rang_max": 48.0, "note_climat": 42.66, "note_vie": 26.74, "rang_climat": 18, "rang_vie": 1 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 19.8, "eau": 41.2, "extremes": 38.5, "agri_energie": 43.0, "sante_infra": 26.5, "eco_immo": 45.5, "migrations": 41.2, "gouvernance": 39.6 }, "position_couleur": 0.4843, "evolution": { "points": 13.56, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "plutot_moins", "verdict_climat": "plutot_moins" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 0.64, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.12, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 0.9, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 3.98, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.12, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 109.12, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 6.07, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 4.83, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 16.3, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 42.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 28.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 7.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 8.9, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 5.94, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 6.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 38.19, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 7.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 1.28, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.08, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": { "valeur": 6.02, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_FILIERES": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_SUP_ACCES": { "valeur": 7.42, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": { "valeur": 1.94, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE": { "valeur": 9.64, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "VIEIL_AUTONOMIE_LOGT": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_NO3_MAX": { "valeur": 47.9, "unite": "mg/L", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P50": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P40": { "valeur": 21.6, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P25": { "valeur": 49.1, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_EPIS50": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_R471811": { "valeur": 92.6, "unite": "%", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAUQ_PESTOT": { "valeur": 51.4, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_PFAS_MAX": { "valeur": 0.0978, "unite": "µg/L", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 6.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 2.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 4.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 5.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 6.92, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 3.24, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 1.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 5.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 2.99, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 9.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 84.1, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 0.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 1.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 3.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 2.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 6.83, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 0.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 5.16, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 2632.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 1.53, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 4.57, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 8.28, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 4.19, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 5.09, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 5.38, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 3.81, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 0.08, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 7.86, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 2.98, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 0.71, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2050": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 1.53, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.35, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 2.34, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 4.86, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.89, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 157.59, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 6.07, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 4.83, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 26.1, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 89.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 102.5, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 62.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 31.5, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 7.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 9.61, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 8.91, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 7.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 42.01, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 3.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 7.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 4.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 1.28, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.51, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": { "valeur": 6.02, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_FILIERES": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_SUP_ACCES": { "valeur": 7.42, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": { "valeur": 1.94, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE": { "valeur": 9.64, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "VIEIL_AUTONOMIE_LOGT": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_NO3_MAX": { "valeur": null, "unite": "mg/L", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P50": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P40": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P25": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_EPIS50": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_R471811": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAUQ_PESTOT": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_PFAS_MAX": { "valeur": null, "unite": "µg/L", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 6.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 2.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 4.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 5.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 6.95, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 4.78, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 2.05, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 5.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 2.99, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 8.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 78.6, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 2.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 2.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 4.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 2.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 6.83, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 0.99, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 5.16, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 2632.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 3.46, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 4.57, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 8.28, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 4.25, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 5.09, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 5.38, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 1.19, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 3.81, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 0.08, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 7.86, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 3.27, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 3.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2076": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 2.19, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.53, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 4.61, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 5.31, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.5, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 211.46, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 6.07, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 4.83, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 29.3, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 82.8, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 103.8, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.8, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 66.2, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 33.8, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 8.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 10.23, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 13.07, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 9.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 45.06, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 5.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 7.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 5.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 1.28, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.89, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": { "valeur": 6.02, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_FILIERES": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_SUP_ACCES": { "valeur": 7.42, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": { "valeur": 1.94, "unite": "0-10", 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"confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 4.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 5.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 6.99, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 4.51, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 2.27, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 5.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 2.99, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 6.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 72.1, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 5.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 4.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 5.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, 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"confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 5.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 4.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 6.92, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 6.59, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 6.44, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 9.25, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 5.07, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 3.97, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 6.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 69.3, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 6.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 4.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 5.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 5.77, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 1.38, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 4.64, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 2757.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 6.13, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 6.62, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 9.28, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 4.39, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 5.47, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 1.09, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 3.8, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 2.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 3.11, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 4.94, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 7.12, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2076": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 3.71, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.9, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 15.21, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 6.1, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.55, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 520.04, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.79, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": 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"haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 7.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 7.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 8.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 4.91, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 10.19, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 13.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 5.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 4.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 6.92, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 6.17, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 5.88, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 9.25, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 5.07, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 3.97, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 3.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 59.1, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 8.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 8.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 6.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 5.77, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 1.73, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 4.64, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 2757.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 9.16, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 6.62, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 9.28, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 4.39, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 5.47, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 1.23, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 3.8, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 2.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 3.11, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 5.84, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 7.74, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "18": { "code": "18", "nom": "Cher", "region": "Centre-Val de Loire", "accord": "m", "vie": { "rang": 71, "position": "defavorable" }, "prefecture": "Bourges", "population": 298660, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": false, "note_infra": "Tension sur la ressource probablement sous-estimée (nappe exploitée)", "qualifications": [ { "code": "TENSION_EAU_SOUS_ESTIMEE", "libelle": "Tension sur la ressource probablement sous-estimée (nappe exploitée)" } ], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.655, "penalite": 0.0, "penalites_detail": [], "alertes": [], "forces": [ { "domaine": "eau", "libelle": "Eau", "score": 37.8 }, { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 38.8 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "gouvernance", "libelle": "Préparation locale", "score": 54.5 }, { "domaine": "agri_energie", "libelle": "Agriculture et forêts", "score": 52.2 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 33.58, "rang": 61, "rang_min": 35.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 29.88, "note_vie": 54.6, "rang_climat": 55, "rang_vie": 71 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 33.94, "rang": 66, "rang_min": 35.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 30.05, "note_vie": 56.02, "rang_climat": 57, "rang_vie": 80 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 32.18, "rang": 56, "rang_min": 35.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 28.28, "note_vie": 54.31, "rang_climat": 47, "rang_vie": 68 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 33.9, "rang": 61, "rang_min": 35.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 30.08, "note_vie": 55.58, "rang_climat": 55, "rang_vie": 77 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 31.8, "eau": 21.4, "extremes": 33.0, "agri_energie": 42.3, "sante_infra": 42.5, "eco_immo": 19.3, "migrations": 50.2, "gouvernance": 51.7 }, "position_couleur": 0.2474, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 43.64, "rang": 61, "rang_min": 35.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 41.7, "note_vie": 54.6, "rang_climat": 52, "rang_vie": 71 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 43.47, "rang": 60, "rang_min": 35.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 41.25, "note_vie": 56.02, "rang_climat": 53, "rang_vie": 80 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 43.12, "rang": 58, "rang_min": 35.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 41.15, "note_vie": 54.31, "rang_climat": 49, "rang_vie": 68 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 44.36, "rang": 61, "rang_min": 35.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 41.6, "note_vie": 60.0, "rang_climat": 53, "rang_vie": 87 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 38.8, "eau": 37.8, "extremes": 39.6, "agri_energie": 52.2, "sante_infra": 47.7, "eco_immo": 38.8, "migrations": 50.2, "gouvernance": 54.5 }, "position_couleur": 0.5819, "evolution": { "points": 10.06, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 51.47, "rang": 59, "rang_min": 35.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 50.91, "note_vie": 54.6, "rang_climat": 55, "rang_vie": 71 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 51.13, "rang": 59, "rang_min": 35.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 50.27, "note_vie": 56.02, "rang_climat": 55, "rang_vie": 80 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 50.77, "rang": 57, "rang_min": 35.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 50.15, "note_vie": 54.31, "rang_climat": 50, "rang_vie": 68 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 52.7, "rang": 61, "rang_min": 35.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 51.01, "note_vie": 62.26, "rang_climat": 57, "rang_vie": 89 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 46.1, "eau": 46.8, "extremes": 45.1, "agri_energie": 67.3, "sante_infra": 52.0, "eco_immo": 45.0, "migrations": 50.2, "gouvernance": 61.8 }, "position_couleur": 0.784, "evolution": { "points": 17.89, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 3.07, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.57, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 1.51, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 5.8, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.19, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 343.71, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.6, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 2.41, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 39.9, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 50.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 30.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" 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"confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 4.09, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 6.63, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "19": { "code": "19", "nom": "Corrèze", "region": "Nouvelle-Aquitaine", "accord": "f", "vie": { "rang": 43, "position": "moyenne" }, "prefecture": "Tulle", "population": 240826, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": false, "note_infra": "", "qualifications": [], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.651, "penalite": 6.0, "penalites_detail": [ { "regle": "PEN_AEP", "code": "PEN_AEP", "points": 6.0, "motif": "INF_AEP=10 > seuil 8 (2050)" } ], "alertes": [ "PEN_AEP" ], "forces": [ { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 23.7 }, { "domaine": "extremes", "libelle": "Catastrophes naturelles", "score": 27.1 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "eau", "libelle": "Eau", "score": 59.4 }, { "domaine": "gouvernance", "libelle": "Préparation locale", "score": 56.4 } ], 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"2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 47.23, "rang": 69, "rang_min": 36.0, "rang_max": 79.0, "note_climat": 47.66, "note_vie": 44.82, "rang_climat": 68, "rang_vie": 43 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 46.09, "rang": 67, "rang_min": 36.0, "rang_max": 79.0, "note_climat": 46.69, "note_vie": 42.67, "rang_climat": 68, "rang_vie": 35 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 48.01, "rang": 72, "rang_min": 36.0, "rang_max": 79.0, "note_climat": 48.29, "note_vie": 46.47, "rang_climat": 71, "rang_vie": 47 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 46.93, "rang": 69, "rang_min": 36.0, "rang_max": 79.0, "note_climat": 47.53, "note_vie": 43.56, "rang_climat": 68, "rang_vie": 40 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 23.7, "eau": 59.4, "extremes": 27.1, "agri_energie": 31.3, "sante_infra": 54.0, "eco_immo": 28.6, "migrations": 43.0, "gouvernance": 56.4 }, "position_couleur": 0.6794, "evolution": { "points": 14.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2076": { 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"confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.8, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 72.2, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 1.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 26.1, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 3.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 25.0908, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 6.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 6.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 1.38, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 2.85, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": { "valeur": 4.11, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_FILIERES": { "valeur": 8.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_SUP_ACCES": { "valeur": 6.29, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": { "valeur": 2.43, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE": { "valeur": 7.86, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "VIEIL_AUTONOMIE_LOGT": { "valeur": 8.03, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_NO3_MAX": { "valeur": null, "unite": "mg/L", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P50": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P40": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P25": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_EPIS50": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_R471811": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAUQ_PESTOT": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_PFAS_MAX": { "valeur": null, "unite": "µg/L", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 3.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 2.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 3.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 5.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 7.47, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 5.17, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 1.53, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 4.55, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 2.62, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 4.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 74.8, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 7.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 9.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 6.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 2.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 7.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 0.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 4.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 2366.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 5.89, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 4.32, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 7.41, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 5.57, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 4.93, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 5.49, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 4.97, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 3.71, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 4.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 8.01, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 3.35, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 6.26, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "22": { "code": "22", "nom": "Côtes-d'Armor", "region": "Bretagne", "accord": "fp", "vie": { "rang": 32, "position": "favorable" }, "prefecture": "Saint-Brieuc", "population": 611859, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": false, "note_infra": "Chlorothalonil R471811 : plus de 80 % de la population desservie au-dessus de 0,1 µg/L (seuil de statut intermédiaire — voir CONTROLE_QUALITE §4.5)", "qualifications": [ { "code": "EAU_CHLOROTHALONIL", "libelle": "Chlorothalonil R471811 : plus de 80 % de la population desservie au-dessus de 0,1 µg/L (seuil de statut intermédiaire — voir CONTROLE_QUALITE §4.5)" } ], "confiance": "moyenne", "robustesse": 0.762, "penalite": 5.43, "penalites_detail": [ { "regle": "PEN_AEP", "code": "PEN_AEP", "points": 5.43, "motif": "INF_AEP=9.81 > seuil 8 (2050)" } ], "alertes": [ "PEN_AEP" ], "forces": [ { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 8.3 }, { "domaine": "extremes", "libelle": "Catastrophes naturelles", "score": 17.6 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "migrations", "libelle": "Population", "score": 51.1 }, { "domaine": "gouvernance", "libelle": "Préparation locale", "score": 40.6 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 25.2, "rang": 15, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 42.0, "note_climat": 22.43, "note_vie": 40.86, "rang_climat": 18, "rang_vie": 32 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 24.64, "rang": 16, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 42.0, "note_climat": 21.65, "note_vie": 41.59, "rang_climat": 16, "rang_vie": 32 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 25.13, "rang": 14, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 42.0, "note_climat": 22.4, "note_vie": 40.63, "rang_climat": 18, "rang_vie": 32 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 24.98, "rang": 13, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 42.0, "note_climat": 22.28, "note_vie": 40.33, "rang_climat": 17, "rang_vie": 30 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 5.1, "eau": 23.0, "extremes": 11.4, "agri_energie": 16.8, "sante_infra": 30.8, "eco_immo": 13.7, "migrations": 51.1, "gouvernance": 36.4 }, "position_couleur": 0.0488, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 32.55, "rang": 6, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 42.0, "note_climat": 31.08, "note_vie": 40.86, "rang_climat": 8, "rang_vie": 32 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 32.1, "rang": 6, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 42.0, "note_climat": 30.42, "note_vie": 41.59, "rang_climat": 7, "rang_vie": 32 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 32.54, "rang": 6, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 42.0, "note_climat": 31.12, "note_vie": 40.63, "rang_climat": 8, "rang_vie": 32 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 33.15, "rang": 10, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 42.0, "note_climat": 31.07, "note_vie": 44.92, "rang_climat": 8, "rang_vie": 46 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 8.3, "eau": 39.4, "extremes": 17.6, "agri_energie": 19.7, "sante_infra": 35.6, "eco_immo": 20.4, "migrations": 51.1, "gouvernance": 40.6 }, "position_couleur": 0.2091, "evolution": { "points": 7.35, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "plutot_moins", "verdict_climat": "plutot_moins" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 38.83, "rang": 7, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 42.0, "note_climat": 38.47, "note_vie": 40.86, "rang_climat": 8, "rang_vie": 32 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 37.87, "rang": 4, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 42.0, "note_climat": 37.21, "note_vie": 41.59, "rang_climat": 6, "rang_vie": 32 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 39.27, "rang": 7, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 42.0, "note_climat": 39.03, "note_vie": 40.63, "rang_climat": 9, "rang_vie": 32 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 39.75, "rang": 11, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 42.0, "note_climat": 38.46, "note_vie": 47.04, "rang_climat": 8, "rang_vie": 48 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 11.8, "eau": 46.7, "extremes": 22.9, "agri_energie": 28.0, "sante_infra": 38.7, "eco_immo": 30.3, "migrations": 51.1, "gouvernance": 49.1 }, "position_couleur": 0.4164, "evolution": { "points": 13.63, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "plutot_moins", "verdict_climat": "plutot_moins" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 0.58, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.11, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 0.86, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 3.92, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.04, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 117.06, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.28, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 5.15, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 12.1, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 35.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 25.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 8.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 4.79, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.96, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 6.44, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 8.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 2.06, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.23, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": { "valeur": 6.22, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_FILIERES": { "valeur": 8.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_SUP_ACCES": { "valeur": 2.53, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE": { "valeur": 6.23, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "VIEIL_AUTONOMIE_LOGT": { "valeur": 3.92, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_NO3_MAX": { "valeur": 45.0, "unite": "mg/L", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P50": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P40": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P25": { "valeur": 12.5, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_EPIS50": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_R471811": { "valeur": 93.5, "unite": "%", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAUQ_PESTOT": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_PFAS_MAX": { "valeur": 0.0648, "unite": "µg/L", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 9.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 4.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 3.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 5.87, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 4.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 6.28, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 1.17, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 5.49, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 9.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 99.2, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 0.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 0.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 7.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 3.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 7.15, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 0.37, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 3.25, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 1878.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 1.11, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 2.36, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 9.18, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 9.66, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 2.61, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 9.42, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 0.55, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.96, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 3.41, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 2.28, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 3.13, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 1.64, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2050": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 1.24, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.28, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 2.65, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 4.61, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.82, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 184.16, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.28, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 5.15, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 19.4, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 83.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 92.5, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 55.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 30.1, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 9.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 5.17, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 1.44, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 4.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 7.09, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 3.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 8.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 4.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 2.06, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.72, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": { "valeur": 6.22, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_FILIERES": { "valeur": 8.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_SUP_ACCES": { "valeur": 2.53, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE": { "valeur": 6.23, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "VIEIL_AUTONOMIE_LOGT": { "valeur": 3.92, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_NO3_MAX": { "valeur": null, "unite": "mg/L", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P50": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P40": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P25": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", 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"ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 2.36, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 9.18, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 9.81, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 2.61, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 9.42, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 0.58, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.96, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 3.41, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 2.28, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 3.52, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 4.15, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2076": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 1.75, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.43, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 4.39, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 5.02, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.35, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 246.95, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.28, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 5.15, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 21.8, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 78.3, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 88.6, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.8, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 59.2, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 31.9, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 9.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 5.51, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 2.11, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 5.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 7.6, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 5.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 8.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 5.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 2.06, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 2.15, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": { "valeur": 6.22, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_FILIERES": { "valeur": 8.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_SUP_ACCES": { "valeur": 2.53, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE": { "valeur": 6.23, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "VIEIL_AUTONOMIE_LOGT": { "valeur": 3.92, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_NO3_MAX": { "valeur": null, "unite": "mg/L", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P50": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P40": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P25": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_EPIS50": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_R471811": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAUQ_PESTOT": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_PFAS_MAX": { "valeur": null, "unite": "µg/L", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 9.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 4.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 3.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 5.87, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 4.22, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 5.42, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 2.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 5.49, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 7.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 88.6, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 4.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 3.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 7.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 2.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 7.15, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 1.07, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 3.25, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 1878.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 2.36, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 9.18, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 9.91, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 2.61, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 9.42, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 0.59, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.96, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 3.41, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 2.28, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 3.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 5.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "23": { "code": "23", "nom": "Creuse", "region": "Nouvelle-Aquitaine", "accord": "f", "vie": { "rang": 85, "position": "defavorable" }, "prefecture": "Guéret", "population": 115527, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": false, "note_infra": "", "qualifications": [], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.648, "penalite": 6.0, "penalites_detail": [ { "regle": "PEN_AEP", "code": "PEN_AEP", "points": 6.0, "motif": "INF_AEP=10 > seuil 8 (2050)" } ], "alertes": [ "PEN_AEP" ], "forces": [ { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 9.5 }, { "domaine": "extremes", "libelle": "Catastrophes naturelles", "score": 16.3 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "gouvernance", "libelle": "Préparation locale", "score": 56.9 }, { "domaine": "migrations", "libelle": "Population", "score": 54.2 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 26.66, "rang": 26, "rang_min": 9.0, "rang_max": 65.0, "note_climat": 20.91, "note_vie": 59.24, "rang_climat": 9, "rang_vie": 85 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 23.78, "rang": 14, "rang_min": 9.0, "rang_max": 65.0, "note_climat": 17.75, "note_vie": 57.94, "rang_climat": 1, "rang_vie": 84 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 29.38, "rang": 39, "rang_min": 9.0, "rang_max": 65.0, "note_climat": 23.95, "note_vie": 60.19, "rang_climat": 26, "rang_vie": 85 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 26.72, "rang": 25, "rang_min": 9.0, "rang_max": 65.0, "note_climat": 20.74, "note_vie": 60.56, "rang_climat": 8, "rang_vie": 86 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 5.1, "eau": 7.3, "extremes": 10.6, "agri_energie": 11.2, "sante_infra": 48.6, "eco_immo": 20.9, "migrations": 54.2, "gouvernance": 62.9 }, "position_couleur": 0.0871, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "plutot_moins" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 39.48, "rang": 40, "rang_min": 9.0, "rang_max": 65.0, "note_climat": 35.99, "note_vie": 59.24, "rang_climat": 27, "rang_vie": 85 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 37.74, "rang": 33, "rang_min": 9.0, "rang_max": 65.0, "note_climat": 34.18, "note_vie": 57.94, "rang_climat": 16, "rang_vie": 84 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 40.54, "rang": 42, "rang_min": 9.0, "rang_max": 65.0, "note_climat": 37.07, "note_vie": 60.19, "rang_climat": 33, "rang_vie": 85 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 39.57, "rang": 44, "rang_min": 9.0, "rang_max": 65.0, "note_climat": 35.85, "note_vie": 60.65, "rang_climat": 27, "rang_vie": 89 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 9.5, "eau": 39.9, "extremes": 16.3, "agri_energie": 29.9, "sante_infra": 52.3, "eco_immo": 28.7, "migrations": 54.2, "gouvernance": 56.9 }, "position_couleur": 0.4477, "evolution": { "points": 12.82, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 48.14, "rang": 48, "rang_min": 9.0, "rang_max": 65.0, "note_climat": 46.18, "note_vie": 59.24, "rang_climat": 34, "rang_vie": 85 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 46.59, "rang": 47, "rang_min": 9.0, "rang_max": 65.0, "note_climat": 44.59, "note_vie": 57.94, "rang_climat": 30, "rang_vie": 84 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 48.42, "rang": 47, "rang_min": 9.0, "rang_max": 65.0, "note_climat": 46.34, "note_vie": 60.19, "rang_climat": 35, "rang_vie": 85 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 48.11, "rang": 50, "rang_min": 9.0, "rang_max": 65.0, "note_climat": 45.71, "note_vie": 61.75, "rang_climat": 35, "rang_vie": 86 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 13.4, "eau": 55.4, "extremes": 21.1, "agri_energie": 45.9, "sante_infra": 55.0, "eco_immo": 34.3, "migrations": 54.2, "gouvernance": 62.9 }, "position_couleur": 0.7073, "evolution": { "points": 21.48, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 1.94, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.36, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 0.23, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 5.15, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.2, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 189.57, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 4.21, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 4.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 28.5, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 55.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 18.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 2.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 7.02, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 28.93, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 3.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 5.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 1.18, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 0.26, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 9.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 2.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 6.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 0.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 3.85, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 6.12, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 2.71, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 1.65, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 4.81, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 8.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 89.0, "unite": "%", 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57.74, "rang_climat": 72, "rang_vie": 84 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 32.6, "eau": 25.4, "extremes": 35.4, "agri_energie": 32.4, "sante_infra": 46.4, "eco_immo": 24.1, "migrations": 52.3, "gouvernance": 69.2 }, "position_couleur": 0.3554, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "plutot_plus", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 51.11, "rang": 78, "rang_min": 58.0, "rang_max": 81.0, "note_climat": 50.06, "note_vie": 57.02, "rang_climat": 76, "rang_vie": 84 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 51.12, "rang": 77, "rang_min": 58.0, "rang_max": 81.0, "note_climat": 50.23, "note_vie": 56.21, "rang_climat": 76, "rang_vie": 81 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 50.12, "rang": 77, "rang_min": 58.0, "rang_max": 81.0, "note_climat": 48.78, "note_vie": 57.74, "rang_climat": 72, "rang_vie": 82 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 50.86, "rang": 78, "rang_min": 58.0, "rang_max": 81.0, "note_climat": 50.04, "note_vie": 55.5, "rang_climat": 76, "rang_vie": 74 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 42.3, "eau": 58.9, "extremes": 41.6, "agri_energie": 46.0, "sante_infra": 51.9, "eco_immo": 40.2, "migrations": 52.3, "gouvernance": 66.0 }, "position_couleur": 0.777, "evolution": { "points": 14.08, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "plutot_plus", "verdict_climat": "plutot_plus" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 60.61, "rang": 77, "rang_min": 58.0, "rang_max": 81.0, "note_climat": 61.24, "note_vie": 57.02, "rang_climat": 77, "rang_vie": 84 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 60.87, "rang": 77, "rang_min": 58.0, "rang_max": 81.0, "note_climat": 61.69, "note_vie": 56.21, "rang_climat": 76, "rang_vie": 81 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 59.0, "rang": 77, "rang_min": 58.0, "rang_max": 81.0, "note_climat": 59.22, "note_vie": 57.74, "rang_climat": 73, "rang_vie": 82 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 60.8, "rang": 78, "rang_min": 58.0, "rang_max": 81.0, "note_climat": 61.64, "note_vie": 56.02, "rang_climat": 76, "rang_vie": 74 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 52.4, "eau": 75.6, "extremes": 46.4, "agri_energie": 60.0, "sante_infra": 56.5, "eco_immo": 45.7, "migrations": 52.3, "gouvernance": 72.2 }, "position_couleur": 0.878, "evolution": { "points": 23.58, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "nettement_plus", "verdict_climat": "plutot_plus" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 3.84, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.71, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 3.76, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 6.15, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.24, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 460.53, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 4.91, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 2.16, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { 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"note_infra": "Moyenne départementale trompeuse (forte hétérogénéité interne)", "qualifications": [ { "code": "MOYENNE_TROMPEUSE", "libelle": "Moyenne départementale trompeuse (forte hétérogénéité interne)" } ], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.648, "penalite": 6.0, "penalites_detail": [ { "regle": "PEN_AEP", "code": "PEN_AEP", "points": 6.0, "motif": "INF_AEP=10 > seuil 8 (2050)" } ], "alertes": [ "PEN_AEP" ], "forces": [ { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 15.6 }, { "domaine": "migrations", "libelle": "Population", "score": 22.6 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "sante_infra", "libelle": "Santé et services", "score": 44.2 }, { "domaine": "agri_energie", "libelle": "Agriculture et forêts", "score": 42.6 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 28.44, "rang": 37, "rang_min": 13.0, "rang_max": 62.0, "note_climat": 28.17, "note_vie": 29.98, "rang_climat": 47, "rang_vie": 4 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 26.39, "rang": 27, "rang_min": 13.0, "rang_max": 62.0, "note_climat": 25.89, "note_vie": 29.21, "rang_climat": 39, "rang_vie": 3 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 30.56, "rang": 48, "rang_min": 13.0, "rang_max": 62.0, "note_climat": 30.59, "note_vie": 30.39, "rang_climat": 61, "rang_vie": 7 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 28.26, "rang": 36, "rang_min": 13.0, "rang_max": 62.0, "note_climat": 27.97, "note_vie": 29.95, "rang_climat": 45, "rang_vie": 5 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 11.6, "eau": 7.8, "extremes": 26.0, "agri_energie": 27.6, "sante_infra": 38.7, "eco_immo": 17.3, "migrations": 22.6, "gouvernance": 46.2 }, "position_couleur": 0.1272, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 38.72, "rang": 33, "rang_min": 13.0, "rang_max": 62.0, "note_climat": 40.26, "note_vie": 29.98, "rang_climat": 47, "rang_vie": 4 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 37.43, "rang": 32, "rang_min": 13.0, "rang_max": 62.0, "note_climat": 38.88, "note_vie": 29.21, "rang_climat": 46, "rang_vie": 3 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 40.37, "rang": 40, "rang_min": 13.0, "rang_max": 62.0, "note_climat": 42.14, "note_vie": 30.39, "rang_climat": 55, "rang_vie": 7 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 38.4, "rang": 33, "rang_min": 13.0, "rang_max": 62.0, "note_climat": 40.03, "note_vie": 29.22, "rang_climat": 47, "rang_vie": 3 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 15.6, "eau": 30.8, "extremes": 33.6, "agri_energie": 42.6, "sante_infra": 44.2, "eco_immo": 30.2, "migrations": 22.6, "gouvernance": 30.2 }, "position_couleur": 0.4042, "evolution": { "points": 10.28, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 46.13, "rang": 35, "rang_min": 13.0, "rang_max": 62.0, "note_climat": 48.99, "note_vie": 29.98, "rang_climat": 47, "rang_vie": 4 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 44.98, "rang": 31, "rang_min": 13.0, "rang_max": 62.0, "note_climat": 47.76, "note_vie": 29.21, "rang_climat": 46, "rang_vie": 3 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 47.27, "rang": 38, "rang_min": 13.0, "rang_max": 62.0, "note_climat": 50.25, "note_vie": 30.39, "rang_climat": 52, "rang_vie": 7 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 44.81, "rang": 29, "rang_min": 13.0, "rang_max": 62.0, "note_climat": 47.71, "note_vie": 28.39, "rang_climat": 44, "rang_vie": 3 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 19.0, "eau": 40.1, "extremes": 39.8, "agri_energie": 60.4, "sante_infra": 48.0, "eco_immo": 35.4, "migrations": 22.6, "gouvernance": 30.7 }, "position_couleur": 0.6376, "evolution": { "points": 17.69, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 1.71, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.32, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 0.11, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 4.99, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.2, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 160.65, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 6.14, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 5.04, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 24.1, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 48.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 3.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 20.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 3.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 21.7506, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 63.96, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 3.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 5.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 1.38, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.02, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 1.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 6.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 7.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 3.22, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 0.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 4.93, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 2.79, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 8.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 64.8, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 3.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 4.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 5.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 6.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 0.15, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 3.37, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 2047.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 1.71, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 3.06, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 8.05, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 6.03, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 5.36, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 4.73, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 3.73, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 2.07, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 6.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 2.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 3.65, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2050": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 3.93, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.9, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 0.42, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 6.19, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.02, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 261.01, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 6.14, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 5.04, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 42.2, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 80.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 94.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 68.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 5.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 25.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 3.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 23.4922, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 70.36, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 4.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 5.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 1.38, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.43, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 1.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 6.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 7.27, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 5.13, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 1.03, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 4.93, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 2.79, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 5.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 55.6, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 3.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 6.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 5.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 4.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 6.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 0.51, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 3.37, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 2047.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 3.93, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 3.06, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 8.05, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 6.03, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 5.36, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 6.12, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 3.73, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 2.07, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 6.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 2.57, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 5.55, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2076": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 5.72, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 1.39, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 1.08, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 6.81, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.67, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 384.84, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 6.14, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 5.04, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 49.4, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 73.2, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 90.9, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.8, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 72.2, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 5.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 27.3, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 3.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 25.0088, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 75.47, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 6.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 6.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 1.38, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.79, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 1.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 6.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 7.47, "unite": 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2.63, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 11.83, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 7.94, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.8, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 1037.9, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.61, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 3.04, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 107.6, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 69.2, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 92.4, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 3.3, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 96.4, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 6.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 26.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 3.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 28.892, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 46.44, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 8.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 5.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 7.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 4.81, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 4.67, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 2.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 3.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 6.92, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 3.51, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 6.71, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 1.32, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 5.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 5.24, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 4.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 52.7, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 9.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 8.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 6.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 3.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 6.05, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 3.05, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 5.78, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 2229.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 5.37, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 4.41, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 5.68, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 5.17, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 4.28, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 7.36, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 6.41, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.9, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 2.39, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 3.61, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 4.52, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 8.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "27": { "code": "27", "nom": "Eure", "region": "Normandie", "accord": "f", "vie": { "rang": 54, "position": "moyenne" }, "prefecture": "Évreux", "population": 602714, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": false, "note_infra": "Chlorothalonil R471811 : plus de 80 % de la population desservie au-dessus de 0,1 µg/L (seuil de statut intermédiaire — voir CONTROLE_QUALITE §4.5)", "qualifications": [ { "code": "EAU_CHLOROTHALONIL", "libelle": "Chlorothalonil R471811 : plus de 80 % de la population desservie au-dessus de 0,1 µg/L (seuil de statut intermédiaire — voir CONTROLE_QUALITE §4.5)" } ], "confiance": "moyenne", "robustesse": 0.756, "penalite": 0.0, "penalites_detail": [], "alertes": [], "forces": [ { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 21.9 }, { "domaine": "eco_immo", "libelle": "Emploi et logement", "score": 27.3 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "gouvernance", "libelle": "Préparation locale", "score": 47.1 }, { "domaine": "sante_infra", "libelle": "Santé et services", "score": 40.7 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 26.44, "rang": 23, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 42.0, "note_climat": 22.42, "note_vie": 49.17, "rang_climat": 17, "rang_vie": 54 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 26.36, "rang": 26, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 42.0, "note_climat": 22.33, "note_vie": 49.22, "rang_climat": 21, "rang_vie": 56 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 25.03, "rang": 13, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 42.0, "note_climat": 20.5, "note_vie": 50.65, "rang_climat": 6, "rang_vie": 55 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 25.86, "rang": 18, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 42.0, "note_climat": 22.67, "note_vie": 43.92, "rang_climat": 19, "rang_vie": 40 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 17.6, "eau": 18.4, "extremes": 21.6, "agri_energie": 34.9, "sante_infra": 34.5, "eco_immo": 15.8, "migrations": 29.2, "gouvernance": 51.1 }, "position_couleur": 0.0767, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "plutot_moins" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 33.0, "rang": 8, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 42.0, "note_climat": 30.15, "note_vie": 49.17, "rang_climat": 6, "rang_vie": 54 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 32.78, "rang": 9, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 42.0, "note_climat": 29.88, "note_vie": 49.22, "rang_climat": 4, "rang_vie": 56 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 32.38, "rang": 5, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 42.0, "note_climat": 29.16, "note_vie": 50.65, "rang_climat": 3, "rang_vie": 55 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 32.74, "rang": 7, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 42.0, "note_climat": 30.07, "note_vie": 47.87, "rang_climat": 6, "rang_vie": 51 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 21.9, "eau": 29.1, "extremes": 29.0, "agri_energie": 38.8, "sante_infra": 40.7, "eco_immo": 27.3, "migrations": 29.2, "gouvernance": 47.1 }, "position_couleur": 0.2195, "evolution": { "points": 6.56, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "nettement_moins", "verdict_climat": "nettement_moins" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 38.44, "rang": 5, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 42.0, "note_climat": 36.55, "note_vie": 49.17, "rang_climat": 3, "rang_vie": 54 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 38.04, "rang": 5, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 42.0, "note_climat": 36.07, "note_vie": 49.22, "rang_climat": 3, "rang_vie": 56 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 38.0, "rang": 4, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 42.0, "note_climat": 35.77, "note_vie": 50.65, "rang_climat": 3, "rang_vie": 55 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 38.33, "rang": 5, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 42.0, "note_climat": 36.54, "note_vie": 48.42, "rang_climat": 5, "rang_vie": 54 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 26.3, "eau": 33.7, "extremes": 35.0, "agri_energie": 48.5, "sante_infra": 44.9, "eco_immo": 32.7, "migrations": 29.2, "gouvernance": 50.6 }, "position_couleur": 0.3972, "evolution": { "points": 12.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "nettement_moins", "verdict_climat": "nettement_moins" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 1.13, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.21, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 0.81, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 4.51, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.15, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 142.88, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.37, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 3.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 22.8, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 42.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 28.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 6.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 22.75, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.4, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 45.1, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 5.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 1.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.18, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": { "valeur": 6.06, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_FILIERES": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_SUP_ACCES": { "valeur": 5.91, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": { "valeur": 4.75, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE": { "valeur": 5.74, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "VIEIL_AUTONOMIE_LOGT": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_NO3_MAX": { "valeur": 62.1, "unite": "mg/L", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P50": { "valeur": 1.6, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P40": { "valeur": 22.4, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P25": { "valeur": 78.7, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_EPIS50": { "valeur": 3.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_R471811": { "valeur": 88.8, "unite": "%", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAUQ_PESTOT": { "valeur": 12.7, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_PFAS_MAX": { "valeur": 0.029, "unite": "µg/L", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 4.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 3.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 5.53, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 4.54, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 1.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 4.27, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 3.15, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 9.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 68.7, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 0.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 1.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 3.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 1.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 5.79, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 0.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 4.18, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 1938.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 1.45, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 2.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 4.91, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 4.36, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 3.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 5.26, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 1.49, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.2, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 4.68, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 2.56, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 0.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2050": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 2.62, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.6, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 2.23, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 5.57, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.94, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 215.84, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.37, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 3.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 36.5, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 97.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 102.5, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 62.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 28.9, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 6.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 24.57, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.6, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 49.61, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 3.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 5.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 4.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 1.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.65, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": { "valeur": 6.06, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_FILIERES": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_SUP_ACCES": { "valeur": 5.91, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": { "valeur": 4.75, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE": { "valeur": 5.74, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "VIEIL_AUTONOMIE_LOGT": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_NO3_MAX": { "valeur": null, "unite": "mg/L", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P50": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P40": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P25": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_EPIS50": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_R471811": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAUQ_PESTOT": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_PFAS_MAX": { "valeur": null, "unite": "µg/L", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 4.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 3.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 5.82, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 4.87, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 2.05, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 4.27, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 3.15, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 8.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 64.9, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 2.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 2.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 5.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 1.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 5.79, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 0.85, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 4.18, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 1938.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 3.24, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 2.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 4.91, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 4.51, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 3.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 5.26, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 1.92, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.2, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 4.68, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 3.11, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 3.42, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2076": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 3.73, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.91, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 4.53, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 6.11, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.56, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 300.22, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.37, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 3.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 41.0, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 94.4, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 103.8, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.8, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 66.2, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 29.7, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 6.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 26.16, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.88, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 53.22, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 5.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 5.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 5.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 1.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 2.06, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": { "valeur": 6.06, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_FILIERES": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_SUP_ACCES": { "valeur": 5.91, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": { "valeur": 4.75, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE": { "valeur": 5.74, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "VIEIL_AUTONOMIE_LOGT": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_NO3_MAX": { "valeur": null, "unite": "mg/L", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P50": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P40": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P25": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_EPIS50": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_R471811": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAUQ_PESTOT": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_PFAS_MAX": { "valeur": null, "unite": "µg/L", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 4.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 3.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 6.04, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 4.29, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 2.27, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 4.27, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 3.15, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 7.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 60.5, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 5.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 4.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 5.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 5.79, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 1.13, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 4.18, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 1938.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 4.03, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 2.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 4.91, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 4.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 3.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 5.26, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 2.19, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.2, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 4.68, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 3.58, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 4.83, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "28": { "code": "28", "nom": "Eure-et-Loir", "region": "Centre-Val de Loire", "accord": "m", "vie": { "rang": 67, "position": "defavorable" }, "prefecture": "Chartres", "population": 433129, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": false, "note_infra": "Tension sur la ressource probablement sous-estimée (nappe exploitée)", "qualifications": [ { "code": "TENSION_EAU_SOUS_ESTIMEE", "libelle": "Tension sur la ressource probablement sous-estimée (nappe exploitée)" } ], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.651, "penalite": 0.0, "penalites_detail": [], "alertes": [], "forces": [ { "domaine": "migrations", "libelle": "Population", "score": 25.0 }, { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 30.6 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "agri_energie", "libelle": "Agriculture et forêts", "score": 46.0 }, { "domaine": "sante_infra", "libelle": "Santé et services", "score": 45.7 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 28.44, "rang": 38, "rang_min": 7.0, "rang_max": 55.0, "note_climat": 24.22, "note_vie": 52.35, "rang_climat": 29, "rang_vie": 67 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 28.9, "rang": 44, "rang_min": 7.0, "rang_max": 55.0, "note_climat": 24.82, "note_vie": 52.03, "rang_climat": 33, "rang_vie": 66 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 27.09, "rang": 33, "rang_min": 7.0, "rang_max": 55.0, "note_climat": 22.18, "note_vie": 54.87, "rang_climat": 16, "rang_vie": 70 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 28.79, "rang": 38, "rang_min": 7.0, "rang_max": 55.0, "note_climat": 24.42, "note_vie": 53.54, "rang_climat": 31, "rang_vie": 68 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 25.4, "eau": 20.3, "extremes": 25.1, "agri_energie": 35.7, "sante_infra": 39.7, "eco_immo": 19.5, "migrations": 25.0, "gouvernance": 38.3 }, "position_couleur": 0.1272, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 36.59, "rang": 25, "rang_min": 7.0, "rang_max": 55.0, "note_climat": 33.81, "note_vie": 52.35, "rang_climat": 15, "rang_vie": 67 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 36.9, "rang": 29, "rang_min": 7.0, "rang_max": 55.0, "note_climat": 34.23, "note_vie": 52.03, "rang_climat": 17, "rang_vie": 66 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 35.81, "rang": 22, "rang_min": 7.0, "rang_max": 55.0, "note_climat": 32.45, "note_vie": 54.87, "rang_climat": 11, "rang_vie": 70 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 37.47, "rang": 29, "rang_min": 7.0, "rang_max": 55.0, "note_climat": 33.7, "note_vie": 58.86, "rang_climat": 15, "rang_vie": 84 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 30.6, "eau": 32.3, "extremes": 32.8, "agri_energie": 46.0, "sante_infra": 45.7, "eco_immo": 33.2, "migrations": 25.0, "gouvernance": 34.3 }, "position_couleur": 0.3449, "evolution": { "points": 8.15, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "plutot_moins" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 42.04, "rang": 17, "rang_min": 7.0, "rang_max": 55.0, "note_climat": 40.21, "note_vie": 52.35, "rang_climat": 11, "rang_vie": 67 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 42.22, "rang": 19, "rang_min": 7.0, "rang_max": 55.0, "note_climat": 40.48, "note_vie": 52.03, "rang_climat": 14, "rang_vie": 66 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 41.41, "rang": 16, "rang_min": 7.0, "rang_max": 55.0, "note_climat": 39.04, "note_vie": 54.87, "rang_climat": 10, "rang_vie": 70 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 43.39, "rang": 20, "rang_min": 7.0, "rang_max": 55.0, "note_climat": 40.12, "note_vie": 61.9, "rang_climat": 12, "rang_vie": 87 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 35.9, "eau": 37.8, "extremes": 39.0, "agri_energie": 53.7, "sante_infra": 49.6, "eco_immo": 38.6, "migrations": 25.0, "gouvernance": 38.5 }, "position_couleur": 0.5296, "evolution": { "points": 13.6, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "plutot_moins", "verdict_climat": "plutot_moins" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 1.97, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.36, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 0.87, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 5.17, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.17, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 193.19, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.15, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 2.63, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 35.5, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 42.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 28.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 6.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 15.65, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 82.35, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 3.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 1.79, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.19, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 3.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 4.07, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 7.28, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 4.51, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 1.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 4.79, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 2.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 8.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 58.8, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 6.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 2.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 8.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 1.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 5.85, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 0.34, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 1.94, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 1889.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 1.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 2.87, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 5.05, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 4.54, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 4.76, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 5.68, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 1.95, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 2.73, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 2.64, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 1.71, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2050": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 4.32, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.99, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 2.42, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 6.34, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.97, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 300.41, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.15, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 2.63, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 56.8, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 98.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 102.5, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 62.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 28.6, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 6.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 16.9, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 90.59, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 4.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 4.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 1.79, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.67, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 3.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 4.07, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 7.45, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 4.94, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 2.05, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 4.79, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 2.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 5.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 50.9, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 7.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 5.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 8.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 5.85, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 0.76, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 1.94, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 1889.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 3.92, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 2.87, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 5.05, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 4.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 4.76, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 5.68, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 2.01, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 1.95, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 2.73, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 3.01, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 4.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2076": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 6.13, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 1.49, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 4.97, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 6.92, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.61, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 427.65, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.15, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 2.63, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 63.9, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 94.9, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 103.8, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.8, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 66.2, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 29.5, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 6.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 18.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 97.17, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 6.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 5.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 1.79, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 2.08, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 3.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 4.07, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 7.57, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 4.36, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 2.27, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 4.79, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 2.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 4.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 46.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 9.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 7.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 9.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 0.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 5.85, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 1.03, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 1.94, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 1889.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 4.71, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 2.87, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 5.05, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 4.97, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 4.76, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 5.68, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 2.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 1.95, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 2.73, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 3.42, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 5.44, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "29": { "code": "29", "nom": "Finistère", "region": "Bretagne", "accord": "m", "vie": { "rang": 1, "position": "favorable" }, "prefecture": "Quimper", "population": 933455, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": false, "note_infra": "Chlorothalonil R471811 : plus de 80 % de la population desservie au-dessus de 0,1 µg/L (seuil de statut intermédiaire — voir CONTROLE_QUALITE §4.5)", "qualifications": [ { "code": "EAU_CHLOROTHALONIL", "libelle": "Chlorothalonil R471811 : plus de 80 % de la population desservie au-dessus de 0,1 µg/L (seuil de statut intermédiaire — voir CONTROLE_QUALITE §4.5)" } ], "confiance": "moyenne", "robustesse": 0.762, "penalite": 4.11, "penalites_detail": [ { "regle": "PEN_AEP", "code": "PEN_AEP", "points": 4.11, "motif": "INF_AEP=9.37 > seuil 8 (2050)" } ], "alertes": [ "PEN_AEP" ], "forces": [ { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 14.7 }, { "domaine": "extremes", "libelle": "Catastrophes naturelles", "score": 19.3 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "migrations", "libelle": "Population", "score": 46.8 }, { "domaine": "eau", "libelle": "Eau", "score": 40.3 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 25.58, "rang": 16, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 47.0, "note_climat": 25.04, "note_vie": 28.68, "rang_climat": 33, "rang_vie": 1 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 25.27, "rang": 18, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 47.0, "note_climat": 24.31, "note_vie": 30.72, "rang_climat": 27, "rang_vie": 8 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 25.37, "rang": 18, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 47.0, "note_climat": 25.1, "note_vie": 26.9, "rang_climat": 35, "rang_vie": 1 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 25.3, "rang": 16, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 47.0, "note_climat": 24.7, "note_vie": 28.71, "rang_climat": 32, "rang_vie": 2 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 11.7, "eau": 23.0, "extremes": 13.6, "agri_energie": 30.3, "sante_infra": 28.1, "eco_immo": 11.6, "migrations": 46.8, "gouvernance": 26.6 }, "position_couleur": 0.0523, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 34.41, "rang": 13, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 47.0, "note_climat": 35.42, "note_vie": 28.68, "rang_climat": 23, "rang_vie": 1 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 33.94, "rang": 13, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 47.0, "note_climat": 34.51, "note_vie": 30.72, "rang_climat": 18, "rang_vie": 8 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 34.25, "rang": 15, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 47.0, "note_climat": 35.55, "note_vie": 26.9, "rang_climat": 25, "rang_vie": 1 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 35.06, "rang": 17, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 47.0, "note_climat": 35.4, "note_vie": 33.12, "rang_climat": 23, "rang_vie": 10 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 14.7, "eau": 40.3, "extremes": 19.3, "agri_energie": 39.0, "sante_infra": 32.6, "eco_immo": 21.2, "migrations": 46.8, "gouvernance": 33.8 }, "position_couleur": 0.2753, "evolution": { "points": 8.83, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "plutot_moins", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 42.02, "rang": 16, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 47.0, "note_climat": 44.37, "note_vie": 28.68, "rang_climat": 25, "rang_vie": 1 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 40.88, "rang": 14, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 47.0, "note_climat": 42.67, "note_vie": 30.72, "rang_climat": 21, "rang_vie": 8 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 42.33, "rang": 20, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 47.0, "note_climat": 45.05, "note_vie": 26.9, "rang_climat": 28, "rang_vie": 1 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 43.4, "rang": 21, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 47.0, "note_climat": 44.26, "note_vie": 38.55, "rang_climat": 24, "rang_vie": 27 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 18.5, "eau": 47.8, "extremes": 25.0, "agri_energie": 52.8, "sante_infra": 35.7, "eco_immo": 33.9, "migrations": 46.8, "gouvernance": 43.1 }, "position_couleur": 0.5226, "evolution": { "points": 16.44, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "plutot_moins", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 0.5, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.09, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 0.96, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 3.8, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 0.97, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 112.24, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 6.3, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 5.06, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 7.6, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 35.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 25.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 8.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 4.73, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 2.21, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 0.12, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 3.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 9.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 3.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 2.71, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.66, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": { "valeur": 6.38, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_FILIERES": { "valeur": 8.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_SUP_ACCES": { "valeur": 6.16, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": { "valeur": 0.63, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE": { "valeur": 6.51, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "VIEIL_AUTONOMIE_LOGT": { "valeur": 7.37, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_NO3_MAX": { "valeur": 47.0, "unite": "mg/L", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P50": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P40": { "valeur": 0.4, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P25": { "valeur": 23.7, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_EPIS50": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_R471811": { "valeur": 80.4, "unite": "%", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAUQ_PESTOT": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_PFAS_MAX": { "valeur": 0.1413, "unite": "µg/L", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 8.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 3.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 4.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 5.45, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 5.19, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 7.09, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 1.17, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 7.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 9.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 85.3, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 0.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 1.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 1.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 3.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 3.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 7.76, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 0.28, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 5.07, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 2078.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 1.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 2.65, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 9.32, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 6.65, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 9.45, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 0.66, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 4.14, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 0.12, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 5.11, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 3.29, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 1.97, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2050": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 1.19, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.27, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 2.67, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 4.57, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.77, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 177.84, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 6.3, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 5.06, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 12.2, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 80.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 92.5, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 55.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 31.2, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 9.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 5.11, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 3.31, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 4.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 0.13, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 4.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 9.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 3.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 2.71, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 2.33, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": { "valeur": 6.38, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_FILIERES": { "valeur": 8.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_SUP_ACCES": { "valeur": 6.16, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": { "valeur": 0.63, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE": { "valeur": 6.51, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "VIEIL_AUTONOMIE_LOGT": { "valeur": 7.37, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_NO3_MAX": { "valeur": null, "unite": "mg/L", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P50": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P40": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P25": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_EPIS50": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_R471811": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAUQ_PESTOT": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_PFAS_MAX": { "valeur": null, "unite": "µg/L", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 8.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 3.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 4.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 5.45, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 5.07, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 6.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 1.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 7.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 7.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 78.1, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 3.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 3.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 1.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 5.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 3.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 7.76, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 0.68, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 5.07, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 2078.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 2.94, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 2.65, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 9.37, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 6.65, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 9.45, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 0.69, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 4.14, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 0.12, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 5.11, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 3.65, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 4.38, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2076": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 1.77, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.43, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 4.72, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 5.03, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.28, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 236.26, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 6.3, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 5.06, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 13.7, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 73.8, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 88.6, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.8, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 59.2, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 33.9, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 9.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 5.44, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 4.86, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 5.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 0.14, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 6.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 9.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 4.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 2.71, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 2.91, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": { "valeur": 6.38, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_FILIERES": { "valeur": 8.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_SUP_ACCES": { "valeur": 6.16, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": { "valeur": 0.63, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE": { "valeur": 6.51, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "VIEIL_AUTONOMIE_LOGT": { "valeur": 7.37, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_NO3_MAX": { "valeur": null, "unite": "mg/L", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P50": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P40": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P25": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_EPIS50": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_R471811": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAUQ_PESTOT": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_PFAS_MAX": { "valeur": null, "unite": "µg/L", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 8.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 3.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 4.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 5.45, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 5.02, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 5.31, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 2.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 7.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": 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47.51, "note_vie": 65.57, "rang_climat": 88, "rang_vie": 92 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 45.11, "rang": 86, "rang_min": 78.0, "rang_max": 91.0, "note_climat": 42.57, "note_vie": 59.55, "rang_climat": 86, "rang_vie": 88 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 56.6, "rang": 90, "rang_min": 78.0, "rang_max": 91.0, "note_climat": 54.37, "note_vie": 69.21, "rang_climat": 90, "rang_vie": 94 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 49.49, "rang": 88, "rang_min": 78.0, "rang_max": 91.0, "note_climat": 46.63, "note_vie": 65.71, "rang_climat": 88, "rang_vie": 92 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 49.4, "eau": 28.5, "extremes": 29.3, "agri_energie": 22.3, "sante_infra": 75.4, "eco_immo": 60.4, "migrations": 50.5, "gouvernance": 85.1 }, "position_couleur": 0.7631, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "nettement_plus", "verdict_climat": "nettement_plus" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 64.41, "rang": 88, "rang_min": 78.0, "rang_max": 91.0, "note_climat": 64.2, 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"valeur": 5.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 4.15, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 9.32, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 1.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 4036.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 3.76, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 7.22, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 7.38, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 6.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 7.48, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 3.14, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 2.37, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 1.74, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 8.84, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "2B": { "code": "2B", "nom": "Haute-Corse", "region": "Corse", "accord": "f", "vie": { "rang": 95, "position": "defavorable" }, "prefecture": "Bastia", "population": 187180, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": true, "note_infra": "Moyenne départementale trompeuse (forte hétérogénéité interne)", "qualifications": [ { "code": "MOYENNE_TROMPEUSE", "libelle": "Moyenne départementale trompeuse (forte hétérogénéité interne)" } ], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.635, "penalite": 6.0, "penalites_detail": [ { "regle": "PEN_AEP", "code": "PEN_AEP", "points": 6.0, "motif": "INF_AEP=10 > seuil 8 (2050)" } ], "alertes": [ "PEN_AEP" ], "forces": [ { "domaine": "agri_energie", "libelle": "Agriculture et forêts", "score": 34.1 }, { "domaine": "extremes", "libelle": "Catastrophes naturelles", "score": 37.1 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "sante_infra", "libelle": "Santé et services", "score": 80.7 }, { "domaine": "eco_immo", "libelle": "Emploi et logement", "score": 65.6 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 48.58, "rang": 87, "rang_min": 77.0, "rang_max": 90.0, "note_climat": 45.09, "note_vie": 68.38, "rang_climat": 86, "rang_vie": 95 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 45.25, "rang": 87, "rang_min": 77.0, "rang_max": 90.0, "note_climat": 41.58, "note_vie": 66.03, "rang_climat": 85, "rang_vie": 91 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 53.33, "rang": 88, "rang_min": 77.0, "rang_max": 90.0, "note_climat": 50.14, "note_vie": 71.46, "rang_climat": 88, "rang_vie": 95 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 48.33, "rang": 87, "rang_min": 77.0, "rang_max": 90.0, "note_climat": 44.59, "note_vie": 69.51, "rang_climat": 85, "rang_vie": 95 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 47.0, "eau": 27.8, "extremes": 33.5, "agri_energie": 24.4, "sante_infra": 72.7, "eco_immo": 53.5, "migrations": 43.4, "gouvernance": 71.9 }, "position_couleur": 0.7213, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "nettement_plus", "verdict_climat": "nettement_plus" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 61.67, "rang": 87, "rang_min": 77.0, "rang_max": 90.0, "note_climat": 60.48, "note_vie": 68.38, "rang_climat": 85, "rang_vie": 95 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 59.46, "rang": 85, "rang_min": 77.0, "rang_max": 90.0, "note_climat": 58.3, "note_vie": 66.03, "rang_climat": 84, "rang_vie": 91 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 65.77, "rang": 87, "rang_min": 77.0, "rang_max": 90.0, "note_climat": 64.77, "note_vie": 71.46, "rang_climat": 87, "rang_vie": 95 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 61.3, "rang": 87, "rang_min": 77.0, "rang_max": 90.0, "note_climat": 60.52, "note_vie": 65.72, "rang_climat": 85, "rang_vie": 94 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 63.5, "eau": 62.1, "extremes": 37.1, "agri_energie": 34.1, "sante_infra": 80.7, "eco_immo": 65.6, "migrations": 43.4, "gouvernance": 58.1 }, "position_couleur": 0.8885, "evolution": { "points": 13.09, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "nettement_plus", "verdict_climat": "nettement_plus" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 70.59, "rang": 86, "rang_min": 77.0, "rang_max": 90.0, "note_climat": 70.98, "note_vie": 68.38, "rang_climat": 85, "rang_vie": 95 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 68.7, "rang": 85, "rang_min": 77.0, "rang_max": 90.0, "note_climat": 69.17, "note_vie": 66.03, "rang_climat": 84, "rang_vie": 91 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 74.15, "rang": 87, "rang_min": 77.0, "rang_max": 90.0, "note_climat": 74.62, "note_vie": 71.46, "rang_climat": 87, "rang_vie": 95 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 69.68, "rang": 86, "rang_min": 77.0, "rang_max": 90.0, "note_climat": 70.49, "note_vie": 65.06, "rang_climat": 85, "rang_vie": 94 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 78.6, "eau": 75.1, "extremes": 41.1, "agri_energie": 49.7, "sante_infra": 85.6, "eco_immo": 71.4, "migrations": 43.4, "gouvernance": 59.7 }, "position_couleur": 0.9443, "evolution": { "points": 22.01, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "nettement_plus", "verdict_climat": "nettement_plus" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 7.17, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 1.32, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 14.48, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 7.2, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.3, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 1037.53, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.63, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 2.63, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 12.8, "unite": 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"faible", "robustesse": 0.649, "penalite": 12.88, "penalites_detail": [ { "regle": "PEN_EAU", "code": "PEN_EAU", "points": 8.0, "motif": "2 conditions (2076) : B_nappes, C_restrictions_observees" }, { "regle": "PEN_SUBMERSION", "code": "PEN_SUBMERSION", "points": 0.29, "motif": "EXT_SUBMERSION=5.52 > seuil 5 (2076)" }, { "regle": "PEN_AEP", "code": "PEN_AEP", "points": 4.59, "motif": "INF_AEP=9.53 > seuil 8 (2050)" } ], "alertes": [ "PEN_EAU", "PEN_SUBMERSION", "PEN_AEP" ], "forces": [ { "domaine": "migrations", "libelle": "Population", "score": 47.6 }, { "domaine": "eau", "libelle": "Eau", "score": 64.4 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 97.2 }, { "domaine": "extremes", "libelle": "Catastrophes naturelles", "score": 74.2 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 64.52, "rang": 94, "rang_min": 92.0, "rang_max": 96.0, "note_climat": 64.42, "note_vie": 65.09, "rang_climat": 93, "rang_vie": 91 }, "securite_physique": { 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"AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 4.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 22.1, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 8.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 8.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 2.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 6.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 4.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 2.81, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 2.51, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 4.99, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 2458.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 7.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 7.44, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { 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"valeur": 3.39, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 7.75, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 9.25, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "31": { "code": "31", "nom": "Haute-Garonne", "region": "Occitanie", "accord": "f", "vie": { "rang": 34, "position": "moyenne" }, "prefecture": "Toulouse", "population": 1471468, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": false, "note_infra": "", "qualifications": [], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.651, "penalite": 8.0, "penalites_detail": [ { "regle": "PEN_EAU", "code": "PEN_EAU", "points": 8.0, "motif": "2 conditions (2076) : A_ressource_superficielle, C_restrictions_observees" } ], "alertes": [ "PEN_EAU" ], "forces": [ { "domaine": "migrations", "libelle": "Population", "score": 35.4 }, { "domaine": "extremes", "libelle": "Catastrophes naturelles", "score": 43.7 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "eau", "libelle": "Eau", "score": 69.0 }, { "domaine": "gouvernance", "libelle": "Préparation locale", "score": 62.5 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 44.57, "rang": 86, "rang_min": 80.0, "rang_max": 89.0, "note_climat": 45.18, "note_vie": 41.15, "rang_climat": 87, "rang_vie": 34 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 44.4, "rang": 85, "rang_min": 80.0, "rang_max": 89.0, "note_climat": 45.22, "note_vie": 39.73, "rang_climat": 87, "rang_vie": 25 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 44.15, "rang": 86, "rang_min": 80.0, "rang_max": 89.0, "note_climat": 44.65, "note_vie": 41.31, "rang_climat": 86, "rang_vie": 34 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 44.69, "rang": 86, "rang_min": 80.0, "rang_max": 89.0, "note_climat": 45.38, "note_vie": 40.78, "rang_climat": 87, "rang_vie": 34 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 50.3, "eau": 28.5, "extremes": 37.4, "agri_energie": 40.5, "sante_infra": 40.5, "eco_immo": 28.8, "migrations": 35.4, "gouvernance": 54.2 }, "position_couleur": 0.5958, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "nettement_plus", "verdict_climat": "nettement_plus" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 60.91, "rang": 86, "rang_min": 80.0, "rang_max": 89.0, "note_climat": 64.4, "note_vie": 41.15, "rang_climat": 88, "rang_vie": 34 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 61.12, "rang": 87, "rang_min": 80.0, "rang_max": 89.0, "note_climat": 64.9, "note_vie": 39.73, "rang_climat": 87, "rang_vie": 25 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 59.98, "rang": 86, "rang_min": 80.0, "rang_max": 89.0, "note_climat": 63.28, "note_vie": 41.31, "rang_climat": 86, "rang_vie": 34 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 60.54, "rang": 86, "rang_min": 80.0, "rang_max": 89.0, "note_climat": 64.22, "note_vie": 39.72, "rang_climat": 87, "rang_vie": 31 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 62.1, "eau": 69.0, "extremes": 43.7, "agri_energie": 49.9, "sante_infra": 44.8, "eco_immo": 48.7, "migrations": 35.4, "gouvernance": 62.5 }, "position_couleur": 0.885, "evolution": { "points": 16.34, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "nettement_plus", "verdict_climat": "nettement_plus" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 70.73, "rang": 87, "rang_min": 80.0, "rang_max": 89.0, "note_climat": 75.95, "note_vie": 41.15, "rang_climat": 88, "rang_vie": 34 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 71.28, "rang": 88, "rang_min": 80.0, "rang_max": 89.0, "note_climat": 76.84, "note_vie": 39.73, "rang_climat": 87, "rang_vie": 25 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 69.07, "rang": 86, "rang_min": 80.0, "rang_max": 89.0, "note_climat": 73.97, "note_vie": 41.31, "rang_climat": 86, "rang_vie": 34 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 70.34, "rang": 88, "rang_min": 80.0, "rang_max": 89.0, "note_climat": 75.93, "note_vie": 38.66, "rang_climat": 88, "rang_vie": 29 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 74.1, "eau": 84.5, "extremes": 48.8, "agri_energie": 67.4, "sante_infra": 49.6, "eco_immo": 54.4, "migrations": 35.4, "gouvernance": 66.1 }, "position_couleur": 0.9477, "evolution": { "points": 26.16, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "nettement_plus", "verdict_climat": "nettement_plus" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 4.69, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.87, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 5.14, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 6.47, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.32, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 597.02, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 7.42, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 2.16, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 42.6, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, 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"rang_min": 74.0, "rang_max": 90.0, "note_climat": 63.46, "note_vie": 37.77, "rang_climat": 86, "rang_vie": 23 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 42.0, "eau": 57.9, "extremes": 71.2, "agri_energie": 70.8, "sante_infra": 31.1, "eco_immo": 62.7, "migrations": 39.7, "gouvernance": 50.9 }, "position_couleur": 0.8746, "evolution": { "points": 16.12, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "nettement_plus", "verdict_climat": "nettement_plus" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 69.69, "rang": 85, "rang_min": 74.0, "rang_max": 90.0, "note_climat": 74.9, "note_vie": 40.17, "rang_climat": 87, "rang_vie": 30 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 71.25, "rang": 87, "rang_min": 74.0, "rang_max": 90.0, "note_climat": 76.9, "note_vie": 39.24, "rang_climat": 88, "rang_vie": 20 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 66.24, "rang": 83, "rang_min": 74.0, "rang_max": 90.0, "note_climat": 70.93, "note_vie": 39.68, "rang_climat": 85, "rang_vie": 30 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 69.58, "rang": 85, "rang_min": 74.0, "rang_max": 90.0, "note_climat": 75.64, "note_vie": 35.23, "rang_climat": 87, "rang_vie": 16 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 52.8, "eau": 73.4, "extremes": 77.9, "agri_energie": 86.0, "sante_infra": 36.0, "eco_immo": 65.5, "migrations": 39.7, "gouvernance": 58.4 }, "position_couleur": 0.9408, "evolution": { "points": 25.75, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "nettement_plus", "verdict_climat": "nettement_plus" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 2.19, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.4, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 6.8, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 5.32, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.22, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 448.41, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 6.85, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 3.99, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 31.0, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 65.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 42.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 6.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 13.284, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 11.47, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 9.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 97.23, "unite": "% logements", 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"EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 63.5, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 85.3, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 92.4, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 3.3, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 106.4, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 49.2, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 7.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 15.2781, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 25.23, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 9.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 6.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 9.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 2.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 10.96, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 9.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 1.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 5.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 2.35, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 6.45, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 3.85, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 7.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 7.29, "unite": "0-10", 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}, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 6.22, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 52.54, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 9.56, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.81, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 3932.54, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 7.78, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 0.85, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 103.7, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 82.2, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 84.8, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 3.3, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 131.4, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 1.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 54.7, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 6.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 27.1734, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 12.56, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 6.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 6.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 2.52, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 9.41, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 2.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 5.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 3.17, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 7.61, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 3.48, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 9.25, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 7.04, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 9.61, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 3.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 11.1, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 8.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 6.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 2.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 3.43, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 3.99, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 7.34, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 3167.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 9.26, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 2.14, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 9.01, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 4.69, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 5.95, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 4.84, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 3.84, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 6.37, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 8.96, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 7.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 9.59, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "35": { "code": "35", "nom": "Ille-et-Vilaine", "region": "Bretagne", "accord": "f", "vie": { "rang": 3, "position": "favorable" }, "prefecture": "Rennes", "population": 1120666, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": false, "note_infra": "Chlorothalonil R471811 : plus de 80 % de la population desservie au-dessus de 0,1 µg/L (seuil de statut intermédiaire — voir CONTROLE_QUALITE §4.5)", "qualifications": [ { "code": "EAU_CHLOROTHALONIL", "libelle": "Chlorothalonil R471811 : plus de 80 % de la population desservie au-dessus de 0,1 µg/L (seuil de statut intermédiaire — voir CONTROLE_QUALITE §4.5)" } ], "confiance": "moyenne", "robustesse": 0.762, "penalite": 3.86, "penalites_detail": [ { "regle": "PEN_SUBMERSION", "code": "PEN_SUBMERSION", "points": 0.32, "motif": "EXT_SUBMERSION=5.59 > seuil 5 (2076)" }, { "regle": "PEN_AEP", "code": "PEN_AEP", "points": 3.54, "motif": "INF_AEP=9.18 > seuil 8 (2050)" } ], "alertes": [ "PEN_SUBMERSION", "PEN_AEP" ], "forces": [ { "domaine": "eco_immo", "libelle": "Emploi et logement", "score": 20.6 }, { "domaine": "extremes", "libelle": "Catastrophes naturelles", "score": 20.8 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "eau", "libelle": "Eau", "score": 41.4 }, { "domaine": "agri_energie", "libelle": "Agriculture et forêts", "score": 39.2 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 25.13, "rang": 14, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 45.0, "note_climat": 24.34, "note_vie": 29.59, "rang_climat": 30, "rang_vie": 3 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 25.74, "rang": 20, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 45.0, "note_climat": 25.14, "note_vie": 29.14, "rang_climat": 35, "rang_vie": 2 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 23.6, "rang": 6, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 45.0, "note_climat": 22.65, "note_vie": 29.02, "rang_climat": 21, "rang_vie": 3 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 25.19, "rang": 15, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 45.0, "note_climat": 24.36, "note_vie": 29.91, "rang_climat": 30, "rang_vie": 4 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 22.6, "eau": 24.3, "extremes": 13.6, "agri_energie": 30.2, "sante_infra": 21.7, "eco_immo": 15.0, "migrations": 34.1, "gouvernance": 19.7 }, "position_couleur": 0.0453, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "plutot_moins", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 34.44, "rang": 14, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 45.0, "note_climat": 35.29, "note_vie": 29.59, "rang_climat": 22, "rang_vie": 3 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 35.06, "rang": 18, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 45.0, "note_climat": 36.1, "note_vie": 29.14, "rang_climat": 32, "rang_vie": 2 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 32.6, "rang": 7, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 45.0, "note_climat": 33.23, "note_vie": 29.02, "rang_climat": 17, "rang_vie": 3 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 34.62, "rang": 14, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 45.0, "note_climat": 35.22, "note_vie": 31.26, "rang_climat": 22, "rang_vie": 6 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 28.3, "eau": 41.4, "extremes": 20.8, "agri_energie": 39.2, "sante_infra": 26.4, "eco_immo": 20.6, "migrations": 34.1, "gouvernance": 32.1 }, "position_couleur": 0.2822, "evolution": { "points": 9.31, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "plutot_moins", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 42.26, "rang": 18, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 45.0, "note_climat": 44.5, "note_vie": 29.59, "rang_climat": 26, "rang_vie": 3 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 42.55, "rang": 20, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 45.0, "note_climat": 44.92, "note_vie": 29.14, "rang_climat": 34, "rang_vie": 2 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 40.49, "rang": 12, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 45.0, "note_climat": 42.51, "note_vie": 29.02, "rang_climat": 19, "rang_vie": 3 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 42.88, "rang": 17, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 45.0, "note_climat": 44.58, "note_vie": 33.27, "rang_climat": 27, "rang_vie": 12 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 34.0, "eau": 49.8, "extremes": 27.1, "agri_energie": 53.7, "sante_infra": 30.4, "eco_immo": 29.2, "migrations": 34.1, "gouvernance": 40.0 }, "position_couleur": 0.5401, "evolution": { "points": 17.13, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "plutot_moins", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 1.32, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.24, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 2.87, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 4.68, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.06, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 188.69, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 6.72, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 4.18, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 26.5, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 35.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 25.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 8.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 10.64, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 2.54, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 6.68, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 7.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 1.51, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.27, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": { "valeur": 6.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_FILIERES": { "valeur": 8.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_SUP_ACCES": { "valeur": 6.98, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": { "valeur": 2.79, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE": { "valeur": 8.21, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "VIEIL_AUTONOMIE_LOGT": { "valeur": 4.87, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_NO3_MAX": { "valeur": 45.9, "unite": "mg/L", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P50": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P40": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P25": { "valeur": 7.6, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_EPIS50": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_R471811": { "valeur": 83.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAUQ_PESTOT": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_PFAS_MAX": { "valeur": 0.02958, "unite": "µg/L", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 7.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 0.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 5.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 2.85, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 7.94, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 5.97, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 1.17, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 6.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 1.52, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 8.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 73.8, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 0.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 1.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 4.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 2.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 8.83, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 0.09, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 6.37, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 2747.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 1.12, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 4.45, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 8.82, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 9.15, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 3.63, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 7.89, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 0.73, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 3.77, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 6.52, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 2.65, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 2.09, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2050": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 2.58, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.59, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 5.6, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 5.55, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.89, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 274.82, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 6.72, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 4.18, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 42.4, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 88.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 92.5, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 55.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 28.4, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 9.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 11.49, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 3.81, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 4.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 7.34, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 3.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 7.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 4.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 1.51, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.78, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": { "valeur": 6.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_FILIERES": { "valeur": 8.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_SUP_ACCES": { "valeur": 6.98, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": { "valeur": 2.79, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE": { "valeur": 8.21, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "VIEIL_AUTONOMIE_LOGT": { "valeur": 4.87, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_NO3_MAX": { "valeur": null, "unite": "mg/L", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P50": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P40": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P25": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_EPIS50": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_R471811": { "valeur": null, 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"0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 66.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 3.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 3.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 5.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 2.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 8.83, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 0.42, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 6.37, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 2747.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 2.38, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 4.45, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 8.82, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 9.18, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 3.63, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 7.89, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 0.76, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 3.77, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 6.52, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 3.09, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 4.46, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2076": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 3.6, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.87, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 9.09, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 6.05, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.44, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 349.59, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "haute" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 6.72, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 4.18, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 47.7, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 81.2, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 88.6, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.8, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 59.2, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 30.8, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 9.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 12.24, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 5.59, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 5.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 7.88, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 5.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 7.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 5.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 1.51, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 2.22, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": { "valeur": 6.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_FILIERES": { "valeur": 8.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_SUP_ACCES": { "valeur": 6.98, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": { "valeur": 2.79, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE": { "valeur": 8.21, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "VIEIL_AUTONOMIE_LOGT": { "valeur": 4.87, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_NO3_MAX": { "valeur": null, "unite": "mg/L", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P50": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P40": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P25": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_EPIS50": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_R471811": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAUQ_PESTOT": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_PFAS_MAX": { "valeur": null, "unite": "µg/L", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 7.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 0.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 5.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 2.85, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 7.92, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 3.68, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 2.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 6.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 1.52, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 4.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 56.9, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 6.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 6.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 6.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 1.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 8.83, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 0.64, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 6.37, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 2747.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 3.83, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 4.45, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 8.82, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 9.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 3.63, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 7.89, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 0.78, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 3.77, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 6.52, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 3.77, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 5.65, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "36": { "code": "36", "nom": "Indre", "region": "Centre-Val de Loire", "accord": "f", "vie": { "rang": 61, "position": "moyenne" }, "prefecture": "Châteauroux", "population": 216069, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": false, "note_infra": "", "qualifications": [], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.651, "penalite": 0.0, "penalites_detail": [], "alertes": [], "forces": [ { "domaine": "agri_energie", "libelle": "Agriculture et forêts", "score": 31.6 }, { "domaine": "eco_immo", "libelle": "Emploi et logement", "score": 36.0 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "migrations", "libelle": "Population", "score": 58.4 }, { "domaine": "sante_infra", "libelle": "Santé et services", "score": 43.5 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 28.77, "rang": 39, "rang_min": 11.0, "rang_max": 59.0, "note_climat": 24.87, "note_vie": 50.89, "rang_climat": 32, "rang_vie": 61 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 28.44, "rang": 41, "rang_min": 11.0, "rang_max": 59.0, "note_climat": 24.62, "note_vie": 50.1, "rang_climat": 30, "rang_vie": 60 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 28.46, "rang": 36, "rang_min": 11.0, "rang_max": 59.0, "note_climat": 24.44, "note_vie": 51.23, "rang_climat": 31, "rang_vie": 58 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 28.97, "rang": 39, "rang_min": 11.0, "rang_max": 59.0, "note_climat": 24.96, "note_vie": 51.65, "rang_climat": 33, "rang_vie": 63 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 29.5, "eau": 20.6, "extremes": 30.0, "agri_energie": 16.3, "sante_infra": 38.7, "eco_immo": 18.5, "migrations": 58.4, "gouvernance": 59.5 }, "position_couleur": 0.1324, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 38.07, "rang": 32, "rang_min": 11.0, "rang_max": 59.0, "note_climat": 35.81, "note_vie": 50.89, "rang_climat": 26, "rang_vie": 61 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 38.1, "rang": 35, "rang_min": 11.0, "rang_max": 59.0, "note_climat": 35.98, "note_vie": 50.1, "rang_climat": 29, "rang_vie": 60 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 37.9, "rang": 32, "rang_min": 11.0, "rang_max": 59.0, "note_climat": 35.54, "note_vie": 51.23, "rang_climat": 24, "rang_vie": 58 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 38.6, "rang": 37, "rang_min": 11.0, "rang_max": 59.0, "note_climat": 35.74, "note_vie": 54.79, "rang_climat": 25, "rang_vie": 72 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 36.7, "eau": 37.7, "extremes": 36.2, "agri_energie": 31.6, "sante_infra": 43.5, "eco_immo": 36.0, "migrations": 58.4, "gouvernance": 42.9 }, "position_couleur": 0.3902, "evolution": { "points": 9.3, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 45.22, "rang": 31, "rang_min": 11.0, "rang_max": 59.0, "note_climat": 44.22, "note_vie": 50.89, "rang_climat": 24, "rang_vie": 61 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 45.37, "rang": 34, "rang_min": 11.0, "rang_max": 59.0, "note_climat": 44.53, "note_vie": 50.1, "rang_climat": 28, "rang_vie": 60 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 44.72, "rang": 30, "rang_min": 11.0, "rang_max": 59.0, "note_climat": 43.57, "note_vie": 51.23, "rang_climat": 23, "rang_vie": 58 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 46.12, "rang": 39, "rang_min": 11.0, "rang_max": 59.0, "note_climat": 44.3, "note_vie": 56.43, "rang_climat": 25, "rang_vie": 75 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 44.1, "eau": 47.0, "extremes": 41.4, "agri_energie": 45.7, "sante_infra": 47.5, "eco_immo": 41.7, "migrations": 58.4, "gouvernance": 43.9 }, "position_couleur": 0.6202, "evolution": { "points": 16.45, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 3.1, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.57, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 1.73, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 5.82, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.18, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 348.61, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.25, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 2.46, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 35.4, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 50.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": 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"extremes": 42.0, "agri_energie": 53.2, "sante_infra": 45.1, "eco_immo": 36.4, "migrations": 28.7, "gouvernance": 34.9 }, "position_couleur": 0.5679, "evolution": { "points": 13.4, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 51.96, "rang": 60, "rang_min": 19.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 54.77, "note_vie": 36.07, "rang_climat": 63, "rang_vie": 16 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 52.48, "rang": 60, "rang_min": 19.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 54.57, "note_vie": 40.59, "rang_climat": 62, "rang_vie": 28 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 51.29, "rang": 61, "rang_min": 19.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 54.22, "note_vie": 34.72, "rang_climat": 64, "rang_vie": 14 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 51.54, "rang": 60, "rang_min": 19.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 53.88, "note_vie": 38.26, "rang_climat": 61, "rang_vie": 26 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 37.0, "eau": 59.7, "extremes": 46.7, "agri_energie": 75.2, "sante_infra": 49.6, "eco_immo": 42.5, "migrations": 28.7, "gouvernance": 34.0 }, "position_couleur": 0.7909, "evolution": { "points": 22.45, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 2.7, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.5, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 0.81, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 5.62, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.24, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 291.82, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 6.38, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 3.74, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 50.2, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { 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29 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 33.31, "rang": 61, "rang_min": 23.0, "rang_max": 72.0, "note_climat": 31.67, "note_vie": 42.63, "rang_climat": 66, "rang_vie": 39 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 31.15, "rang": 48, "rang_min": 23.0, "rang_max": 72.0, "note_climat": 29.17, "note_vie": 42.4, "rang_climat": 50, "rang_vie": 36 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 7.5, "eau": 7.8, "extremes": 33.7, "agri_energie": 24.2, "sante_infra": 43.0, "eco_immo": 23.9, "migrations": 40.1, "gouvernance": 53.0 }, "position_couleur": 0.1742, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 42.03, "rang": 54, "rang_min": 23.0, "rang_max": 72.0, "note_climat": 42.1, "note_vie": 41.66, "rang_climat": 54, "rang_vie": 36 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 40.63, "rang": 46, "rang_min": 23.0, "rang_max": 72.0, "note_climat": 40.64, "note_vie": 40.62, "rang_climat": 48, "rang_vie": 29 }, 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3.61, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 23.22, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 9.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 6.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 8.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 1.91, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 6.88, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 15.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 3.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 3.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 5.04, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 4.39, "unite": 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}, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 9.38, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "41": { "code": "41", "nom": "Loir-et-Cher", "region": "Centre-Val de Loire", "accord": "m", "vie": { "rang": 47, "position": "moyenne" }, "prefecture": "Blois", "population": 328543, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": false, "note_infra": "Tension sur la ressource probablement sous-estimée (nappe exploitée)", "qualifications": [ { "code": "TENSION_EAU_SOUS_ESTIMEE", "libelle": "Tension sur la ressource probablement sous-estimée (nappe exploitée)" } ], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.655, "penalite": 0.0, "penalites_detail": [], "alertes": [], "forces": [ { "domaine": "eco_immo", "libelle": "Emploi et logement", "score": 33.1 }, { "domaine": "eau", "libelle": "Eau", "score": 34.4 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "agri_energie", "libelle": "Agriculture et forêts", "score": 61.6 }, { "domaine": "gouvernance", "libelle": "Préparation locale", "score": 54.4 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 33.61, "rang": 62, "rang_min": 25.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 31.32, "note_vie": 46.56, "rang_climat": 61, "rang_vie": 47 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 33.84, "rang": 64, "rang_min": 25.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 31.28, "note_vie": 48.32, "rang_climat": 62, "rang_vie": 52 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 31.32, "rang": 53, "rang_min": 25.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 28.63, "note_vie": 46.54, "rang_climat": 50, "rang_vie": 48 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 33.96, "rang": 62, "rang_min": 25.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 31.64, "note_vie": 47.07, "rang_climat": 61, "rang_vie": 49 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 30.9, "eau": 19.8, "extremes": 31.3, "agri_energie": 55.0, "sante_infra": 34.7, "eco_immo": 16.8, "migrations": 40.8, "gouvernance": 59.3 }, "position_couleur": 0.2509, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 42.11, "rang": 55, "rang_min": 25.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 41.33, "note_vie": 46.56, "rang_climat": 51, "rang_vie": 47 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 42.26, "rang": 56, "rang_min": 25.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 41.19, "note_vie": 48.32, "rang_climat": 52, "rang_vie": 52 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 40.52, "rang": 41, "rang_min": 25.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 39.46, "note_vie": 46.54, "rang_climat": 42, "rang_vie": 48 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 42.28, "rang": 56, "rang_min": 25.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 41.24, "note_vie": 48.16, "rang_climat": 51, "rang_vie": 53 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 38.1, "eau": 34.4, "extremes": 39.2, "agri_energie": 61.6, "sante_infra": 40.1, "eco_immo": 33.1, "migrations": 40.8, "gouvernance": 54.4 }, "position_couleur": 0.5366, "evolution": { "points": 8.5, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 49.21, "rang": 52, "rang_min": 25.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 49.68, "note_vie": 46.56, "rang_climat": 52, "rang_vie": 47 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 49.29, "rang": 55, "rang_min": 25.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 49.46, "note_vie": 48.32, "rang_climat": 53, "rang_vie": 52 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 47.43, "rang": 39, "rang_min": 25.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 47.59, "note_vie": 46.54, "rang_climat": 41, "rang_vie": 48 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 50.0, "rang": 58, "rang_min": 25.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 49.95, "note_vie": 50.25, "rang_climat": 52, "rang_vie": 60 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 45.6, "eau": 42.3, "extremes": 44.4, "agri_energie": 75.8, "sante_infra": 44.2, "eco_immo": 38.8, "migrations": 40.8, "gouvernance": 59.2 }, "position_couleur": 0.7352, "evolution": { "points": 15.6, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" } }, "indicateurs": { 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"ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 4.66, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 2.92, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 5.65, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 4.84, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 2.84, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 5.18, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 1.97, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.28, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 4.57, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 2.21, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 3.54, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 5.02, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2076": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 8.73, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 2.12, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 8.97, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 7.54, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.63, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 740.13, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.33, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 2.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 54.7, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 84.7, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.8, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 74.2, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", 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"unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 4.57, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 2.21, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 4.05, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 6.09, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "42": { "code": "42", "nom": "Loire", "region": "Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes", "accord": "f", "vie": { "rang": 19, "position": "favorable" }, "prefecture": "Saint-Étienne", "population": 774133, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": false, "note_infra": "", "qualifications": [], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.648, "penalite": 0.0, "penalites_detail": [], "alertes": [], "forces": [ { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 19.3 }, { "domaine": "eco_immo", "libelle": "Emploi et logement", "score": 25.7 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "agri_energie", "libelle": "Agriculture et forêts", "score": 47.5 }, { "domaine": "sante_infra", "libelle": "Santé et services", "score": 45.3 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 23.38, "rang": 5, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 55.0, "note_climat": 20.86, "note_vie": 37.61, "rang_climat": 7, "rang_vie": 19 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 22.73, "rang": 5, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 55.0, "note_climat": 19.66, "note_vie": 40.16, "rang_climat": 9, "rang_vie": 27 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 24.27, "rang": 8, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 55.0, "note_climat": 22.09, "note_vie": 36.58, "rang_climat": 15, "rang_vie": 19 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 23.23, "rang": 2, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 55.0, "note_climat": 20.7, "note_vie": 37.59, "rang_climat": 7, "rang_vie": 20 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 14.8, "eau": 7.7, "extremes": 24.0, "agri_energie": 36.1, "sante_infra": 40.5, "eco_immo": 13.7, "migrations": 31.7, "gouvernance": 28.1 }, "position_couleur": 0.0174, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "plutot_moins", "verdict_climat": "plutot_moins" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 36.65, "rang": 26, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 55.0, "note_climat": 36.48, "note_vie": 37.61, "rang_climat": 30, "rang_vie": 19 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 36.6, "rang": 25, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 55.0, "note_climat": 35.97, "note_vie": 40.16, "rang_climat": 28, "rang_vie": 27 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 36.74, "rang": 29, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 55.0, "note_climat": 36.77, "note_vie": 36.58, "rang_climat": 29, "rang_vie": 19 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 35.66, "rang": 20, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 55.0, "note_climat": 36.27, "note_vie": 32.17, "rang_climat": 30, "rang_vie": 9 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 19.3, "eau": 40.8, "extremes": 31.2, "agri_energie": 47.5, "sante_infra": 45.3, "eco_immo": 25.7, "migrations": 31.7, "gouvernance": 30.8 }, "position_couleur": 0.3484, "evolution": { "points": 13.27, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 46.05, "rang": 34, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 55.0, "note_climat": 47.54, "note_vie": 37.61, "rang_climat": 41, "rang_vie": 19 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 46.15, "rang": 39, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 55.0, "note_climat": 47.21, "note_vie": 40.16, "rang_climat": 42, "rang_vie": 27 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 45.34, "rang": 32, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 55.0, "note_climat": 46.88, "note_vie": 36.58, "rang_climat": 37, "rang_vie": 19 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 44.5, "rang": 27, "rang_min": 3.0, "rang_max": 55.0, "note_climat": 46.68, "note_vie": 32.12, "rang_climat": 40, "rang_vie": 9 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 23.3, "eau": 56.2, "extremes": 37.1, "agri_energie": 66.1, "sante_infra": 48.9, "eco_immo": 31.0, "migrations": 31.7, "gouvernance": 37.5 }, "position_couleur": 0.6307, "evolution": { "points": 22.67, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 1.97, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.36, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 0.22, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 5.18, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.23, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 193.84, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 6.47, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 4.94, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 25.8, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { 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49.23, "rang_climat": 65, "rang_vie": 56 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 46.53, "rang": 68, "rang_min": 46.0, "rang_max": 82.0, "note_climat": 45.56, "note_vie": 52.01, "rang_climat": 65, "rang_vie": 65 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 45.7, "rang": 66, "rang_min": 46.0, "rang_max": 82.0, "note_climat": 44.92, "note_vie": 50.14, "rang_climat": 65, "rang_vie": 54 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 46.8, "rang": 68, "rang_min": 46.0, "rang_max": 82.0, "note_climat": 45.77, "note_vie": 52.61, "rang_climat": 65, "rang_vie": 67 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 41.5, "eau": 38.3, "extremes": 42.3, "agri_energie": 69.9, "sante_infra": 50.6, "eco_immo": 40.2, "migrations": 27.8, "gouvernance": 43.4 }, "position_couleur": 0.6516, "evolution": { "points": 8.42, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 53.22, "rang": 63, "rang_min": 46.0, "rang_max": 82.0, "note_climat": 53.92, "note_vie": 49.23, 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1569.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 4.64, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 3.79, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 5.21, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 0.21, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 5.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 2.68, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.73, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 8.86, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 1.02, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 4.04, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 8.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2076": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 11.38, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 2.76, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 11.13, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 8.03, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.83, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 1116.43, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 4.59, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 2.51, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 92.5, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 67.7, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 92.4, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 3.3, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 106.4, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" 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"faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.73, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 8.86, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 1.02, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 4.82, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 8.74, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "47": { "code": "47", "nom": "Lot-et-Garonne", "region": "Nouvelle-Aquitaine", "accord": "m", "vie": { "rang": 86, "position": "defavorable" }, "prefecture": "Agen", "population": 333602, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": false, "note_infra": "", "qualifications": [], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.655, "penalite": 0.57, "penalites_detail": [ { "regle": "PEN_AEP", "code": "PEN_AEP", "points": 0.57, "motif": "INF_AEP=8.19 > seuil 8 (2050)" } ], "alertes": [ "PEN_AEP" ], "forces": [ { "domaine": "migrations", "libelle": "Population", "score": 43.6 }, { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 52.5 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "gouvernance", "libelle": "Préparation locale", "score": 75.9 }, { "domaine": "sante_infra", "libelle": "Santé et services", "score": 59.4 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 42.83, "rang": 84, "rang_min": 76.0, "rang_max": 87.0, "note_climat": 39.87, "note_vie": 59.59, "rang_climat": 84, "rang_vie": 86 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 42.44, "rang": 84, "rang_min": 76.0, "rang_max": 87.0, "note_climat": 39.48, "note_vie": 59.24, "rang_climat": 83, "rang_vie": 87 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 42.45, "rang": 84, "rang_min": 76.0, "rang_max": 87.0, "note_climat": 39.2, "note_vie": 60.9, "rang_climat": 84, "rang_vie": 86 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 43.0, "rang": 84, "rang_min": 76.0, "rang_max": 87.0, "note_climat": 39.88, "note_vie": 60.72, "rang_climat": 83, "rang_vie": 87 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 39.8, "eau": 26.1, "extremes": 48.4, 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"agri_energie": 65.7, "sante_infra": 64.5, "eco_immo": 58.7, "migrations": 43.6, "gouvernance": 83.5 }, "position_couleur": 0.9303, "evolution": { "points": 24.25, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "nettement_plus", "verdict_climat": "nettement_plus" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 4.86, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.9, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 6.61, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 6.53, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.28, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 625.71, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.02, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 1.82, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 42.2, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { 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"penalites_detail": [ { "regle": "PEN_AEP", "code": "PEN_AEP", "points": 6.0, "motif": "INF_AEP=10 > seuil 8 (2050)" } ], "alertes": [ "PEN_AEP" ], "forces": [ { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 9.3 }, { "domaine": "agri_energie", "libelle": "Agriculture et forêts", "score": 16.8 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "eau", "libelle": "Eau", "score": 67.3 }, { "domaine": "gouvernance", "libelle": "Préparation locale", "score": 51.6 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 35.19, "rang": 71, "rang_min": 34.0, "rang_max": 82.0, "note_climat": 32.98, "note_vie": 47.72, "rang_climat": 70, "rang_vie": 50 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 33.27, "rang": 61, "rang_min": 34.0, "rang_max": 82.0, "note_climat": 30.69, "note_vie": 47.91, "rang_climat": 59, "rang_vie": 50 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 37.77, "rang": 78, "rang_min": 34.0, "rang_max": 82.0, "note_climat": 35.75, "note_vie": 49.25, "rang_climat": 79, "rang_vie": 52 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 35.31, "rang": 71, "rang_min": 34.0, "rang_max": 82.0, "note_climat": 33.07, "note_vie": 48.01, "rang_climat": 70, "rang_vie": 51 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 4.6, "eau": 29.7, "extremes": 33.4, "agri_energie": 5.6, "sante_infra": 47.8, "eco_immo": 29.5, "migrations": 32.6, "gouvernance": 65.4 }, "position_couleur": 0.3066, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 48.41, "rang": 71, "rang_min": 34.0, "rang_max": 82.0, "note_climat": 48.53, "note_vie": 47.72, "rang_climat": 70, "rang_vie": 50 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 47.8, "rang": 69, "rang_min": 34.0, "rang_max": 82.0, "note_climat": 47.79, "note_vie": 47.91, "rang_climat": 69, "rang_vie": 50 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 49.79, "rang": 76, "rang_min": 34.0, "rang_max": 82.0, "note_climat": 49.88, "note_vie": 49.25, "rang_climat": 76, "rang_vie": 52 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 48.34, "rang": 73, "rang_min": 34.0, "rang_max": 82.0, "note_climat": 48.28, "note_vie": 48.66, "rang_climat": 70, "rang_vie": 56 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 9.3, "eau": 67.3, "extremes": 40.9, "agri_energie": 16.8, "sante_infra": 50.8, "eco_immo": 45.1, "migrations": 32.6, "gouvernance": 51.6 }, "position_couleur": 0.7108, "evolution": { "points": 13.22, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 56.52, "rang": 69, "rang_min": 34.0, "rang_max": 82.0, "note_climat": 58.08, "note_vie": 47.72, "rang_climat": 69, "rang_vie": 50 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 56.52, "rang": 70, "rang_min": 34.0, "rang_max": 82.0, "note_climat": 58.04, "note_vie": 47.91, "rang_climat": 68, "rang_vie": 50 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 56.89, "rang": 70, "rang_min": 34.0, "rang_max": 82.0, "note_climat": 58.23, "note_vie": 49.25, "rang_climat": 70, "rang_vie": 52 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 56.4, "rang": 68, 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"note_climat": 26.11, "note_vie": 39.81, "rang_climat": 40, "rang_vie": 26 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 26.38, "rang": 26, "rang_min": 5.0, "rang_max": 56.0, "note_climat": 24.19, "note_vie": 38.78, "rang_climat": 30, "rang_vie": 26 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 28.24, "rang": 35, "rang_min": 5.0, "rang_max": 56.0, "note_climat": 26.27, "note_vie": 39.38, "rang_climat": 37, "rang_vie": 25 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 8.1, "eau": 20.2, "extremes": 22.2, "agri_energie": 33.4, "sante_infra": 25.5, "eco_immo": 13.6, "migrations": 43.9, "gouvernance": 41.6 }, "position_couleur": 0.1185, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 35.39, "rang": 19, "rang_min": 5.0, "rang_max": 56.0, "note_climat": 34.79, "note_vie": 38.81, "rang_climat": 20, "rang_vie": 25 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 35.58, "rang": 20, "rang_min": 5.0, "rang_max": 56.0, "note_climat": 34.84, "note_vie": 39.81, "rang_climat": 23, "rang_vie": 26 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 34.19, "rang": 14, "rang_min": 5.0, "rang_max": 56.0, "note_climat": 33.38, "note_vie": 38.78, "rang_climat": 18, "rang_vie": 26 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 36.25, "rang": 23, "rang_min": 5.0, "rang_max": 56.0, "note_climat": 34.77, "note_vie": 44.66, "rang_climat": 20, "rang_vie": 45 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 10.6, "eau": 33.8, "extremes": 31.9, "agri_energie": 36.8, "sante_infra": 30.3, "eco_immo": 25.7, "migrations": 43.9, "gouvernance": 38.9 }, "position_couleur": 0.3171, "evolution": { "points": 7.35, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 42.56, "rang": 20, "rang_min": 5.0, "rang_max": 56.0, "note_climat": 43.22, "note_vie": 38.81, "rang_climat": 20, "rang_vie": 25 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 42.14, "rang": 18, "rang_min": 5.0, "rang_max": 56.0, "note_climat": 42.56, "note_vie": 39.81, "rang_climat": 18, "rang_vie": 26 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 42.32, "rang": 19, "rang_min": 5.0, "rang_max": 56.0, "note_climat": 42.94, "note_vie": 38.78, "rang_climat": 20, "rang_vie": 26 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 43.92, "rang": 23, "rang_min": 5.0, "rang_max": 56.0, "note_climat": 43.62, "note_vie": 45.63, "rang_climat": 22, "rang_vie": 46 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 14.1, "eau": 40.6, "extremes": 41.3, "agri_energie": 44.5, "sante_infra": 33.8, "eco_immo": 42.0, "migrations": 43.9, "gouvernance": 43.6 }, "position_couleur": 0.5505, "evolution": { "points": 14.52, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 0.51, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.09, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 0.78, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 3.82, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.11, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 90.66, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.78, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 5.21, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 10.5, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 42.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 28.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 7.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 10.85, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 12.02, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 6.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 15.58, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 8.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 2.11, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 0.76, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 5.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 4.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 3.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 6.59, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 4.37, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 6.05, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 1.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 4.45, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 0.83, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 9.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 73.1, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 0.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 0.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 1.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 3.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 8.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 0.52, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 2.44, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 1843.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 2.28, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 4.47, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 2.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 6.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 0.47, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.83, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 5.98, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 2.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 3.13, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 0.71, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2050": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 1.25, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.29, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 2.04, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 4.62, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.87, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 128.29, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.78, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 5.21, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 16.8, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 87.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 102.5, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 62.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 32.2, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 7.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 11.72, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 18.03, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 7.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 17.14, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 3.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 8.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 4.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 2.11, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.06, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 5.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 4.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 3.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 6.59, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 4.36, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 6.47, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 2.05, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 4.45, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 0.83, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 8.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 69.4, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 2.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 2.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 5.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 3.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 8.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 1.02, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 2.44, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 1843.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 3.37, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 2.28, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 4.55, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 2.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 6.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 0.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.83, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 5.98, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 2.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 3.53, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 3.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2076": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 1.78, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.43, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 4.02, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 5.04, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.47, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 169.36, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.78, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 5.21, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 18.9, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 79.7, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 103.8, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.8, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 66.2, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 35.1, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 8.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 12.48, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 26.44, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 9.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 18.38, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 5.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 8.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 5.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 2.11, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.32, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 5.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 4.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 3.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 6.59, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 4.39, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 5.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 2.27, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 4.45, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 0.83, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 7.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 65.1, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 4.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 2.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 2.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 5.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 3.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 8.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 1.32, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 2.44, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 1843.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 6.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 2.28, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 4.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 2.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 6.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 0.52, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.83, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 5.98, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 2.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 4.02, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 4.89, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "51": { "code": "51", "nom": "Marne", "region": "Grand Est", "accord": "f", "vie": { "rang": 9, "position": "favorable" }, "prefecture": "Châlons-en-Champagne", "population": 563076, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": false, "note_infra": "Chlorothalonil R471811 : plus de 80 % de la population desservie au-dessus de 0,1 µg/L (seuil de statut intermédiaire — voir CONTROLE_QUALITE §4.5)", "qualifications": [ { "code": "EAU_CHLOROTHALONIL", "libelle": "Chlorothalonil R471811 : plus de 80 % de la population desservie au-dessus de 0,1 µg/L (seuil de statut intermédiaire — voir CONTROLE_QUALITE §4.5)" } ], "confiance": "moyenne", "robustesse": 0.756, "penalite": 0.0, "penalites_detail": [], "alertes": [], "forces": [ { "domaine": "gouvernance", "libelle": "Préparation locale", "score": 20.0 }, { "domaine": "eco_immo", "libelle": "Emploi et logement", "score": 24.4 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 40.0 }, { "domaine": "sante_infra", "libelle": "Santé et services", "score": 36.3 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 22.83, "rang": 2, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 28.0, "note_climat": 21.13, "note_vie": 32.46, "rang_climat": 12, "rang_vie": 9 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 23.38, "rang": 10, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 28.0, "note_climat": 21.86, "note_vie": 31.99, "rang_climat": 18, "rang_vie": 10 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 22.18, "rang": 3, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 28.0, "note_climat": 20.45, "note_vie": 31.98, "rang_climat": 5, "rang_vie": 10 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 23.47, "rang": 5, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 28.0, "note_climat": 21.01, "note_vie": 37.44, "rang_climat": 11, "rang_vie": 19 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 34.6, "eau": 18.4, "extremes": 19.4, "agri_energie": 24.0, "sante_infra": 29.7, "eco_immo": 13.6, "migrations": 35.8, "gouvernance": 21.4 }, "position_couleur": 0.0035, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "plutot_moins", "verdict_climat": "plutot_moins" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 30.76, "rang": 3, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 28.0, "note_climat": 30.46, "note_vie": 32.46, "rang_climat": 7, "rang_vie": 9 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 31.16, "rang": 3, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 28.0, "note_climat": 31.01, "note_vie": 31.99, "rang_climat": 10, "rang_vie": 10 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 30.63, "rang": 3, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 28.0, "note_climat": 30.39, "note_vie": 31.98, "rang_climat": 7, "rang_vie": 10 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 30.24, "rang": 3, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 28.0, "note_climat": 30.35, "note_vie": 29.61, "rang_climat": 7, "rang_vie": 5 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 40.0, "eau": 30.7, "extremes": 26.1, "agri_energie": 33.2, "sante_infra": 36.3, "eco_immo": 24.4, "migrations": 35.8, "gouvernance": 20.0 }, "position_couleur": 0.1672, "evolution": { "points": 7.93, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "nettement_moins", "verdict_climat": "nettement_moins" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 37.24, "rang": 3, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 28.0, "note_climat": 38.09, "note_vie": 32.46, "rang_climat": 7, "rang_vie": 9 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 37.45, "rang": 3, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 28.0, "note_climat": 38.41, "note_vie": 31.99, "rang_climat": 8, "rang_vie": 10 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 37.12, "rang": 3, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 28.0, "note_climat": 38.03, "note_vie": 31.98, "rang_climat": 7, "rang_vie": 10 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 36.53, "rang": 3, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 28.0, "note_climat": 37.49, "note_vie": 31.06, "rang_climat": 7, "rang_vie": 7 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 45.4, "eau": 36.5, "extremes": 31.7, "agri_energie": 47.1, "sante_infra": 41.2, "eco_immo": 29.5, "migrations": 35.8, "gouvernance": 23.9 }, "position_couleur": 0.3624, "evolution": { "points": 14.41, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "nettement_moins", "verdict_climat": "nettement_moins" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 2.02, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.37, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 0.85, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 5.21, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.18, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 200.04, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 6.49, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 2.51, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 22.6, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 42.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 28.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 6.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 22.6259, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 33.03, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 3.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 1.38, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 0.63, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": { "valeur": 4.77, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_FILIERES": { "valeur": 8.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_SUP_ACCES": { "valeur": 5.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": { "valeur": 9.36, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE": { "valeur": 7.14, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "VIEIL_AUTONOMIE_LOGT": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_NO3_MAX": { "valeur": 72.2, "unite": "mg/L", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P50": { "valeur": 3.3, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P40": { "valeur": 11.2, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P25": { "valeur": 75.7, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_EPIS50": { "valeur": 4.7, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_R471811": { "valeur": 95.4, "unite": "%", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAUQ_PESTOT": { "valeur": 11.3, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_PFAS_MAX": { "valeur": 0.046, "unite": "µg/L", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": -4.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 5.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 3.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 6.69, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 6.75, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 7.77, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 1.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 5.15, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 6.37, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 9.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 72.7, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 0.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 2.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 7.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 6.15, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 0.24, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 5.62, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 2118.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 1.43, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 2.57, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 4.18, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 4.57, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 7.23, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 5.24, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 2.69, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 3.8, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 0.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 7.85, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 2.91, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 0.89, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2050": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 4.47, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 1.02, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 2.42, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 6.4, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.99, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 316.73, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 6.49, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 2.51, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 36.2, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 92.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 102.5, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 62.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 30.4, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 6.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 24.436, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 36.34, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 4.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 4.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 1.38, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 0.88, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": { "valeur": 4.77, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_FILIERES": { "valeur": 8.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_SUP_ACCES": { "valeur": 5.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": { "valeur": 9.36, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE": { "valeur": 7.14, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "VIEIL_AUTONOMIE_LOGT": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_NO3_MAX": { "valeur": null, "unite": "mg/L", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P50": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P40": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P25": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_EPIS50": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_R471811": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAUQ_PESTOT": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_PFAS_MAX": { "valeur": null, "unite": "µg/L", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": -4.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 5.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 3.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 6.69, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 7.04, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 7.22, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 2.05, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 5.15, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 6.37, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 7.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 66.8, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 3.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 4.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 7.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 1.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 6.15, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 0.62, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 5.62, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 2118.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 3.19, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 2.57, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 4.18, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 4.76, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 7.23, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 5.24, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 3.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 3.8, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 0.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 7.85, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 3.11, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 3.62, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2076": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 6.4, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 1.55, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 5.03, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 7.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.63, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 457.44, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 6.49, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 2.51, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 40.7, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 86.3, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, 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"rang": 11, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 36.0, "note_climat": 19.44, "note_vie": 51.63, "rang_climat": 3, "rang_vie": 62 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 18.2, "eau": 18.8, "extremes": 19.7, "agri_energie": 8.8, "sante_infra": 41.2, "eco_immo": 16.7, "migrations": 46.0, "gouvernance": 53.3 }, "position_couleur": 0.0348, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "plutot_moins", "verdict_climat": "plutot_moins" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 32.17, "rang": 5, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 36.0, "note_climat": 28.98, "note_vie": 50.25, "rang_climat": 3, "rang_vie": 58 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 31.43, "rang": 4, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 36.0, "note_climat": 28.53, "note_vie": 47.88, "rang_climat": 3, "rang_vie": 49 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 33.13, "rang": 10, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 36.0, "note_climat": 29.81, "note_vie": 51.9, "rang_climat": 5, "rang_vie": 62 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 32.89, "rang": 9, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 36.0, "note_climat": 28.83, "note_vie": 55.89, "rang_climat": 3, "rang_vie": 75 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 22.9, "eau": 33.6, "extremes": 26.9, "agri_energie": 20.9, "sante_infra": 47.6, "eco_immo": 29.1, "migrations": 46.0, "gouvernance": 38.9 }, "position_couleur": 0.2056, "evolution": { "points": 8.14, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "nettement_moins", "verdict_climat": "nettement_moins" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 38.92, "rang": 8, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 36.0, "note_climat": 36.92, "note_vie": 50.25, "rang_climat": 5, "rang_vie": 58 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 38.09, "rang": 6, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 36.0, "note_climat": 36.36, "note_vie": 47.88, "rang_climat": 4, "rang_vie": 49 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 39.66, "rang": 9, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 36.0, "note_climat": 37.5, "note_vie": 51.9, "rang_climat": 6, "rang_vie": 62 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 39.41, "rang": 9, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 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"jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 1.24, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 6.4, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.01, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 316.97, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 4.7, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 3.15, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 35.8, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 86.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 102.5, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 62.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 32.6, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 6.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 22.2591, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 50.64, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 4.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 4.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 0.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.73, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": -2.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 8.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 3.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 6.29, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 6.58, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 5.26, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 2.05, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 2.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 4.58, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 7.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 82.8, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 2.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 4.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 9.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 4.44, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 1.13, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 0.96, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 966.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 3.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 0.77, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 7.65, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 5.44, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 3.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 5.96, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 4.46, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.54, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 0.57, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 2.93, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 4.51, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2076": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 6.47, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 1.57, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 2.83, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 7.02, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.66, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 464.84, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 4.7, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 3.15, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 40.3, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 81.8, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 103.8, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.8, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 66.2, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 34.2, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 6.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 23.6949, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 54.32, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 6.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 5.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 0.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 2.16, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": -2.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 8.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 3.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 6.29, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 6.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 5.05, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 2.27, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 2.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 4.58, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 5.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 73.5, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 6.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 8.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 9.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 3.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 4.44, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 1.44, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 0.96, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 966.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 4.17, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 0.77, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 7.65, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 5.83, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 3.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 5.96, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 5.19, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.54, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 0.57, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 3.14, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 5.69, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "53": { "code": "53", "nom": "Mayenne", "region": "Pays de la Loire", "accord": "f", "vie": { "rang": 12, "position": "favorable" }, "prefecture": "Laval", "population": 305468, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": false, "note_infra": "Chlorothalonil R471811 : plus de 80 % de la population desservie au-dessus de 0,1 µg/L (seuil de statut intermédiaire — voir CONTROLE_QUALITE §4.5)", "qualifications": [ { "code": "EAU_CHLOROTHALONIL", "libelle": "Chlorothalonil R471811 : plus de 80 % de la population desservie au-dessus de 0,1 µg/L (seuil de statut intermédiaire — voir CONTROLE_QUALITE §4.5)" } ], "confiance": "moyenne", "robustesse": 0.752, "penalite": 0.0, "penalites_detail": [], "alertes": [], "forces": [ { "domaine": "eco_immo", "libelle": "Emploi et logement", "score": 10.4 }, { "domaine": "extremes", "libelle": "Catastrophes naturelles", "score": 11.6 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "gouvernance", "libelle": "Préparation locale", "score": 50.8 }, { "domaine": "agri_energie", "libelle": "Agriculture et forêts", "score": 37.3 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 21.29, "rang": 1, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 24.0, "note_climat": 18.88, "note_vie": 34.92, "rang_climat": 2, "rang_vie": 12 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 20.61, "rang": 1, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 24.0, "note_climat": 17.88, "note_vie": 36.08, "rang_climat": 3, "rang_vie": 13 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 20.36, "rang": 1, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 24.0, "note_climat": 17.74, "note_vie": 35.21, "rang_climat": 2, "rang_vie": 16 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 21.76, "rang": 1, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 24.0, "note_climat": 19.08, "note_vie": 36.94, "rang_climat": 2, "rang_vie": 15 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 20.7, "eau": 20.2, "extremes": 6.0, "agri_energie": 25.3, "sante_infra": 25.0, "eco_immo": 9.2, "migrations": 33.2, "gouvernance": 55.0 }, "position_couleur": 0.0, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "nettement_moins", "verdict_climat": "plutot_moins" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 29.16, "rang": 1, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 24.0, "note_climat": 28.15, "note_vie": 34.92, "rang_climat": 2, "rang_vie": 12 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 29.27, "rang": 1, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 24.0, "note_climat": 28.07, "note_vie": 36.08, "rang_climat": 2, "rang_vie": 13 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 27.27, "rang": 1, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 24.0, "note_climat": 25.86, "note_vie": 35.21, "rang_climat": 2, "rang_vie": 16 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 29.54, "rang": 2, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 24.0, "note_climat": 28.08, "note_vie": 37.78, "rang_climat": 2, "rang_vie": 24 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 26.1, "eau": 37.3, "extremes": 11.6, "agri_energie": 37.3, "sante_infra": 30.0, "eco_immo": 10.4, "migrations": 33.2, "gouvernance": 50.8 }, "position_couleur": 0.1394, "evolution": { "points": 7.87, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "nettement_moins", "verdict_climat": "nettement_moins" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 35.49, "rang": 2, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 24.0, "note_climat": 35.6, "note_vie": 34.92, "rang_climat": 2, "rang_vie": 12 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 35.58, "rang": 2, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 24.0, "note_climat": 35.49, "note_vie": 36.08, "rang_climat": 2, "rang_vie": 13 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 33.28, "rang": 1, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 24.0, "note_climat": 32.94, "note_vie": 35.21, "rang_climat": 2, "rang_vie": 16 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 36.21, "rang": 2, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 24.0, "note_climat": 35.79, "note_vie": 38.62, "rang_climat": 2, "rang_vie": 28 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 31.6, "eau": 44.1, "extremes": 16.3, "agri_energie": 51.8, "sante_infra": 33.4, "eco_immo": 14.9, "migrations": 33.2, "gouvernance": 54.3 }, "position_couleur": 0.3206, "evolution": { "points": 14.2, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "nettement_moins", "verdict_climat": "nettement_moins" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 1.55, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.29, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 1.28, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 4.87, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.16, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 197.72, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.37, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 3.39, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 32.8, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 50.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 30.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 6.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 7.12, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 4.57, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 5.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 5.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 1.92, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.28, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": { "valeur": 4.85, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_FILIERES": { "valeur": 8.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_SUP_ACCES": { "valeur": 4.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": { "valeur": 2.69, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE": { "valeur": 7.55, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "VIEIL_AUTONOMIE_LOGT": { "valeur": 3.57, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_NO3_MAX": { "valeur": 65.0, "unite": "mg/L", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P50": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P40": { "valeur": 4.6, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P25": { "valeur": 43.2, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_EPIS50": { "valeur": 1.8, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_R471811": { "valeur": 86.7, "unite": "%", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAUQ_PESTOT": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_PFAS_MAX": { "valeur": 0.012, "unite": "µg/L", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": -1.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 2.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 2.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 3.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 5.97, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 3.16, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 5.15, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 5.16, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 0.39, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 8.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 94.5, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 0.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 2.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 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"confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 3.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 5.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 3.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 3.7, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": { "valeur": 5.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_FILIERES": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_SUP_ACCES": { "valeur": 6.96, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": { "valeur": 8.72, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE": { "valeur": 5.98, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "VIEIL_AUTONOMIE_LOGT": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", 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"POL_URBA": { "valeur": 6.43, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 5.05, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 0.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 5.58, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 5.29, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 7.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 68.1, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 2.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 4.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 1.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 5.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 3.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 6.47, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { 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2.71, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 3.69, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2076": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 5.99, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 1.45, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 2.46, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 6.88, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.66, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 412.45, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 6.02, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 3.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 33.1, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 83.3, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 102.3, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, 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"penalites_detail": [], "alertes": [], "forces": [ { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 23.4 }, { "domaine": "agri_energie", "libelle": "Agriculture et forêts", "score": 23.4 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "migrations", "libelle": "Population", "score": 44.9 }, { "domaine": "sante_infra", "libelle": "Santé et services", "score": 39.3 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 23.38, "rang": 6, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 34.0, "note_climat": 19.86, "note_vie": 43.3, "rang_climat": 4, "rang_vie": 41 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 23.32, "rang": 9, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 34.0, "note_climat": 19.98, "note_vie": 42.29, "rang_climat": 10, "rang_vie": 34 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 23.09, "rang": 4, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 34.0, "note_climat": 19.42, "note_vie": 43.86, "rang_climat": 3, "rang_vie": 40 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 23.65, "rang": 7, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 34.0, "note_climat": 20.03, "note_vie": 44.19, "rang_climat": 4, "rang_vie": 42 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 18.9, "eau": 16.4, "extremes": 30.3, "agri_energie": 9.9, "sante_infra": 32.3, "eco_immo": 15.6, "migrations": 44.9, "gouvernance": 47.5 }, "position_couleur": 0.0174, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "plutot_moins", "verdict_climat": "plutot_moins" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 31.42, "rang": 4, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 34.0, "note_climat": 29.33, "note_vie": 43.3, "rang_climat": 4, "rang_vie": 41 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 31.89, "rang": 5, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 34.0, "note_climat": 30.05, "note_vie": 42.29, "rang_climat": 5, "rang_vie": 34 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 31.45, "rang": 4, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 34.0, "note_climat": 29.26, "note_vie": 43.86, "rang_climat": 4, "rang_vie": 40 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 31.22, "rang": 4, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 34.0, "note_climat": 29.17, "note_vie": 42.82, "rang_climat": 4, "rang_vie": 38 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 23.4, "eau": 30.9, "extremes": 38.4, "agri_energie": 23.4, "sante_infra": 39.3, "eco_immo": 30.6, "migrations": 44.9, "gouvernance": 23.6 }, "position_couleur": 0.1882, "evolution": { "points": 8.04, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "nettement_moins", "verdict_climat": "nettement_moins" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 38.42, "rang": 4, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 34.0, "note_climat": 37.56, "note_vie": 43.3, "rang_climat": 6, "rang_vie": 41 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 38.96, "rang": 9, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 34.0, "note_climat": 38.37, "note_vie": 42.29, "rang_climat": 7, "rang_vie": 34 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 38.1, "rang": 5, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 34.0, "note_climat": 37.09, "note_vie": 43.86, "rang_climat": 5, "rang_vie": 40 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 37.94, "rang": 4, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 34.0, "note_climat": 37.08, "note_vie": 42.82, "rang_climat": 6, "rang_vie": 41 } 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"valeur": 2.75, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 5.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 10.78, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 3.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 8.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 2.17, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.83, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": { "valeur": 5.87, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_FILIERES": { "valeur": 8.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_SUP_ACCES": { "valeur": 5.11, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": { "valeur": 0.72, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE": { "valeur": 8.59, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "VIEIL_AUTONOMIE_LOGT": { 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"EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 6.05, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 6.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 12.72, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 6.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 8.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 5.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 2.17, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 3.2, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": { "valeur": 5.87, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_FILIERES": { "valeur": 8.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_SUP_ACCES": { "valeur": 5.11, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": { "valeur": 0.72, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE": { "valeur": 8.59, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, 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"0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 4.94, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 5.98, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "57": { "code": "57", "nom": "Moselle", "region": "Grand Est", "accord": "f", "vie": { "rang": 42, "position": "moyenne" }, "prefecture": "Metz", "population": 1051309, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": false, "note_infra": "", "qualifications": [], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.649, "penalite": 0.0, "penalites_detail": [], "alertes": [], "forces": [ { "domaine": "eau", "libelle": "Eau", "score": 27.2 }, { "domaine": "migrations", "libelle": "Population", "score": 30.5 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "sante_infra", "libelle": "Santé et services", "score": 54.4 }, { "domaine": "agri_energie", "libelle": "Agriculture et forêts", "score": 49.7 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 30.37, "rang": 46, "rang_min": 15.0, "rang_max": 66.0, "note_climat": 27.89, "note_vie": 44.4, "rang_climat": 45, "rang_vie": 42 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 29.93, "rang": 46, "rang_min": 15.0, "rang_max": 66.0, "note_climat": 27.38, "note_vie": 44.41, "rang_climat": 47, "rang_vie": 41 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 30.58, "rang": 49, "rang_min": 15.0, "rang_max": 66.0, "note_climat": 27.91, "note_vie": 45.65, "rang_climat": 44, "rang_vie": 46 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 30.68, "rang": 46, "rang_min": 15.0, "rang_max": 66.0, "note_climat": 27.94, "note_vie": 46.24, "rang_climat": 43, "rang_vie": 47 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 29.1, "eau": 15.4, "extremes": 29.9, "agri_energie": 41.8, "sante_infra": 46.5, "eco_immo": 18.4, "migrations": 30.5, "gouvernance": 37.1 }, "position_couleur": 0.1638, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 39.56, "rang": 42, "rang_min": 15.0, "rang_max": 66.0, "note_climat": 38.7, "note_vie": 44.4, "rang_climat": 42, "rang_vie": 42 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 38.23, "rang": 36, "rang_min": 15.0, "rang_max": 66.0, "note_climat": 37.14, "note_vie": 44.41, "rang_climat": 39, "rang_vie": 41 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 41.38, "rang": 47, "rang_min": 15.0, "rang_max": 66.0, "note_climat": 40.62, "note_vie": 45.65, "rang_climat": 47, "rang_vie": 46 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 38.96, "rang": 40, "rang_min": 15.0, "rang_max": 66.0, "note_climat": 38.53, "note_vie": 41.35, "rang_climat": 42, "rang_vie": 35 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 33.7, "eau": 27.2, "extremes": 38.4, "agri_energie": 49.7, "sante_infra": 54.4, "eco_immo": 38.1, "migrations": 30.5, "gouvernance": 39.3 }, "position_couleur": 0.453, "evolution": { "points": 9.19, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 46.3, "rang": 36, "rang_min": 15.0, "rang_max": 66.0, 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"ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 38.92, "rang": 38, "rang_min": 14.0, "rang_max": 58.0, "note_climat": 36.14, "note_vie": 54.65, "rang_climat": 28, "rang_vie": 74 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 38.86, "rang": 40, "rang_min": 14.0, "rang_max": 58.0, "note_climat": 36.32, "note_vie": 53.2, "rang_climat": 34, "rang_vie": 71 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 38.79, "rang": 35, "rang_min": 14.0, "rang_max": 58.0, "note_climat": 35.86, "note_vie": 55.38, "rang_climat": 26, "rang_vie": 72 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 39.13, "rang": 41, "rang_min": 14.0, "rang_max": 58.0, "note_climat": 36.04, "note_vie": 56.6, "rang_climat": 28, "rang_vie": 77 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 30.9, "eau": 39.5, "extremes": 35.4, "agri_energie": 36.1, "sante_infra": 47.0, "eco_immo": 37.6, "migrations": 54.8, "gouvernance": 39.0 }, "position_couleur": 0.4303, "evolution": { "points": 10.99, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 46.69, "rang": 40, "rang_min": 14.0, "rang_max": 58.0, "note_climat": 45.29, "note_vie": 54.65, "rang_climat": 28, "rang_vie": 74 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 46.47, "rang": 44, "rang_min": 14.0, "rang_max": 58.0, "note_climat": 45.29, "note_vie": 53.2, "rang_climat": 36, "rang_vie": 71 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 46.38, "rang": 35, "rang_min": 14.0, "rang_max": 58.0, "note_climat": 44.79, "note_vie": 55.38, "rang_climat": 27, "rang_vie": 72 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 47.16, "rang": 43, "rang_min": 14.0, "rang_max": 58.0, "note_climat": 45.19, "note_vie": 58.36, "rang_climat": 31, "rang_vie": 79 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 37.2, "eau": 47.9, "extremes": 41.6, "agri_energie": 51.9, "sante_infra": 51.5, "eco_immo": 43.5, "migrations": 54.8, "gouvernance": 45.8 }, "position_couleur": 0.669, "evolution": { "points": 18.76, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" } }, "indicateurs": { 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"EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 39.1, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 6.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 18.5347, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 6.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 6.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 1.03, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 4.4, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 6.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 3.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { 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"moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 0.75, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 3.89, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 2273.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 4.12, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 3.08, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 4.19, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 5.43, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 4.23, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 2.91, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.5, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 6.02, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 2.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 2.58, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 3.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2076": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 5.08, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 1.23, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 4.9, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 6.61, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.59, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 344.17, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.48, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 2.72, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 69.8, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 97.4, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 103.8, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.8, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 66.2, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 28.7, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 6.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 27.8655, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 86.12, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 6.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 5.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 0.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 2.07, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": -2.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 1.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 0.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 4.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 4.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 7.77, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 4.48, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 2.27, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 3.69, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 3.89, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 6.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 56.6, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 5.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 5.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 7.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 1.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 5.79, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 1.01, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 3.89, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 2273.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 4.92, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 3.08, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 4.26, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 5.43, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 4.23, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 3.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.5, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 6.02, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 2.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 2.99, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 4.58, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "61": { "code": "61", "nom": "Orne", "region": "Normandie", "accord": "f", "vie": { "rang": 66, "position": "defavorable" }, "prefecture": "Alençon", "population": 275201, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": false, "note_infra": "Chlorothalonil R471811 : plus de 80 % de la population desservie au-dessus de 0,1 µg/L (seuil de statut intermédiaire — voir CONTROLE_QUALITE §4.5)", "qualifications": [ { "code": "EAU_CHLOROTHALONIL", "libelle": "Chlorothalonil R471811 : plus de 80 % de la population desservie au-dessus de 0,1 µg/L (seuil de statut intermédiaire — voir CONTROLE_QUALITE §4.5)" } ], "confiance": "moyenne", "robustesse": 0.752, "penalite": 0.0, "penalites_detail": [], "alertes": [], "forces": [ { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 18.4 }, { "domaine": "extremes", "libelle": "Catastrophes naturelles", "score": 18.9 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "migrations", "libelle": "Population", "score": 52.5 }, { "domaine": "sante_infra", "libelle": "Santé et services", "score": 36.7 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 23.21, "rang": 3, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 26.0, "note_climat": 18.11, "note_vie": 52.1, "rang_climat": 1, "rang_vie": 66 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 22.93, "rang": 7, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 26.0, "note_climat": 17.75, "note_vie": 52.27, "rang_climat": 2, "rang_vie": 68 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 22.02, "rang": 2, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 26.0, "note_climat": 16.61, "note_vie": 52.69, "rang_climat": 1, "rang_vie": 66 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 23.27, "rang": 3, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 26.0, "note_climat": 18.27, "note_vie": 51.58, "rang_climat": 1, "rang_vie": 61 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 14.3, "eau": 18.0, "extremes": 12.8, "agri_energie": 27.2, "sante_infra": 31.9, "eco_immo": 16.1, "migrations": 52.5, "gouvernance": 46.4 }, "position_couleur": 0.007, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "plutot_moins", "verdict_climat": "nettement_moins" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 29.28, "rang": 2, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 26.0, "note_climat": 25.25, "note_vie": 52.1, "rang_climat": 1, "rang_vie": 66 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 29.4, "rang": 2, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 26.0, "note_climat": 25.37, "note_vie": 52.27, "rang_climat": 1, "rang_vie": 68 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 28.15, "rang": 2, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 26.0, "note_climat": 23.82, "note_vie": 52.69, "rang_climat": 1, "rang_vie": 66 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 29.13, "rang": 1, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 26.0, "note_climat": 25.18, "note_vie": 51.47, "rang_climat": 1, "rang_vie": 65 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 18.4, "eau": 30.4, "extremes": 18.9, "agri_energie": 33.2, "sante_infra": 36.7, "eco_immo": 24.2, "migrations": 52.5, "gouvernance": 36.3 }, "position_couleur": 0.1463, "evolution": { "points": 6.07, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "nettement_moins", "verdict_climat": "nettement_moins" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 34.63, "rang": 1, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 26.0, "note_climat": 31.55, "note_vie": 52.1, "rang_climat": 1, "rang_vie": 66 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 34.8, "rang": 1, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 26.0, "note_climat": 31.72, "note_vie": 52.27, "rang_climat": 1, "rang_vie": 68 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 33.34, "rang": 2, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 26.0, "note_climat": 29.92, "note_vie": 52.69, "rang_climat": 1, "rang_vie": 66 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 34.33, "rang": 1, "rang_min": 1.0, "rang_max": 26.0, "note_climat": 31.62, "note_vie": 49.67, "rang_climat": 1, "rang_vie": 58 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 22.4, "eau": 36.1, "extremes": 24.0, "agri_energie": 45.4, "sante_infra": 39.8, "eco_immo": 29.3, "migrations": 52.5, "gouvernance": 35.7 }, "position_couleur": 0.2909, "evolution": { "points": 11.42, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "nettement_moins", "verdict_climat": "nettement_moins" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 1.22, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.23, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 0.53, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 4.59, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.16, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 138.83, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 4.8, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 3.61, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 20.1, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 42.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 28.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 6.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 6.39, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 47.56, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 5.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 1.91, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 0.95, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": { "valeur": 5.71, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_FILIERES": { "valeur": 6.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_SUP_ACCES": { "valeur": 4.02, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": { "valeur": 1.75, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE": { "valeur": 6.88, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "VIEIL_AUTONOMIE_LOGT": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_NO3_MAX": { "valeur": 50.0, "unite": "mg/L", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P50": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P40": { "valeur": 1.1, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P25": { "valeur": 30.4, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_EPIS50": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_R471811": { "valeur": 88.5, "unite": "%", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAUQ_PESTOT": { "valeur": 4.1, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_PFAS_MAX": { "valeur": 0.0479, "unite": "µg/L", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 5.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 4.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 2.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 5.62, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 7.54, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 1.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 4.44, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 4.43, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 9.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 84.4, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 0.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 1.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 3.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 4.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 0.45, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 0.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 1297.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 1.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 1.19, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 3.98, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 4.73, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 1.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 6.97, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 0.91, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.37, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 6.91, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 3.56, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 2.92, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 1.41, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2050": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 2.8, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.64, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 1.55, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 5.67, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.94, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 211.15, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 4.8, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 3.61, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 32.2, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 91.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 102.5, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 62.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 30.8, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 6.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 6.9, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 52.32, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 3.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 5.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 4.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 1.91, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.34, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": { "valeur": 5.71, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_FILIERES": { "valeur": 6.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_SUP_ACCES": { "valeur": 4.02, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": { "valeur": 1.75, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE": { "valeur": 6.88, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "VIEIL_AUTONOMIE_LOGT": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_NO3_MAX": { "valeur": null, "unite": "mg/L", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P50": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P40": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P25": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_EPIS50": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_R471811": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAUQ_PESTOT": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_PFAS_MAX": { "valeur": null, "unite": "µg/L", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 5.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 4.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 2.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 5.62, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 7.46, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 4.37, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 2.05, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 4.44, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 4.43, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 7.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 77.7, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 2.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 3.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 5.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 3.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 4.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 0.92, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 0.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 1297.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 2.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 1.19, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 3.98, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 5.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 1.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 6.97, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 1.19, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.37, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 6.91, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 3.56, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 3.05, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 3.99, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2076": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.97, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 3.3, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 6.22, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.57, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 295.31, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 4.8, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 3.61, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 36.2, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 85.3, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 103.8, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.8, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 66.2, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 32.8, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 6.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 7.35, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 56.12, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 5.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 5.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 5.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 1.91, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.67, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": { "valeur": 5.71, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_FILIERES": { "valeur": 6.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_SUP_ACCES": { "valeur": 4.02, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": { "valeur": 1.75, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE": { "valeur": 6.88, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "VIEIL_AUTONOMIE_LOGT": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_NO3_MAX": { "valeur": null, "unite": "mg/L", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P50": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P40": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P25": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_EPIS50": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_R471811": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAUQ_PESTOT": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_PFAS_MAX": { "valeur": null, "unite": "µg/L", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 5.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 4.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 2.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 5.62, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 7.42, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 4.57, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 2.27, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 4.44, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 4.43, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 5.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 69.9, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 5.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 5.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 5.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 2.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 4.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 1.21, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 0.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 1297.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 3.31, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 1.19, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 3.98, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 5.34, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 1.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 6.97, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 1.37, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.37, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 6.91, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 3.56, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 3.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 5.28, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "62": { "code": "62", "nom": "Pas-de-Calais", "region": "Hauts-de-France", "accord": "m", "vie": { "rang": 44, "position": "moyenne" }, "prefecture": "Arras", "population": 1457905, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": false, "note_infra": "", "qualifications": [], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.656, "penalite": 5.0, "penalites_detail": [ { "regle": "PEN_SUBMERSION", "code": "PEN_SUBMERSION", "points": 5.0, "motif": "EXT_SUBMERSION=28.58 > seuil 5 (2076)" } ], "alertes": [ "PEN_SUBMERSION" ], "forces": [ { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 17.1 }, { "domaine": "eau", "libelle": "Eau", "score": 31.0 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "extremes", "libelle": "Catastrophes naturelles", "score": 52.7 }, { "domaine": "gouvernance", "libelle": "Préparation locale", "score": 48.0 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 33.77, "rang": 63, "rang_min": 23.0, "rang_max": 75.0, "note_climat": 31.73, "note_vie": 45.29, "rang_climat": 62, "rang_vie": 44 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 34.43, "rang": 68, "rang_min": 23.0, "rang_max": 75.0, "note_climat": 32.42, "note_vie": 45.79, "rang_climat": 66, "rang_vie": 44 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 32.16, "rang": 55, "rang_min": 23.0, "rang_max": 75.0, "note_climat": 29.96, "note_vie": 44.64, "rang_climat": 59, "rang_vie": 42 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 34.09, "rang": 63, "rang_min": 23.0, "rang_max": 75.0, "note_climat": 31.98, "note_vie": 46.04, "rang_climat": 63, "rang_vie": 46 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 14.3, "eau": 20.2, "extremes": 41.3, "agri_energie": 34.4, "sante_infra": 32.6, "eco_immo": 19.1, "migrations": 36.8, "gouvernance": 46.2 }, "position_couleur": 0.2544, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 41.6, "rang": 50, "rang_min": 23.0, "rang_max": 75.0, "note_climat": 40.95, "note_vie": 45.29, "rang_climat": 48, "rang_vie": 44 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 41.79, "rang": 54, "rang_min": 23.0, "rang_max": 75.0, "note_climat": 41.09, "note_vie": 45.79, "rang_climat": 51, "rang_vie": 44 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 41.19, "rang": 46, "rang_min": 23.0, "rang_max": 75.0, "note_climat": 40.58, "note_vie": 44.64, "rang_climat": 46, "rang_vie": 42 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 40.48, "rang": 46, "rang_min": 23.0, "rang_max": 75.0, "note_climat": 40.81, "note_vie": 38.64, "rang_climat": 48, "rang_vie": 28 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 17.1, "eau": 31.0, "extremes": 52.7, "agri_energie": 37.3, "sante_infra": 37.7, "eco_immo": 36.8, "migrations": 36.8, "gouvernance": 48.0 }, "position_couleur": 0.5017, "evolution": { "points": 7.83, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 48.63, "rang": 49, "rang_min": 23.0, "rang_max": 75.0, "note_climat": 49.22, "note_vie": 45.29, "rang_climat": 49, "rang_vie": 44 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 48.19, "rang": 50, "rang_min": 23.0, "rang_max": 75.0, "note_climat": 48.61, "note_vie": 45.79, "rang_climat": 50, "rang_vie": 44 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 49.24, "rang": 52, "rang_min": 23.0, "rang_max": 75.0, "note_climat": 50.05, "note_vie": 44.64, "rang_climat": 49, "rang_vie": 42 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 47.25, "rang": 46, "rang_min": 23.0, "rang_max": 75.0, "note_climat": 49.06, "note_vie": 36.98, "rang_climat": 51, "rang_vie": 20 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 20.7, "eau": 36.6, "extremes": 63.2, "agri_energie": 44.1, "sante_infra": 42.0, "eco_immo": 51.9, "migrations": 36.8, "gouvernance": 53.8 }, "position_couleur": 0.7247, "evolution": { "points": 14.86, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 0.67, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.12, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 0.59, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 4.03, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.14, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 94.65, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.65, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 4.28, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 14.0, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 42.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 28.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 7.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 34.0275, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 12.99, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 5.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 42.99, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 7.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 3.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 2.07, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 2.88, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": -1.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 2.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 1.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 5.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 2.78, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 6.34, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 5.02, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 1.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 4.83, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 8.49, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 9.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 59.6, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 1.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 1.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 5.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 1.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 5.39, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 0.48, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 4.19, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 1734.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 2.15, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 2.29, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 3.48, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 3.56, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 5.72, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 4.12, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 2.59, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 3.66, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 4.08, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 2.66, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 2.55, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2050": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 1.64, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.38, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 1.67, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 4.94, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.92, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 140.28, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.65, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 4.28, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 22.4, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 97.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 102.5, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 62.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 28.9, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 7.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 36.7528, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 19.48, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 6.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 47.29, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 3.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 7.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 3.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 2.07, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 4.03, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": -1.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 2.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 1.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 5.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 2.78, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 6.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 4.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 2.05, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 4.83, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 8.49, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 8.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 56.5, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 3.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 6.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 5.39, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 0.96, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 4.19, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 1734.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 5.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 2.29, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 3.48, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 3.57, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 5.72, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 4.12, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 3.26, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 3.66, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 4.08, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 2.66, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 2.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 3.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2076": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 2.36, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.57, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 3.46, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 5.42, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.54, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 192.18, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.65, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 4.28, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 25.2, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 93.9, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 103.8, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.8, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 66.2, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 29.8, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 8.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 39.1342, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 28.58, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 8.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 50.73, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 5.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 7.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 4.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 2.07, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 5.04, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": -1.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 2.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 1.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 5.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 2.78, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 6.91, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 3.71, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 2.27, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 4.83, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 8.49, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 7.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 52.8, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 5.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 3.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 6.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 0.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 5.39, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 1.25, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 4.19, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 1734.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 7.71, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 2.29, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 3.48, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 3.58, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 5.72, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 4.12, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 3.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 3.66, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 4.08, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 2.66, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 3.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 4.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "63": { "code": "63", "nom": "Puy-de-Dôme", "region": "Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes", "accord": "m", "vie": { "rang": 15, "position": "favorable" }, "prefecture": "Clermont-Ferrand", "population": 664453, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": true, "note_infra": "Moyenne départementale trompeuse (forte hétérogénéité interne)", "qualifications": [ { "code": "MOYENNE_TROMPEUSE", "libelle": "Moyenne départementale trompeuse (forte hétérogénéité interne)" } ], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.651, "penalite": 0.0, "penalites_detail": [], "alertes": [], "forces": [ { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 20.9 }, { "domaine": "migrations", "libelle": "Population", "score": 26.2 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "gouvernance", "libelle": "Préparation locale", "score": 50.3 }, { "domaine": "eau", "libelle": "Eau", "score": 40.0 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 23.63, "rang": 9, "rang_min": 4.0, "rang_max": 56.0, "note_climat": 21.52, "note_vie": 35.62, "rang_climat": 13, "rang_vie": 15 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 22.8, "rang": 6, "rang_min": 4.0, "rang_max": 56.0, "note_climat": 20.4, "note_vie": 36.44, "rang_climat": 12, "rang_vie": 15 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 24.5, "rang": 9, "rang_min": 4.0, "rang_max": 56.0, "note_climat": 22.66, "note_vie": 34.94, "rang_climat": 22, "rang_vie": 15 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 23.61, "rang": 6, "rang_min": 4.0, "rang_max": 56.0, "note_climat": 21.55, "note_vie": 35.26, "rang_climat": 13, "rang_vie": 11 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 16.2, "eau": 8.0, "extremes": 29.6, "agri_energie": 28.8, "sante_infra": 33.4, "eco_immo": 21.4, "migrations": 26.2, "gouvernance": 39.1 }, "position_couleur": 0.0279, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "plutot_moins", "verdict_climat": "plutot_moins" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 37.46, "rang": 31, "rang_min": 4.0, "rang_max": 56.0, "note_climat": 37.78, "note_vie": 35.62, "rang_climat": 37, "rang_vie": 15 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 36.69, "rang": 27, "rang_min": 4.0, "rang_max": 56.0, "note_climat": 36.74, "note_vie": 36.44, "rang_climat": 37, "rang_vie": 15 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 38.02, "rang": 33, "rang_min": 4.0, "rang_max": 56.0, "note_climat": 38.57, "note_vie": 34.94, "rang_climat": 38, "rang_vie": 15 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 37.02, "rang": 27, "rang_min": 4.0, "rang_max": 56.0, "note_climat": 37.55, "note_vie": 34.04, "rang_climat": 37, "rang_vie": 14 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 20.9, "eau": 40.0, "extremes": 37.4, "agri_energie": 38.6, "sante_infra": 37.4, "eco_immo": 37.6, "migrations": 26.2, "gouvernance": 50.3 }, "position_couleur": 0.3798, "evolution": { "points": 13.83, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 47.18, "rang": 41, "rang_min": 4.0, "rang_max": 56.0, "note_climat": 49.22, "note_vie": 35.62, "rang_climat": 50, "rang_vie": 15 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 46.53, "rang": 45, "rang_min": 4.0, "rang_max": 56.0, "note_climat": 48.31, "note_vie": 36.44, "rang_climat": 48, "rang_vie": 15 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 47.0, "rang": 36, "rang_min": 4.0, "rang_max": 56.0, "note_climat": 49.13, "note_vie": 34.94, "rang_climat": 45, "rang_vie": 15 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 46.44, "rang": 40, "rang_min": 4.0, "rang_max": 56.0, "note_climat": 48.65, "note_vie": 33.93, "rang_climat": 50, "rang_vie": 13 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 25.2, "eau": 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"code": "66", "nom": "Pyrénées-Orientales", "region": "Occitanie", "accord": "fp", "vie": { "rang": 90, "position": "defavorable" }, "prefecture": "Perpignan", "population": 496855, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": true, "note_infra": "Moyenne départementale trompeuse (forte hétérogénéité interne)", "qualifications": [ { "code": "MOYENNE_TROMPEUSE", "libelle": "Moyenne départementale trompeuse (forte hétérogénéité interne)" } ], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.649, "penalite": 11.66, "penalites_detail": [ { "regle": "PEN_EAU", "code": "PEN_EAU", "points": 8.0, "motif": "3 conditions (2076) : A_ressource_superficielle, B_nappes, C_restrictions_observees" }, { "regle": "PEN_SUBMERSION", "code": "PEN_SUBMERSION", "points": 3.66, "motif": "EXT_SUBMERSION=11.66 > seuil 5 (2076)" } ], "alertes": [ "PEN_EAU", "PEN_SUBMERSION" ], "forces": [ { "domaine": "agri_energie", "libelle": "Agriculture et forêts", "score": 53.0 }, { "domaine": "migrations", "libelle": "Population", "score": 57.4 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 94.4 }, { "domaine": "eau", "libelle": "Eau", "score": 80.7 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 65.14, "rang": 95, "rang_min": 91.0, "rang_max": 96.0, "note_climat": 65.17, "note_vie": 64.99, "rang_climat": 94, "rang_vie": 90 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 64.63, "rang": 95, "rang_min": 91.0, "rang_max": 96.0, "note_climat": 64.3, "note_vie": 66.47, "rang_climat": 94, "rang_vie": 93 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 66.96, "rang": 95, "rang_min": 91.0, "rang_max": 96.0, "note_climat": 67.24, "note_vie": 65.36, "rang_climat": 95, "rang_vie": 90 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 64.58, "rang": 95, "rang_min": 91.0, "rang_max": 96.0, "note_climat": 64.46, "note_vie": 65.27, "rang_climat": 94, "rang_vie": 89 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 74.8, "eau": 40.0, "extremes": 59.8, "agri_energie": 42.4, "sante_infra": 70.1, "eco_immo": 52.2, "migrations": 57.4, "gouvernance": 67.4 }, "position_couleur": 0.9129, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "nettement_plus", "verdict_climat": "nettement_plus" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 81.93, "rang": 94, "rang_min": 91.0, "rang_max": 96.0, "note_climat": 84.92, "note_vie": 64.99, "rang_climat": 93, "rang_vie": 90 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 82.75, "rang": 95, "rang_min": 91.0, "rang_max": 96.0, "note_climat": 85.62, "note_vie": 66.47, "rang_climat": 94, "rang_vie": 93 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 82.71, "rang": 93, "rang_min": 91.0, "rang_max": 96.0, "note_climat": 85.77, "note_vie": 65.36, "rang_climat": 93, "rang_vie": 90 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 81.35, "rang": 93, "rang_min": 91.0, "rang_max": 96.0, "note_climat": 85.05, "note_vie": 60.36, "rang_climat": 93, "rang_vie": 88 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 94.4, "eau": 80.7, "extremes": 70.3, "agri_energie": 53.0, "sante_infra": 72.2, "eco_immo": 76.7, "migrations": 57.4, "gouvernance": 58.8 }, "position_couleur": 0.9721, "evolution": { "points": 16.79, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "nettement_plus", "verdict_climat": "nettement_plus" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 88.71, "rang": 94, "rang_min": 91.0, "rang_max": 96.0, "note_climat": 92.9, "note_vie": 64.99, "rang_climat": 93, "rang_vie": 90 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 89.65, "rang": 94, "rang_min": 91.0, "rang_max": 96.0, "note_climat": 93.74, "note_vie": 66.47, "rang_climat": 93, "rang_vie": 93 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 89.17, "rang": 94, "rang_min": 91.0, "rang_max": 96.0, "note_climat": 93.37, "note_vie": 65.36, "rang_climat": 93, "rang_vie": 90 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 88.15, "rang": 93, "rang_min": 91.0, "rang_max": 96.0, "note_climat": 93.25, "note_vie": 59.26, "rang_climat": 93, "rang_vie": 81 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 95.6, "eau": 92.5, "extremes": 76.5, "agri_energie": 64.2, "sante_infra": 73.5, "eco_immo": 85.8, "migrations": 57.4, "gouvernance": 59.4 }, "position_couleur": 0.993, "evolution": { "points": 23.57, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "nettement_plus", "verdict_climat": "nettement_plus" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 10.23, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 1.89, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 23.37, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 7.83, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.31, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 1645.38, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 6.96, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 1.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 69.5, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": 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"EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 4.16, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 4.31, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 12.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 4.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 4.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 6.98, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 3.82, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 5.26, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 5.69, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 8.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, 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"rang_min": 26.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 27.51, "note_vie": 50.83, "rang_climat": 42, "rang_vie": 56 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 31.46, "rang": 51, "rang_min": 26.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 28.06, "note_vie": 50.74, "rang_climat": 46, "rang_vie": 59 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 23.8, "eau": 16.9, "extremes": 35.9, "agri_energie": 42.2, "sante_infra": 45.4, "eco_immo": 24.7, "migrations": 31.3, "gouvernance": 30.1 }, "position_couleur": 0.1812, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 42.49, "rang": 56, "rang_min": 26.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 41.19, "note_vie": 49.85, "rang_climat": 50, "rang_vie": 57 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 42.57, "rang": 57, "rang_min": 26.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 40.85, "note_vie": 52.33, "rang_climat": 49, "rang_vie": 69 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 42.87, "rang": 56, "rang_min": 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}, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 2.71, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 3.99, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 5.81, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "73": { "code": "73", "nom": "Savoie", "region": "Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes", "accord": "f", "vie": { "rang": 31, "position": "favorable" }, "prefecture": "Chambéry", "population": 448226, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": true, "note_infra": "Moyenne départementale trompeuse (forte hétérogénéité interne)", "qualifications": [ { "code": "MOYENNE_TROMPEUSE", "libelle": "Moyenne départementale trompeuse (forte hétérogénéité interne)" } ], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.651, "penalite": 0.0, "penalites_detail": [], "alertes": [], "forces": [ { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 13.8 }, { "domaine": "gouvernance", "libelle": "Préparation locale", "score": 20.1 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "eco_immo", "libelle": "Emploi et logement", "score": 49.5 }, { "domaine": "sante_infra", "libelle": "Santé et services", "score": 47.2 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 23.67, "rang": 10, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 62.0, "note_climat": 20.66, "note_vie": 40.72, "rang_climat": 6, "rang_vie": 31 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 22.53, "rang": 4, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 62.0, "note_climat": 18.75, "note_vie": 43.93, "rang_climat": 6, "rang_vie": 40 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 26.45, "rang": 28, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 62.0, "note_climat": 24.06, "note_vie": 39.94, "rang_climat": 28, "rang_vie": 31 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 23.41, "rang": 4, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 62.0, "note_climat": 20.46, "note_vie": 40.11, "rang_climat": 5, "rang_vie": 27 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 10.2, "eau": 9.0, "extremes": 31.4, "agri_energie": 19.6, "sante_infra": 40.6, "eco_immo": 34.0, "migrations": 36.4, "gouvernance": 22.1 }, "position_couleur": 0.0314, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "plutot_moins", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 37.34, "rang": 30, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 62.0, "note_climat": 36.74, "note_vie": 40.72, "rang_climat": 31, "rang_vie": 31 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 36.52, "rang": 24, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 62.0, "note_climat": 35.21, "note_vie": 43.93, "rang_climat": 25, "rang_vie": 40 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 39.79, "rang": 39, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 62.0, "note_climat": 39.76, "note_vie": 39.94, "rang_climat": 43, "rang_vie": 31 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 36.21, "rang": 22, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 62.0, "note_climat": 36.51, "note_vie": 34.52, "rang_climat": 31, "rang_vie": 15 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 13.8, "eau": 39.9, "extremes": 39.0, "agri_energie": 35.2, "sante_infra": 47.2, "eco_immo": 49.5, "migrations": 36.4, "gouvernance": 20.1 }, "position_couleur": 0.3763, "evolution": { "points": 13.67, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 46.66, "rang": 39, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 62.0, "note_climat": 47.71, "note_vie": 40.72, "rang_climat": 43, "rang_vie": 31 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 46.09, "rang": 37, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 62.0, "note_climat": 46.47, "note_vie": 43.93, "rang_climat": 39, "rang_vie": 40 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 48.13, "rang": 44, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 62.0, "note_climat": 49.58, "note_vie": 39.94, "rang_climat": 47, "rang_vie": 31 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 44.42, "rang": 26, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 62.0, "note_climat": 46.52, "note_vie": 32.57, "rang_climat": 38, "rang_vie": 11 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 16.9, "eau": 52.7, "extremes": 45.3, "agri_energie": 60.1, "sante_infra": 50.1, "eco_immo": 56.3, "migrations": 36.4, "gouvernance": 20.3 }, "position_couleur": 0.6638, "evolution": { "points": 22.99, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.28, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 0.06, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 4.83, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.23, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 135.92, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.54, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 4.73, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 27.8, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% 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"confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 23.71, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 4.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 5.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 4.62, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.63, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 6.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 2.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 4.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 9.41, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 5.87, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 7.57, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 4.29, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 1.85, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 7.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 43.1, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 3.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 2.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 7.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 6.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 7.95, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 3.37, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 4.64, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 3523.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 3.48, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 6.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 4.35, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 6.02, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 6.73, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 6.16, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 6.59, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 3.97, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 7.27, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 2.93, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 7.39, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2076": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 5.15, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 1.25, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 0.66, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 6.63, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.74, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 326.28, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.54, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 4.73, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 57.0, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 71.3, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 96.2, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 3.3, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 86.4, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 21.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 44.7234, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 25.43, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 6.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 6.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 4.62, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 2.03, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 6.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 2.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 4.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 9.41, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 5.84, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 7.05, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 4.29, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 1.85, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 5.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 38.4, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 6.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 7.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 4.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 6.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 4.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 7.95, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 3.99, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 4.64, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 3523.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 4.25, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 6.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 4.35, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 6.99, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 6.73, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 6.16, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 7.48, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 3.97, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 7.27, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 3.06, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 7.95, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "74": { "code": "74", "nom": "Haute-Savoie", "region": "Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes", "accord": "f", "vie": { "rang": 51, "position": "moyenne" }, "prefecture": "Annecy", "population": 861158, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": true, "note_infra": "Moyenne départementale trompeuse (forte hétérogénéité interne)", "qualifications": [ { "code": "MOYENNE_TROMPEUSE", "libelle": "Moyenne départementale trompeuse (forte hétérogénéité interne)" } ], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.651, "penalite": 0.0, "penalites_detail": [], "alertes": [], "forces": [ { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 14.5 }, { "domaine": "gouvernance", "libelle": "Préparation locale", "score": 19.6 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "eco_immo", "libelle": "Emploi et logement", "score": 57.1 }, { "domaine": "sante_infra", "libelle": "Santé et services", "score": 50.6 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 26.82, "rang": 27, "rang_min": 8.0, "rang_max": 68.0, "note_climat": 23.11, "note_vie": 47.83, "rang_climat": 22, "rang_vie": 51 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 24.72, "rang": 17, "rang_min": 8.0, "rang_max": 68.0, "note_climat": 20.55, "note_vie": 48.32, "rang_climat": 13, "rang_vie": 53 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 29.57, "rang": 40, "rang_min": 8.0, "rang_max": 68.0, "note_climat": 26.0, "note_vie": 49.78, "rang_climat": 38, "rang_vie": 53 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 26.81, "rang": 26, "rang_min": 8.0, "rang_max": 68.0, "note_climat": 23.12, "note_vie": 47.68, "rang_climat": 21, "rang_vie": 50 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 11.0, "eau": 7.3, "extremes": 27.7, "agri_energie": 33.1, "sante_infra": 44.3, "eco_immo": 40.8, "migrations": 31.4, "gouvernance": 33.4 }, "position_couleur": 0.0906, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 39.59, "rang": 43, "rang_min": 8.0, "rang_max": 68.0, "note_climat": 38.14, "note_vie": 47.83, "rang_climat": 39, "rang_vie": 51 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 38.25, "rang": 37, "rang_min": 8.0, "rang_max": 68.0, "note_climat": 36.47, "note_vie": 48.32, "rang_climat": 35, "rang_vie": 53 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 41.91, "rang": 51, "rang_min": 8.0, "rang_max": 68.0, "note_climat": 40.52, "note_vie": 49.78, "rang_climat": 45, "rang_vie": 53 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 38.44, "rang": 34, "rang_min": 8.0, "rang_max": 68.0, "note_climat": 37.86, "note_vie": 41.7, "rang_climat": 39, "rang_vie": 36 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 14.5, "eau": 39.5, "extremes": 35.2, "agri_energie": 46.6, "sante_infra": 50.6, "eco_immo": 57.1, "migrations": 31.4, "gouvernance": 19.6 }, "position_couleur": 0.4564, "evolution": { "points": 12.77, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 49.1, "rang": 50, "rang_min": 8.0, "rang_max": 68.0, "note_climat": 49.33, "note_vie": 47.83, "rang_climat": 51, "rang_vie": 51 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 47.94, "rang": 49, "rang_min": 8.0, "rang_max": 68.0, "note_climat": 47.88, "note_vie": 48.32, "rang_climat": 47, "rang_vie": 53 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 50.59, "rang": 54, "rang_min": 8.0, "rang_max": 68.0, "note_climat": 50.73, "note_vie": 49.78, "rang_climat": 54, "rang_vie": 53 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 47.22, "rang": 45, "rang_min": 8.0, "rang_max": 68.0, "note_climat": 48.26, "note_vie": 41.3, "rang_climat": 46, "rang_vie": 33 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 17.4, "eau": 53.2, "extremes": 41.3, "agri_energie": 70.4, "sante_infra": 54.4, "eco_immo": 64.0, "migrations": 31.4, "gouvernance": 20.5 }, "position_couleur": 0.7282, "evolution": { "points": 22.28, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 1.42, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.26, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 0.04, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 4.77, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.21, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 126.36, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 6.23, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 5.14, 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"moyenne_trompeuse": false, "note_infra": "Bon score sur l'eau non représentatif : ressource prélevée hors du département", "qualifications": [ { "code": "RESSOURCE_EXOGENE", "libelle": "Bon score sur l'eau non représentatif : ressource prélevée hors du département" } ], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.621, "penalite": 0.0, "penalites_detail": [], "alertes": [], "forces": [ { "domaine": "sante_infra", "libelle": "Santé et services", "score": 18.7 }, { "domaine": "eau", "libelle": "Eau", "score": 30.2 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "agri_energie", "libelle": "Agriculture et forêts", "score": 71.7 }, { "domaine": "migrations", "libelle": "Population", "score": 53.2 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 31.18, "rang": 49, "rang_min": 6.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 30.98, "note_vie": 32.33, "rang_climat": 58, "rang_vie": 8 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 32.45, "rang": 55, "rang_min": 6.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 33.22, "note_vie": 28.08, "rang_climat": 72, "rang_vie": 1 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 27.44, "rang": 35, "rang_min": 6.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 26.81, "note_vie": 30.99, "rang_climat": 39, "rang_vie": 8 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 31.41, "rang": 50, "rang_min": 6.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 31.55, "note_vie": 30.59, "rang_climat": 60, "rang_vie": 8 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 42.7, "eau": 18.1, "extremes": 30.9, "agri_energie": 68.5, "sante_infra": 13.7, "eco_immo": 31.6, "migrations": 53.2, "gouvernance": 14.2 }, "position_couleur": 0.1777, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 39.76, "rang": 44, "rang_min": 6.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 41.07, "note_vie": 32.33, "rang_climat": 49, "rang_vie": 8 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 39.85, "rang": 44, "rang_min": 6.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 41.93, "note_vie": 28.08, 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66.0, "note_climat": 38.63, "note_vie": 40.1, "rang_climat": 41, "rang_vie": 28 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 38.98, "rang": 42, "rang_min": 15.0, "rang_max": 66.0, "note_climat": 38.3, "note_vie": 42.84, "rang_climat": 43, "rang_vie": 37 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 38.64, "rang": 34, "rang_min": 15.0, "rang_max": 66.0, "note_climat": 38.52, "note_vie": 39.32, "rang_climat": 36, "rang_vie": 28 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 38.58, "rang": 36, "rang_min": 15.0, "rang_max": 66.0, "note_climat": 38.52, "note_vie": 38.94, "rang_climat": 41, "rang_vie": 29 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 18.8, "eau": 32.8, "extremes": 38.9, "agri_energie": 41.1, "sante_infra": 34.0, "eco_immo": 38.4, "migrations": 30.2, "gouvernance": 35.9 }, "position_couleur": 0.4216, "evolution": { "points": 7.53, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 45.69, "rang": 33, "rang_min": 15.0, "rang_max": 66.0, 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"cycle_de_vie": { "score": 39.67, "rang": 45, "rang_min": 14.0, "rang_max": 65.0, "note_climat": 36.58, "note_vie": 57.21, "rang_climat": 32, "rang_vie": 78 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 36.3, "eau": 27.1, "extremes": 34.1, "agri_energie": 52.4, "sante_infra": 49.0, "eco_immo": 42.2, "migrations": 31.8, "gouvernance": 37.3 }, "position_couleur": 0.4251, "evolution": { "points": 7.07, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 44.68, "rang": 26, "rang_min": 14.0, "rang_max": 65.0, "note_climat": 43.57, "note_vie": 50.99, "rang_climat": 22, "rang_vie": 62 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 43.58, "rang": 24, "rang_min": 14.0, "rang_max": 65.0, "note_climat": 42.57, "note_vie": 49.31, "rang_climat": 19, "rang_vie": 57 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 45.46, "rang": 33, "rang_min": 14.0, "rang_max": 65.0, "note_climat": 44.07, "note_vie": 53.35, "rang_climat": 25, "rang_vie": 67 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 45.62, "rang": 38, "rang_min": 14.0, "rang_max": 65.0, "note_climat": 42.97, "note_vie": 60.58, "rang_climat": 19, "rang_vie": 82 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 41.8, "eau": 31.6, "extremes": 40.8, "agri_energie": 62.1, "sante_infra": 53.1, "eco_immo": 47.8, "migrations": 31.8, "gouvernance": 43.2 }, "position_couleur": 0.5993, "evolution": { "points": 12.86, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "plutot_moins" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 1.95, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.36, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 1.04, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 5.16, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.17, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 190.66, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.84, 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}, "2050": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 4.33, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.99, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 5.98, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 6.34, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.94, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 459.32, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.54, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 3.51, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 90.4, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 93.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 94.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 75.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 43.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 6.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 8.92, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 75.38, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 4.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 5.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 7.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 4.54, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 6.34, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 3.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 3.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 5.56, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 4.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 6.39, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 5.45, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 1.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 5.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 82.4, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 4.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 4.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 9.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 2.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 7.78, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 0.42, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 5.75, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 1350.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 4.22, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 2.18, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 7.78, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 4.75, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 1.88, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 6.24, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 1.24, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.67, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 4.63, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 3.54, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 6.24, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2076": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 6.05, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 1.47, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 10.79, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 6.9, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.56, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 638.74, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.54, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 3.51, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 101.7, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 84.7, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 90.9, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.8, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 79.2, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 47.2, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 7.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 9.5, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 80.86, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 6.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 5.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 8.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 4.54, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 7.92, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 3.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 3.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 5.56, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 4.73, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 5.66, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 5.45, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 1.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 4.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 73.6, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 7.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 6.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 9.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 7.78, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 0.64, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 5.75, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 1350.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 5.03, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 2.18, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 7.78, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 4.84, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 1.88, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 6.24, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 1.41, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.67, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 4.63, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 4.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 7.05, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "80": { "code": "80", "nom": "Somme", "region": "Hauts-de-France", "accord": "f", "vie": { "rang": 10, "position": "favorable" }, "prefecture": "Amiens", "population": 565413, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": false, "note_infra": "Chlorothalonil R471811 : plus de 80 % de la population desservie au-dessus de 0,1 µg/L (seuil de statut intermédiaire — voir CONTROLE_QUALITE §4.5)", "qualifications": [ { "code": "EAU_CHLOROTHALONIL", "libelle": "Chlorothalonil R471811 : plus de 80 % de la population desservie au-dessus de 0,1 µg/L (seuil de statut intermédiaire — voir CONTROLE_QUALITE §4.5)" } ], "confiance": "moyenne", "robustesse": 0.754, "penalite": 2.41, "penalites_detail": [ { "regle": "PEN_SUBMERSION", "code": "PEN_SUBMERSION", "points": 2.41, "motif": "EXT_SUBMERSION=9.39 > seuil 5 (2076)" } ], "alertes": [ "PEN_SUBMERSION" ], "forces": [ { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 23.5 }, { "domaine": "sante_infra", "libelle": "Santé et services", "score": 26.8 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "gouvernance", "libelle": "Préparation locale", "score": 47.2 }, { "domaine": "migrations", "libelle": "Population", "score": 36.9 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 26.52, "rang": 24, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 45.0, "note_climat": 25.46, "note_vie": 32.49, "rang_climat": 36, "rang_vie": 10 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 26.24, "rang": 23, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 45.0, "note_climat": 25.55, "note_vie": 30.13, "rang_climat": 37, "rang_vie": 6 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 25.26, "rang": 16, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 45.0, "note_climat": 24.12, "note_vie": 31.72, "rang_climat": 29, "rang_vie": 9 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 26.85, "rang": 27, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 45.0, "note_climat": 25.62, "note_vie": 33.8, "rang_climat": 36, "rang_vie": 9 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 20.0, "eau": 21.0, "extremes": 24.9, "agri_energie": 24.7, "sante_infra": 21.8, "eco_immo": 15.2, "migrations": 36.9, "gouvernance": 53.8 }, "position_couleur": 0.0801, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 33.3, "rang": 10, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 45.0, "note_climat": 33.44, "note_vie": 32.49, "rang_climat": 14, "rang_vie": 10 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 33.05, "rang": 10, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 45.0, "note_climat": 33.57, "note_vie": 30.13, "rang_climat": 14, "rang_vie": 6 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 32.66, "rang": 8, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 45.0, "note_climat": 32.82, "note_vie": 31.72, "rang_climat": 15, "rang_vie": 9 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 32.76, "rang": 8, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 45.0, "note_climat": 33.33, "note_vie": 29.52, "rang_climat": 14, "rang_vie": 4 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 23.5, "eau": 32.9, "extremes": 33.2, "agri_energie": 29.2, "sante_infra": 26.8, "eco_immo": 28.2, "migrations": 36.9, "gouvernance": 47.2 }, "position_couleur": 0.2387, "evolution": { "points": 6.78, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "plutot_moins", "verdict_climat": "plutot_moins" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 39.29, "rang": 9, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 45.0, "note_climat": 40.48, "note_vie": 32.49, "rang_climat": 13, "rang_vie": 10 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 38.71, "rang": 8, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 45.0, "note_climat": 40.23, "note_vie": 30.13, "rang_climat": 13, "rang_vie": 6 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 39.3, "rang": 8, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 45.0, "note_climat": 40.64, "note_vie": 31.72, "rang_climat": 12, "rang_vie": 9 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 38.79, "rang": 6, "rang_min": 2.0, "rang_max": 45.0, "note_climat": 40.32, "note_vie": 30.07, "rang_climat": 13, "rang_vie": 6 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 27.5, "eau": 37.9, "extremes": 41.5, "agri_energie": 37.4, "sante_infra": 31.2, "eco_immo": 39.5, "migrations": 36.9, "gouvernance": 47.5 }, "position_couleur": 0.4425, "evolution": { "points": 12.77, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "plutot_moins", "verdict_climat": "plutot_moins" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 0.85, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.16, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 0.73, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 4.22, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.15, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 115.28, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 6.26, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 4.05, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 23.8, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 42.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 28.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 7.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 27.0433, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 4.27, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 5.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 21.79, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 2.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 6.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 3.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 0.27, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.02, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": { "valeur": 5.61, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_FILIERES": { "valeur": 8.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_SUP_ACCES": { "valeur": 6.79, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": { "valeur": 3.16, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "VIEIL_AUTONOMIE_LOGT": { "valeur": 7.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_NO3_MAX": { "valeur": 69.9, "unite": "mg/L", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P50": { "valeur": 7.6, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P40": { "valeur": 18.2, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_P25": { "valeur": 85.8, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_NO3_EPIS50": { "valeur": 11.7, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAUQ_R471811": { "valeur": 80.1, "unite": "%", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAUQ_PESTOT": { "valeur": 60.7, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_PFAS_MAX": { "valeur": 0.037, "unite": "µg/L", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": -1.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 3.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 1.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 3.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 3.73, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 7.15, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 1.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 4.42, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 7.35, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 9.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 72.6, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 2.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 1.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 8.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 1.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 5.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 0.24, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 5.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 1793.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 1.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 2.41, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 5.81, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 4.41, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" 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"moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 172.22, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 6.26, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 4.05, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 38.1, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 99.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 102.5, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.5, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 62.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 28.3, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 7.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 29.2068, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 6.4, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 6.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 23.97, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 3.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 6.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 3.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 0.27, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 1.43, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_TRAJ_SCOL": { "valeur": 5.61, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_FILIERES": { "valeur": 8.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EDU_SUP_ACCES": { "valeur": 6.79, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_RISQUE_FERM": { "valeur": 3.16, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "VIEIL_DEPENDANCE": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "VIEIL_AUTONOMIE_LOGT": { "valeur": 7.0, "unite": 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"EAUQ_PESTOT": { "valeur": null, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAUQ_PFAS_MAX": { "valeur": null, "unite": "µg/L", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": -1.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 3.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 1.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 3.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 3.73, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 7.52, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 3.32, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 2.27, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 4.42, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 7.35, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 7.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, 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78 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 36.83, "rang": 74, "rang_min": 54.0, "rang_max": 86.0, "note_climat": 33.57, "note_vie": 55.3, "rang_climat": 73, "rang_vie": 73 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 62.6, "eau": 27.9, "extremes": 34.7, "agri_energie": 18.1, "sante_infra": 56.2, "eco_immo": 32.1, "migrations": 43.1, "gouvernance": 24.9 }, "position_couleur": 0.3589, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 55.46, "rang": 81, "rang_min": 54.0, "rang_max": 86.0, "note_climat": 55.61, "note_vie": 54.64, "rang_climat": 82, "rang_vie": 73 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 55.87, "rang": 81, "rang_min": 54.0, "rang_max": 86.0, "note_climat": 56.79, "note_vie": 50.66, "rang_climat": 82, "rang_vie": 62 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 56.02, "rang": 80, "rang_min": 54.0, "rang_max": 86.0, "note_climat": 55.81, "note_vie": 57.19, "rang_climat": 81, "rang_vie": 78 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 55.15, "rang": 80, "rang_min": 54.0, "rang_max": 86.0, "note_climat": 55.69, "note_vie": 52.07, "rang_climat": 82, "rang_vie": 66 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 80.6, "eau": 66.3, "extremes": 40.7, "agri_energie": 35.3, "sante_infra": 62.2, "eco_immo": 52.4, "migrations": 43.1, "gouvernance": 39.7 }, "position_couleur": 0.8258, "evolution": { "points": 18.35, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "nettement_plus", "verdict_climat": "nettement_plus" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 66.27, "rang": 83, "rang_min": 54.0, "rang_max": 86.0, "note_climat": 68.32, "note_vie": 54.64, "rang_climat": 83, "rang_vie": 73 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 66.69, "rang": 83, "rang_min": 54.0, "rang_max": 86.0, "note_climat": 69.51, "note_vie": 50.66, "rang_climat": 85, "rang_vie": 62 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 66.22, "rang": 82, "rang_min": 54.0, "rang_max": 86.0, "note_climat": 67.81, "note_vie": 57.19, "rang_climat": 84, "rang_vie": 78 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 66.14, "rang": 83, "rang_min": 54.0, "rang_max": 86.0, "note_climat": 68.6, "note_vie": 52.17, "rang_climat": 83, "rang_vie": 67 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 91.4, "eau": 83.6, "extremes": 45.6, "agri_energie": 52.7, "sante_infra": 67.4, "eco_immo": 58.3, "migrations": 43.1, "gouvernance": 51.6 }, "position_couleur": 0.9233, "evolution": { "points": 29.16, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "nettement_plus", "verdict_climat": "nettement_plus" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 11.25, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 2.08, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 13.61, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 8.01, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.3, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 1861.35, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 6.21, 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"confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 89.4, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 66.6, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 92.4, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 3.3, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 106.4, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 2.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 63.1, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 6.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 10.58, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 8.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 7.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 0.25, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 8.05, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 8.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 3.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 3.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 3.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 7.02, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 4.34, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 7.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 5.21, "unite": 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"confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 9.15, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "83": { "code": "83", "nom": "Var", "region": "Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur", "accord": "m", "vie": { "rang": 94, "position": "defavorable" }, "prefecture": "Toulon", "population": 1119307, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": true, "note_infra": "Moyenne départementale trompeuse (forte hétérogénéité interne)", "qualifications": [ { "code": "MOYENNE_TROMPEUSE", "libelle": "Moyenne départementale trompeuse (forte hétérogénéité interne)" } ], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.649, "penalite": 8.5, "penalites_detail": [ { "regle": "PEN_EAU", "code": "PEN_EAU", "points": 8.0, "motif": "2 conditions (2076) : B_nappes, C_restrictions_observees" }, { "regle": "PEN_SUBMERSION", "code": "PEN_SUBMERSION", "points": 0.5, "motif": "EXT_SUBMERSION=5.9 > seuil 5 (2076)" } ], "alertes": [ "PEN_EAU", "PEN_SUBMERSION" ], "forces": [ { "domaine": "agri_energie", "libelle": "Agriculture et forêts", "score": 52.9 }, { "domaine": "migrations", "libelle": "Population", "score": 60.8 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "eco_immo", "libelle": "Emploi et logement", "score": 88.8 }, { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 88.0 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 62.22, "rang": 92, "rang_min": 91.0, "rang_max": 95.0, "note_climat": 61.15, "note_vie": 68.28, "rang_climat": 92, "rang_vie": 94 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 60.53, "rang": 92, "rang_min": 91.0, "rang_max": 95.0, "note_climat": 58.92, "note_vie": 69.65, "rang_climat": 91, "rang_vie": 96 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 65.65, "rang": 94, "rang_min": 91.0, "rang_max": 95.0, "note_climat": 65.07, "note_vie": 68.91, "rang_climat": 92, "rang_vie": 93 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 61.65, "rang": 92, "rang_min": 91.0, "rang_max": 95.0, "note_climat": 60.43, "note_vie": 68.56, "rang_climat": 92, "rang_vie": 94 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 68.9, 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}, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 90.0, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 1.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 45.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 4.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 27.3195, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 2.68, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 95.0, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 5.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, 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"population": 713609, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": false, "note_infra": "", "qualifications": [], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.659, "penalite": 5.0, "penalites_detail": [ { "regle": "PEN_SUBMERSION", "code": "PEN_SUBMERSION", "points": 5.0, "motif": "EXT_SUBMERSION=26.73 > seuil 5 (2076)" } ], "alertes": [ "PEN_SUBMERSION" ], "forces": [ { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 19.4 }, { "domaine": "sante_infra", "libelle": "Santé et services", "score": 35.2 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "migrations", "libelle": "Population", "score": 57.2 }, { "domaine": "eau", "libelle": "Eau", "score": 52.1 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 35.29, "rang": 72, "rang_min": 41.0, "rang_max": 80.0, "note_climat": 33.44, "note_vie": 45.78, "rang_climat": 72, "rang_vie": 46 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 36.17, "rang": 73, "rang_min": 41.0, "rang_max": 80.0, "note_climat": 33.76, "note_vie": 49.86, "rang_climat": 73, "rang_vie": 59 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 33.45, "rang": 64, "rang_min": 41.0, "rang_max": 80.0, "note_climat": 31.45, "note_vie": 44.78, "rang_climat": 64, "rang_vie": 44 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 35.48, "rang": 72, "rang_min": 41.0, "rang_max": 80.0, "note_climat": 33.64, "note_vie": 45.89, "rang_climat": 74, "rang_vie": 45 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 12.9, "eau": 30.0, "extremes": 37.2, "agri_energie": 32.0, "sante_infra": 30.1, "eco_immo": 22.3, "migrations": 57.2, "gouvernance": 46.2 }, "position_couleur": 0.3136, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 47.39, "rang": 70, "rang_min": 41.0, "rang_max": 80.0, "note_climat": 47.67, "note_vie": 45.78, "rang_climat": 69, "rang_vie": 46 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 48.57, "rang": 72, "rang_min": 41.0, "rang_max": 80.0, "note_climat": 48.34, "note_vie": 49.86, "rang_climat": 71, "rang_vie": 59 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 45.48, "rang": 65, "rang_min": 41.0, "rang_max": 80.0, "note_climat": 45.6, "note_vie": 44.78, "rang_climat": 66, "rang_vie": 44 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 47.72, "rang": 70, "rang_min": 41.0, "rang_max": 80.0, "note_climat": 47.67, "note_vie": 48.04, "rang_climat": 69, "rang_vie": 52 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 19.4, "eau": 52.1, "extremes": 48.7, "agri_energie": 46.0, "sante_infra": 35.2, "eco_immo": 39.7, "migrations": 57.2, "gouvernance": 42.6 }, "position_couleur": 0.6899, "evolution": { "points": 12.1, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 55.6, "rang": 68, "rang_min": 41.0, "rang_max": 80.0, "note_climat": 57.34, "note_vie": 45.78, "rang_climat": 68, "rang_vie": 46 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 56.45, "rang": 69, "rang_min": 41.0, "rang_max": 80.0, "note_climat": 57.62, "note_vie": 49.86, "rang_climat": 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"haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 12.15, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 6.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 53.77, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 3.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 7.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 6.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 4.57, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 5.28, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 12.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 3.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 4.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 8.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, 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"confiance": "faible" } } } }, "86": { "code": "86", "nom": "Vienne", "region": "Nouvelle-Aquitaine", "accord": "f", "vie": { "rang": 26, "position": "favorable" }, "prefecture": "Poitiers", "population": 438897, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": false, "note_infra": "", "qualifications": [], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.661, "penalite": 0.0, "penalites_detail": [], "alertes": [], "forces": [ { "domaine": "sante_infra", "libelle": "Santé et services", "score": 32.9 }, { "domaine": "migrations", "libelle": "Population", "score": 35.3 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "gouvernance", "libelle": "Préparation locale", "score": 61.1 }, { "domaine": "eau", "libelle": "Eau", "score": 50.1 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 33.11, "rang": 57, "rang_min": 33.0, "rang_max": 74.0, "note_climat": 32.03, "note_vie": 39.22, "rang_climat": 66, "rang_vie": 26 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 34.2, "rang": 67, "rang_min": 33.0, "rang_max": 74.0, "note_climat": 32.53, "note_vie": 43.71, "rang_climat": 67, "rang_vie": 39 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 31.13, "rang": 52, "rang_min": 33.0, "rang_max": 74.0, "note_climat": 30.04, "note_vie": 37.32, "rang_climat": 60, "rang_vie": 21 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 33.41, "rang": 59, "rang_min": 33.0, "rang_max": 74.0, "note_climat": 32.37, "note_vie": 39.32, "rang_climat": 67, "rang_vie": 24 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 35.3, "eau": 29.1, "extremes": 36.8, "agri_energie": 35.7, "sante_infra": 28.8, "eco_immo": 20.5, "migrations": 35.3, "gouvernance": 55.4 }, "position_couleur": 0.223, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 44.96, "rang": 62, "rang_min": 33.0, "rang_max": 74.0, "note_climat": 45.97, "note_vie": 39.22, "rang_climat": 66, "rang_vie": 26 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 45.73, "rang": 64, "rang_min": 33.0, 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"unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 3.24, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 6.63, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 1.54, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 3.6, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 2.49, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 6.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 3.31, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 6.21, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2076": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 8.92, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 2.17, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 10.91, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 7.58, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 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{ "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 6.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 5.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 8.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 4.33, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 10.76, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 2.5, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 2.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 3.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 3.28, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 4.93, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 4.23, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 5.89, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 3.84, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 4.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 74.1, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 8.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 7.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 6.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 9.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 1.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 6.62, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 1.98, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 4.04, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 1547.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 6.41, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 2.88, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 4.78, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 4.87, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 3.24, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 6.63, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 1.78, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 3.6, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 2.49, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 6.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 3.94, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 7.02, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "87": { "code": "87", "nom": "Haute-Vienne", "region": "Nouvelle-Aquitaine", "accord": "f", "vie": { "rang": 33, "position": "moyenne" }, "prefecture": "Limoges", "population": 373167, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": false, "note_infra": "", "qualifications": [], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.651, "penalite": 6.0, "penalites_detail": [ { "regle": "PEN_AEP", "code": "PEN_AEP", "points": 6.0, "motif": "INF_AEP=10 > seuil 8 (2050)" } ], "alertes": [ "PEN_AEP" ], "forces": [ { "domaine": "extremes", "libelle": "Catastrophes naturelles", "score": 17.1 }, { "domaine": "eco_immo", "libelle": "Emploi et logement", "score": 19.6 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "eau", "libelle": "Eau", "score": 57.2 }, { "domaine": "sante_infra", "libelle": "Santé et services", "score": 48.0 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 29.51, "rang": 44, "rang_min": 19.0, "rang_max": 72.0, "note_climat": 27.5, "note_vie": 40.92, "rang_climat": 41, "rang_vie": 33 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 28.83, "rang": 43, "rang_min": 19.0, "rang_max": 72.0, "note_climat": 26.97, "note_vie": 39.41, "rang_climat": 46, "rang_vie": 22 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 30.45, "rang": 46, "rang_min": 19.0, "rang_max": 72.0, "note_climat": 28.45, "note_vie": 41.75, "rang_climat": 48, "rang_vie": 35 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 29.38, "rang": 43, "rang_min": 19.0, "rang_max": 72.0, "note_climat": 27.19, "note_vie": 41.82, "rang_climat": 41, "rang_vie": 35 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 27.9, "eau": 23.7, "extremes": 10.9, "agri_energie": 20.1, "sante_infra": 44.1, "eco_immo": 13.6, "migrations": 39.8, "gouvernance": 27.1 }, "position_couleur": 0.1551, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 42.64, 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}, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.3, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 6.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 2.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 4.59, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 1.19, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 2.96, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 1368.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 4.62, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 1.74, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 4.11, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 5.18, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 1.77, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 5.29, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.1, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 1.63, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 3.74, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 5.94, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "90": { "code": "90", "nom": "Territoire de Belfort", "region": "Bourgogne-Franche-Comté", "accord": "m", "vie": { "rang": 65, "position": "defavorable" }, "prefecture": "Belfort", "population": 140255, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": false, "note_infra": "", "qualifications": [], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.648, "penalite": 0.0, "penalites_detail": [], "alertes": [], "forces": [ { "domaine": "chaleur", "libelle": "Chaleur", "score": 18.7 }, { "domaine": "eau", "libelle": "Eau", "score": 26.2 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "sante_infra", "libelle": "Santé et services", "score": 54.6 }, { "domaine": "extremes", "libelle": "Catastrophes naturelles", "score": 49.1 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 28.34, "rang": 36, "rang_min": 12.0, "rang_max": 64.0, "note_climat": 24.17, "note_vie": 51.98, "rang_climat": 28, "rang_vie": 65 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 28.0, "rang": 34, "rang_min": 12.0, "rang_max": 64.0, "note_climat": 23.3, "note_vie": 54.63, "rang_climat": 24, "rang_vie": 75 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 28.89, "rang": 37, "rang_min": 12.0, "rang_max": 64.0, "note_climat": 24.73, "note_vie": 52.46, "rang_climat": 33, "rang_vie": 65 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 28.48, "rang": 37, "rang_min": 12.0, "rang_max": 64.0, "note_climat": 24.21, "note_vie": 52.7, "rang_climat": 28, "rang_vie": 66 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 14.4, "eau": 5.3, "extremes": 40.5, "agri_energie": 36.8, "sante_infra": 47.0, "eco_immo": 21.0, "migrations": 29.3, "gouvernance": 42.0 }, "position_couleur": 0.122, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 39.48, "rang": 41, "rang_min": 12.0, "rang_max": 64.0, "note_climat": 37.28, "note_vie": 51.98, "rang_climat": 35, "rang_vie": 65 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 38.92, "rang": 41, "rang_min": 12.0, "rang_max": 64.0, "note_climat": 36.15, "note_vie": 54.63, "rang_climat": 33, "rang_vie": 75 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 40.68, "rang": 44, "rang_min": 12.0, "rang_max": 64.0, "note_climat": 38.6, "note_vie": 52.46, "rang_climat": 40, "rang_vie": 65 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 38.91, "rang": 39, "rang_min": 12.0, "rang_max": 64.0, "note_climat": 37.06, "note_vie": 49.4, "rang_climat": 35, "rang_vie": 60 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 18.7, "eau": 26.2, "extremes": 49.1, "agri_energie": 46.9, "sante_infra": 54.6, "eco_immo": 37.4, "migrations": 29.3, "gouvernance": 42.2 }, "position_couleur": 0.4477, "evolution": { "points": 11.14, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 46.61, "rang": 38, "rang_min": 12.0, "rang_max": 64.0, "note_climat": 45.66, "note_vie": 51.98, "rang_climat": 31, "rang_vie": 65 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 45.93, "rang": 36, "rang_min": 12.0, "rang_max": 64.0, "note_climat": 44.4, "note_vie": 54.63, "rang_climat": 27, "rang_vie": 75 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 47.62, "rang": 41, "rang_min": 12.0, "rang_max": 64.0, "note_climat": 46.76, "note_vie": 52.46, "rang_climat": 36, "rang_vie": 65 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 45.56, "rang": 36, "rang_min": 12.0, "rang_max": 64.0, "note_climat": 44.69, "note_vie": 50.52, "rang_climat": 28, "rang_vie": 61 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 22.7, "eau": 34.3, "extremes": 54.9, "agri_energie": 62.5, "sante_infra": 59.0, "eco_immo": 42.9, "migrations": 29.3, "gouvernance": 46.1 }, "position_couleur": 0.6585, "evolution": { "points": 18.27, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 1.88, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.35, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 0.21, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 5.12, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.2, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 182.48, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.31, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 4.07, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 20.1, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { 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"confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 6.64, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 4.96, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 4.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.88, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 6.67, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 6.11, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 2.62, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 2.99, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } }, "2050": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 4.28, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.98, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 0.72, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 6.32, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 2.02, "unite": 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"unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 73.58, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 4.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 5.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 3.64, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 2.01, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": 1.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 1.8, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 4.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 4.46, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 5.08, "unite": "0-10", 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représentatif : ressource prélevée hors du département" } ], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.655, "penalite": 0.0, "penalites_detail": [], "alertes": [], "forces": [ { "domaine": "eau", "libelle": "Eau", "score": 27.1 }, { "domaine": "migrations", "libelle": "Population", "score": 30.3 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "agri_energie", "libelle": "Agriculture et forêts", "score": 56.0 }, { "domaine": "sante_infra", "libelle": "Santé et services", "score": 53.4 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 33.97, "rang": 65, "rang_min": 23.0, "rang_max": 74.0, "note_climat": 30.21, "note_vie": 55.27, "rang_climat": 56, "rang_vie": 77 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 33.9, "rang": 65, "rang_min": 23.0, "rang_max": 74.0, "note_climat": 30.33, "note_vie": 54.09, "rang_climat": 58, "rang_vie": 73 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 33.42, "rang": 63, "rang_min": 23.0, "rang_max": 74.0, "note_climat": 29.13, "note_vie": 57.69, "rang_climat": 52, "rang_vie": 81 }, 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"cycle_de_vie": { "score": 41.99, "rang": 52, "rang_min": 23.0, "rang_max": 74.0, "note_climat": 39.07, "note_vie": 58.5, "rang_climat": 45, "rang_vie": 82 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 37.1, "eau": 27.1, "extremes": 39.9, "agri_energie": 56.0, "sante_infra": 53.4, "eco_immo": 47.2, "migrations": 30.3, "gouvernance": 37.9 }, "position_couleur": 0.5087, "evolution": { "points": 7.71, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 47.54, "rang": 44, "rang_min": 23.0, "rang_max": 74.0, "note_climat": 46.18, "note_vie": 55.27, "rang_climat": 35, "rang_vie": 77 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 46.34, "rang": 43, "rang_min": 23.0, "rang_max": 74.0, "note_climat": 44.97, "note_vie": 54.09, "rang_climat": 35, "rang_vie": 73 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 48.68, "rang": 49, "rang_min": 23.0, "rang_max": 74.0, "note_climat": 47.09, "note_vie": 57.69, "rang_climat": 38, "rang_vie": 81 }, 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"valeur": 10.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 3.37, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 5.08, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } }, "93": { "code": "93", "nom": "Seine-Saint-Denis", "region": "Île-de-France", "accord": "f", "vie": { "rang": 79, "position": "defavorable" }, "prefecture": "Bobigny", "population": 1704316, "elimine": false, "motifs_elimination": [], "moyenne_trompeuse": false, "note_infra": "Bon score sur l'eau non représentatif : ressource prélevée hors du département", "qualifications": [ { "code": "RESSOURCE_EXOGENE", "libelle": "Bon score sur l'eau non représentatif : ressource prélevée hors du département" } ], "confiance": "faible", "robustesse": 0.627, "penalite": 0.0, "penalites_detail": [], "alertes": [], "forces": [ { "domaine": "migrations", "libelle": "Population", "score": 28.9 }, { "domaine": "eau", "libelle": "Eau", "score": 30.2 } ], "faiblesses": [ { "domaine": "agri_energie", "libelle": "Agriculture et forêts", "score": 79.6 }, { "domaine": "eco_immo", "libelle": "Emploi et logement", "score": 56.4 } ], "horizons": { "2026": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 37.99, "rang": 78, "rang_min": 35.0, "rang_max": 84.0, "note_climat": 34.88, "note_vie": 55.66, "rang_climat": 76, "rang_vie": 79 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 37.59, "rang": 76, "rang_min": 35.0, "rang_max": 84.0, "note_climat": 35.04, "note_vie": 52.04, "rang_climat": 76, "rang_vie": 67 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 36.43, "rang": 75, "rang_min": 35.0, "rang_max": 84.0, "note_climat": 32.58, "note_vie": 58.24, "rang_climat": 70, "rang_vie": 83 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 38.22, "rang": 77, "rang_min": 35.0, "rang_max": 84.0, "note_climat": 35.16, "note_vie": 55.5, "rang_climat": 76, "rang_vie": 76 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 35.0, "eau": 18.1, "extremes": 30.3, "agri_energie": 76.1, "sante_infra": 42.8, "eco_immo": 37.8, "migrations": 28.9, "gouvernance": 35.6 }, "position_couleur": 0.385, "evolution": { "points": 0.0, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2050": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 46.33, "rang": 65, "rang_min": 35.0, "rang_max": 84.0, "note_climat": 44.69, "note_vie": 55.66, "rang_climat": 62, "rang_vie": 79 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 44.85, "rang": 62, "rang_min": 35.0, "rang_max": 84.0, "note_climat": 43.59, "note_vie": 52.04, "rang_climat": 60, "rang_vie": 67 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 46.42, "rang": 67, "rang_min": 35.0, "rang_max": 84.0, "note_climat": 44.33, "note_vie": 58.24, "rang_climat": 61, "rang_vie": 83 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 45.1, "rang": 63, "rang_min": 35.0, "rang_max": 84.0, "note_climat": 44.48, "note_vie": 48.6, "rang_climat": 62, "rang_vie": 55 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 41.0, "eau": 30.2, "extremes": 35.4, "agri_energie": 79.6, "sante_infra": 49.1, "eco_immo": 56.4, "migrations": 28.9, "gouvernance": 44.7 }, "position_couleur": 0.6481, "evolution": { "points": 8.34, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 51.3, "rang": 58, "rang_min": 35.0, "rang_max": 84.0, "note_climat": 50.53, "note_vie": 55.66, "rang_climat": 53, "rang_vie": 79 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 49.51, "rang": 56, "rang_min": 35.0, "rang_max": 84.0, "note_climat": 49.07, "note_vie": 52.04, "rang_climat": 52, "rang_vie": 67 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 51.97, "rang": 62, "rang_min": 35.0, "rang_max": 84.0, "note_climat": 50.86, "note_vie": 58.24, "rang_climat": 55, "rang_vie": 83 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 49.8, "rang": 55, "rang_min": 35.0, "rang_max": 84.0, "note_climat": 49.97, "note_vie": 48.84, "rang_climat": 53, "rang_vie": 55 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 47.1, "eau": 35.8, "extremes": 41.4, "agri_energie": 81.2, "sante_infra": 53.7, "eco_immo": 62.5, "migrations": 28.9, "gouvernance": 51.8 }, "position_couleur": 0.7805, "evolution": { "points": 13.31, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 2.14, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.4, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 1.36, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 5.29, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.17, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 215.53, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 6.34, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_REFUGE": { "valeur": 2.42, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 19.0, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% 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42.13, "rang": 54, "rang_min": 17.0, "rang_max": 80.0, "note_climat": 42.8, "note_vie": 38.35, "rang_climat": 56, "rang_vie": 27 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 39.2, "eau": 27.7, "extremes": 36.0, "agri_energie": 78.6, "sante_infra": 38.6, "eco_immo": 54.0, "migrations": 26.4, "gouvernance": 34.3 }, "position_couleur": 0.561, "evolution": { "points": 8.3, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 47.75, "rang": 46, "rang_min": 17.0, "rang_max": 80.0, "note_climat": 48.91, "note_vie": 41.18, "rang_climat": 46, "rang_vie": 35 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 46.13, "rang": 38, "rang_min": 17.0, "rang_max": 80.0, "note_climat": 47.64, "note_vie": 37.57, "rang_climat": 44, "rang_vie": 17 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 48.3, "rang": 45, "rang_min": 17.0, "rang_max": 80.0, "note_climat": 49.34, "note_vie": 42.41, "rang_climat": 46, "rang_vie": 38 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 46.79, "rang": 42, "rang_min": 17.0, "rang_max": 80.0, "note_climat": 48.3, "note_vie": 38.25, "rang_climat": 48, "rang_vie": 25 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 45.5, "eau": 33.1, "extremes": 41.7, "agri_energie": 80.6, "sante_infra": 43.1, "eco_immo": 60.0, "migrations": 26.4, "gouvernance": 42.6 }, "position_couleur": 0.6986, "evolution": { "points": 13.32, "au_dela_du_seuil": true }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" } }, "indicateurs": { "2026": { "CHA_TX35": { "valeur": 2.23, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_TX40": { "valeur": 0.41, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_NUITS_TROP": { "valeur": 1.43, "unite": "nuits", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_VAGUE_DUREE": { "valeur": 5.34, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "CHA_ANOM_TMOY": { "valeur": 1.17, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_DJC": { "valeur": 226.87, "unite": "DJ", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "CHA_ICU": { "valeur": 5.94, "unite": "degC", "confiance": "faible" }, 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"EAU_RESTRICTIONS": { "valeur": 33.8, "unite": "mois_alerte+/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_ETIAGE": { "valeur": 92.8, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "haute" }, "EAU_NAPPES": { "valeur": 103.8, "unite": "% vs actuel", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_METEO": { "valeur": 1.8, "unite": "episodes/10ans", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_SECH_SOL": { "valeur": 66.2, "unite": "jours", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_NEIGE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EAU_TENSION": { "valeur": 30.2, "unite": "%", "confiance": "faible" }, "EAU_QUALITE": { "valeur": 6.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_INOND": { "valeur": 26.07, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 4.2, "unite": "0-10", 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40.68, "rang": 48, "rang_min": 23.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 37.69, "note_vie": 57.61, "rang_climat": 42, "rang_vie": 83 }, "qualite_de_vie": { "score": 42.63, "rang": 54, "rang_min": 23.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 39.13, "note_vie": 62.49, "rang_climat": 41, "rang_vie": 88 }, "cycle_de_vie": { "score": 41.68, "rang": 50, "rang_min": 23.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 38.53, "note_vie": 59.58, "rang_climat": 43, "rang_vie": 86 } }, "domaines": { "chaleur": 38.6, "eau": 28.4, "extremes": 34.2, "agri_energie": 55.4, "sante_infra": 53.6, "eco_immo": 47.8, "migrations": 28.9, "gouvernance": 47.4 }, "position_couleur": 0.5157, "evolution": { "points": 7.94, "au_dela_du_seuil": false }, "verdict": "indetermine", "verdict_climat": "indetermine" }, "2076": { "ponderations": { "equilibre": { "score": 47.35, "rang": 43, "rang_min": 23.0, "rang_max": 73.0, "note_climat": 45.17, "note_vie": 59.71, "rang_climat": 27, "rang_vie": 87 }, "securite_physique": { "score": 45.82, 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"confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_SUBMERSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "% pop", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_EROSION": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_RGA": { "valeur": 100.0, "unite": "% logements", "confiance": "haute" }, "EXT_FEUX": { "valeur": 6.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EXT_TEMPETE": { "valeur": 4.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GRELE": { "valeur": 5.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_GEO": { "valeur": 1.62, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "EXT_CATNAT": { "valeur": 3.97, "unite": "arretes/commune", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_SOLDE": { "valeur": -1.0, "unite": "pour_mille_par_an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_DEPRISE": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "MIG_AGE_2050": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "MIG_DENSITE": { "valeur": 7.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_FIN_LOCALE": { "valeur": 2.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "POL_URBA": { "valeur": 6.94, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_ADAPTATION": { "valeur": 3.4, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_CONFLIT_EAU": { "valeur": 2.27, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "POL_GOUV": { "valeur": 5.93, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "POL_TENSION": { "valeur": 7.07, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "AGR_VIABILITE": { "valeur": 5.9, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "AGR_AUTONOMIE": { "valeur": 15.0, "unite": "%", "confiance": "haute" }, "AGR_IRRIG_DEP": { "valeur": 6.2, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "haute" }, "FOR_DEPERIS": { "valeur": 6.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ENE_NUCL": { "valeur": 0.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ENE_RESEAU": { "valeur": 4.7, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "BIO_ECOSYST": { "valeur": 0.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_EMPLOI": { "valeur": 4.78, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_RESILIENCE": { "valeur": 1.51, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "ECO_TELETRAVAIL": { "valeur": 6.46, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "IMM_PRIX": { "valeur": 3544.0, "unite": "eur_m2", "confiance": "haute" }, "ASS_PRIME": { "valeur": 5.35, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "ECO_COUT_VIE": { "valeur": 6.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "EDU_PETITE_ENF": { "valeur": 0.0, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_AEP": { "valeur": 0.1, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "INF_BATI": { "valeur": 9.02, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "INF_MOBILITE": { "valeur": 1.02, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_AIR": { "valeur": 6.04, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" }, "SAN_APL_MG": { "valeur": 2.06, "unite": "c/hab/an", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_DEMO_MED_2035": { "valeur": 7.6, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_PEDIATRIE": { "valeur": 4.74, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_SURMORT": { "valeur": 3.23, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "moyenne" }, "SAN_VECTEURS": { "valeur": 4.86, "unite": "0-10", "confiance": "faible" } } } } } }